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Real Madrid

L W W W W
VS
AI Predicts: 2-1
Away

Sevilla

W W L D L
1X2 Real Madrid 52%
O/U Over 2.5 71%
DC 1X 85%
BTTS Yes 65%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Real Madrid 52% Draw 24% Sevilla 24%

Match Momentum

FULL TIME

Estimated attacking momentum from recorded match statistics.

Real Madrid Sevilla
0' 15' 30' HT 60' 75' 90' FT Real Madrid · 10.0' · 2 Sevilla · 10.0' · 0 Real Madrid · 14.0' · 0 Sevilla · 14.0' · 0 Real Madrid · 18.0' · 0 Sevilla · 18.0' · 1 Real Madrid · 22.0' · 1 Sevilla · 22.0' · 0 Real Madrid · 30.0' · 0 Sevilla · 30.0' · 0 Real Madrid · 34.0' · 2.25 Sevilla · 34.0' · 0 Real Madrid · 38.0' · 2.25 Sevilla · 38.0' · 0 Real Madrid · 42.0' · 2.25 Sevilla · 42.0' · 0 Real Madrid · 45.0' · 0 Sevilla · 45.0' · 1 Real Madrid · 45.0' · 3.1 Sevilla · 45.0' · 2.25 Real Madrid · 45.0' · 0 Sevilla · 45.0' · 0 Real Madrid · 45.0' · 0 Sevilla · 45.0' · 0 Real Madrid · 45.0' · 0 Sevilla · 45.0' · 0 Real Madrid · 45.0' · 0 Sevilla · 45.0' · 0 Real Madrid · 45.0' · 0 Sevilla · 45.0' · 0 Real Madrid · 50.0' · 0 Sevilla · 50.0' · 0 Real Madrid · 54.0' · 0 Sevilla · 54.0' · 0 Real Madrid · 58.0' · 1 Sevilla · 58.0' · 1 Real Madrid · 62.0' · 0 Sevilla · 62.0' · 3.1 Real Madrid · 66.0' · 2.25 Sevilla · 66.0' · 2.25 Real Madrid · 70.0' · 0 Sevilla · 70.0' · 0 Real Madrid · 74.0' · 0 Sevilla · 74.0' · 0 Real Madrid · 78.0' · 0 Sevilla · 78.0' · 1 Real Madrid · 82.0' · 0 Sevilla · 82.0' · 2.25 Real Madrid · 86.0' · 2.25 Sevilla · 86.0' · 2.25 Real Madrid · 90.0' · 0 Sevilla · 90.0' · 0 Real Madrid · 94.0' · 0 Sevilla · 94.0' · 0 Real Madrid · 90.0' · 2.25 Sevilla · 90.0' · 0 Card · 23' · Felix Correia C Card · 23' · Dean Huijsen C Goal · 30' · Arda Güler Normal GoalG Goal · 37' · Kylian Mbappé Normal GoalG Substitution · 45' · Rubén Vargas Chidera Ejuke ↔ Substitution · 56' · Robbie Ure Lucas Stassin ↔ Substitution · 56' · Peque Fernández Manuel Bueno Sebastián ↔ Goal · 63' · Kylian Mbappé PenaltyG Card · 69' · Juan Antonio Iglesias Sánchez C Substitution · 69' · Endrick Felipe Moreira de Sousa Brahim Díaz ↔ Substitution · 70' · Jude Bellingham Bernardo Silva ↔ Substitution · 72' · Juan Antonio Iglesias Sánchez José Ángel Carmona ↔ Substitution · 73' · Felix Correia Alfonso González Martínez ↔ Card · 73' · Marc Cucurella C Substitution · 78' · Arda Güler Eduardo Camavinga ↔ Goal · 80' · Manuel Bueno Sebastián Normal GoalG Goal · 82' · Yan Diomande Normal GoalG Substitution · 85' · Kylian Mbappé Carlos Espí ↔ Substitution · 85' · Federico Valverde Éder Militão ↔

G Goal · C Card · ↔ Substitution · VAR Review

Last sample: 09:05 PM UTC

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Free Pick Accuracy100%
Premium Expected goals 1.84 — 1.47 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

146%Real Madrid
X24%Draw
230%Sevilla
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes65%
No35%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 85%U 15%
O/U 2.5O 64%U 36%
O/U 3.5O 42%U 58%
O/U 4.5O 24%U 76%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Real Madrid
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 89%

The model assigns 89% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Real Madrid.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 84%

A different goal line with 84% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 84%U 16%
1.5O 55%U 45%
2.5O 28%U 72%
3.5O 11%U 89%
Sevilla
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 94%

The model assigns 94% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Sevilla.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 82%

A different goal line with 82% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 77%U 23%
1.5O 43%U 57%
2.5O 18%U 82%
3.5O 6%U 94%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Real Madrid23%
Sevilla16%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Real Madrid19%
Sevilla12%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Real Madrid60%
Sevilla40%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Real Madrid
-1.5W 25%P 0%L 75%
-1W 25%P 20%L 54%
-0.5W 46%P 0%L 54%
0W 46%P 24%L 30%
+0.5W 70%P 0%L 30%
+1W 70%P 16%L 14%
+1.5W 86%P 0%L 14%
Sevilla
-1.5W 14%P 0%L 86%
-1W 14%P 16%L 70%
-0.5W 30%P 0%L 70%
0W 30%P 24%L 46%
+0.5W 54%P 0%L 46%
+1W 54%P 20%L 25%
+1.5W 75%P 0%L 25%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-110.61%
#22-19.08%
#31-27.24%
#42-26.65%
#51-06.23%
Combined Top 539.81%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Real Madrid + BTTS27%
Sevilla + BTTS19%
Draw + BTTS20%

Match Timeline

23' 🟥 Felix Correia
23' 🟥 Dean Huijsen
30' ⚽ Arda Güler
37' ⚽ Kylian Mbappé
45' 🔄 In: Chidera Ejuke
56' 🔄 In: Lucas Stassin
56' 🔄 In: Manuel Bueno Sebastián
63' ⚽ Kylian Mbappé
69' 🟥 Juan Antonio Iglesias Sánchez
69' 🔄 In: Brahim Díaz
70' 🔄 In: Bernardo Silva
72' 🔄 In: José Ángel Carmona
73' 🔄 In: Alfonso González Martínez
73' 🟥 Marc Cucurella
78' 🔄 In: Eduardo Camavinga
80' ⚽ Manuel Bueno Sebastián
82' ⚽ Yan Diomande
85' 🔄 In: Carlos Espí
85' 🔄 In: Éder Militão

Lineups

Real Madrid Home
  • T. Courtois
  • F. Valverde
  • I. Konaté
  • D. Huijsen
  • Marc Cucurella
  • A. Güler
  • A. Tchouaméni
  • Endrick
  • J. Bellingham
  • Y. Diomande
  • Kylian Mbappé
Sevilla Away
  • O. Vlachodimos
  • Juan Iglesias
  • Andrés Castrín
  • Kike Salas
  • G. Suazo
  • L. Agoumé
  • Y. Fofana
  • R. Vargas
  • Peque Fernández
  • Félix Correia
  • R. Ure

Real Madrid Season

Rank#3
Points21
Matches Left29

Sevilla Season

Rank#6
Points14
Matches Left29

Real Madrid Last 5

RB Leipzig 4 - 1
Sevilla 4 - 1
AS Roma 3 - 4
Villarreal 1 - 0
Atletico Madrid 2 - 1

Sevilla Last 5

Real Madrid 4 - 1
Levante 3 - 3
Barcelona 1 - 3
Deportivo La Coruna 0 - 1
Valencia 1 - 0

Head-to-Head

Real Madrid: 0 Draws: 0 Sevilla: 5
2026 Sevilla 0 - 1 Real Madrid
2025 Real Madrid 2 - 0 Sevilla
2025 Sevilla 0 - 2 Real Madrid
2024 Real Madrid 4 - 2 Sevilla
2024 Real Madrid 1 - 0 Sevilla

Form Analysis

Real Madrid
L W W W W
Sevilla
W W L D L

Real Madrid Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
3.29
Goals scored23
Goals conceded5
Matches7
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)0.71

Sevilla Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.50
Goals scored6
Goals conceded8
Matches4
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)2.00

Match Statistics

15Shots11
8Shots on Target5
1Corners2
65%Possession35%
2Yellow Cards2

Expected Goals (xG)

Real Madrid
2.59
Sevilla
1.17

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Real Madrid vs Sevilla is a La Liga football match on October 18, 2026 at Estadio Santiago Bernabéu. Recent form is 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 losses (form: LWWWW) for Real Madrid and 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses (form: WWLDL) for Sevilla. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 Finished
📍 Estadio Santiago Bernabéu

Standings & Context

In the La Liga standings, Real Madrid is currently #3 with 21 points from 9 matches, while Sevilla is #6 with 14 points from 9. Recent head-to-head history: Real Madrid won 0, 0 were drawn and Sevilla won 5 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Real Madrid at 3.29 goals scored and 0.71 conceded per home match, versus Sevilla at 1.50 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 2.59 for Real Madrid and 1.17 for Sevilla. For this finished match, the recorded prediction accuracy is 100% (result: 4 - 1).

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.