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Real Salt Lake
L W L D W
VS
AI Predicts: 1-2
Away

St. Louis City
W W W D L
1X2 Real Salt Lake 41%
O/U Over 2.5 66%
DC X2 75%
BTTS Yes 64%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Real Salt Lake 41% Draw 23% St. Louis City 35%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between Real Salt Lake and St. Louis City?

Our prediction for the Real Salt Lake–St. Louis City match is: St. Louis City to win or draw.

Other OPWIN picks

Real Salt Lake to win (41% confidence); over 2.5 goals (66% confidence); both teams to score: yes (64% confidence)

Real Salt Lake

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Real Salt Lake scored an average of 1.60 goals and conceded 1.20 per match.

St. Louis City

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, St. Louis City scored an average of 2.80 goals and conceded 1.20 per match.

How the recent evidence fits the pick

Recent results add context to Double chance: Draw or Away (X2): Real Salt Lake scored 1.60 and conceded 1.20 per match across 5 covered games; St. Louis City scored 2.80 and conceded 1.20 across 5.

Players to watch

Across 5 recent recorded appearances, M. Guilavogui contributed 2 goal(s) and 1 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.39/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 4 recent recorded appearances, C. Holse contributed 4 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 8.07/10 across 4 rated appearances.

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The current record lists M. Petke as coach of Real Salt Lake. The latest recorded formations are Real Salt Lake in 5-4-1 (Oct 18, 2026) and St. Louis City in 3-4-1-2 (Oct 17, 2026). Across 9 recent matches with possession and shot data, Real Salt Lake averaged 48.2% possession and 13.9 shots per match (5.6 on target), a a strong average volume of shots on target profile. Across 8 matches, St. Louis City averaged 56.5% possession and 12.5 shots (6.4 on target), a possession control with high shot volume profile. The recorded numbers do not show a pronounced gap in possession or shot volume.

Home and away performance

In 5 recent home matches, Real Salt Lake recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses, averaging 1.00 points, 1.20 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per match. Away from home, St. Louis City recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses in 4 matches, averaging 1.75 points, 2.50 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per match. The away side’s recent road record compares favourably with the home side’s home record.

This Major League Soccer fixture takes place at America First Field (Sandy).

Recent results show no clear home advantage for Real Salt Lake: 1.0 points per home match compared with 0.6 away, with performance varying between matches.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.53 — 1.65 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

135%Real Salt Lake
X25%Draw
240%St. Louis City
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes64%
No36%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 83%U 17%
O/U 2.5O 61%U 39%
O/U 3.5O 39%U 61%
O/U 4.5O 22%U 79%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Real Salt Lake
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 93%

The model assigns 93% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Real Salt Lake.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 80%

A different goal line with 80% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 78%U 22%
1.5O 45%U 55%
2.5O 20%U 80%
3.5O 7%U 93%
St. Louis City
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 91%

The model assigns 91% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for St. Louis City.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 81%

A different goal line with 81% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 81%U 19%
1.5O 49%U 51%
2.5O 23%U 77%
3.5O 9%U 91%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Real Salt Lake19%
St. Louis City22%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Real Salt Lake14%
St. Louis City17%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Real Salt Lake47%
St. Louis City53%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Real Salt Lake
-1.5W 17%P 0%L 83%
-1W 17%P 18%L 65%
-0.5W 35%P 0%L 65%
0W 35%P 25%L 40%
+0.5W 60%P 0%L 40%
+1W 60%P 19%L 21%
+1.5W 79%P 0%L 21%
St. Louis City
-1.5W 21%P 0%L 79%
-1W 21%P 19%L 60%
-0.5W 40%P 0%L 60%
0W 40%P 25%L 35%
+0.5W 65%P 0%L 35%
+1W 65%P 18%L 17%
+1.5W 83%P 0%L 17%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-111.36%
#21-28.63%
#32-18.02%
#42-26.61%
#50-16.21%
Combined Top 540.83%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Real Salt Lake + BTTS21%
St. Louis City + BTTS23%
Draw + BTTS20%

Real Salt Lake Season

Rank#10
Points36
Matches Left8

St. Louis City Season

Rank#2
Points51
Matches Left8

Real Salt Lake Last 5

Sporting Kansas City 1 - 3
San Jose Earthquakes 1 - 1
Philadelphia Union 2 - 1
New England Revolution 3 - 0
Seattle Sounders 2 - 0

St. Louis City Last 5

Minnesota United FC 3 - 2
Vancouver Whitecaps 0 - 0
Los Angeles Galaxy 6 - 2
New York Red Bulls 0 - 3
Toronto FC 3 - 1

Head-to-Head

Real Salt Lake: 2 Draws: 3 St. Louis City: 0
2026 St. Louis City 1 - 1 Real Salt Lake
2025 St. Louis City 2 - 2 Real Salt Lake
2025 Real Salt Lake 3 - 2 St. Louis City
2025 St. Louis City 1 - 1 Real Salt Lake
2024 Real Salt Lake 3 - 1 St. Louis City

Form Analysis

Real Salt Lake
W D L W L
St. Louis City
L D W W W

Real Salt Lake Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.87
Goals scored28
Goals conceded21
Matches15
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.40

St. Louis City Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.47
Goals scored22
Goals conceded22
Matches15
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.47

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

Real Salt Lake
1.37
St. Louis City
2.05

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Real Salt Lake vs St. Louis City is a Football football match on October 24, 2026 at America First Field. Recent form is 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses (form: WDLWL) for Real Salt Lake and 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses (form: LDWWW) for St. Louis City. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 24 Oct 2026
📍 America First Field

Standings & Context

In the Football standings, Real Salt Lake is currently #10 with 36 points from 30 matches, while St. Louis City is #2 with 51 points from 30. Recent head-to-head history: Real Salt Lake won 2, 3 were drawn and St. Louis City won 0 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Real Salt Lake at 1.87 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per home match, versus St. Louis City at 1.47 goals scored and 1.47 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 1.37 for Real Salt Lake and 2.05 for St. Louis City.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.