OpWin.

VS
AI Predicts: 0-1
Away

Almeria

W W W W W
1X2 Almeria 63%
O/U Under 2.5 68%
DC X2 87%
BTTS Yes 55%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Real Sociedad II 17% Draw 20% Almeria 63%
Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Free Pick Accuracy75%
Premium Expected goals 1.17 — 1.53 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

128%Real Sociedad II
X27%Draw
245%Almeria
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes55%
No45%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 76%U 24%
O/U 2.5O 51%U 49%
O/U 3.5O 29%U 71%
O/U 4.5O 14%U 86%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Real Sociedad II
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 97%

The model assigns 97% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Real Sociedad II.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 89%

A different goal line with 89% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 69%U 31%
1.5O 33%U 67%
2.5O 11%U 89%
3.5O 3%U 97%
Almeria
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 93%

The model assigns 93% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Almeria.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 80%

A different goal line with 80% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 79%U 21%
1.5O 45%U 55%
2.5O 20%U 80%
3.5O 7%U 93%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Real Sociedad II21%
Almeria31%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Real Sociedad II14%
Almeria23%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Real Sociedad II39%
Almeria61%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Real Sociedad II
-1.5W 12%P 0%L 88%
-1W 12%P 17%L 72%
-0.5W 28%P 0%L 72%
0W 28%P 27%L 45%
+0.5W 55%P 0%L 45%
+1W 55%P 22%L 23%
+1.5W 77%P 0%L 23%
Almeria
-1.5W 23%P 0%L 77%
-1W 23%P 22%L 55%
-0.5W 45%P 0%L 55%
0W 45%P 27%L 28%
+0.5W 72%P 0%L 28%
+1W 72%P 17%L 12%
+1.5W 88%P 0%L 12%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-113.01%
#20-19.45%
#31-29.18%
#40-27.82%
#50-07.39%
Combined Top 546.85%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Real Sociedad II + BTTS14%
Almeria + BTTS21%
Draw + BTTS20%

Match Timeline

23' ⚽ Brian Cipenga
30' 🔄 In: Jon Morcillo
34' 🟥 Dani Diaz
37' 🟥 Jorge Pulido
38' ⚽ Miguel De La Fuente
49' 🟥 Javier Soroeta
51' ⚽
54' ⚽ Sergio Arribas Calvo
58' ⚽ Lander Astiazarán
68' 🔄 In: Gorka Carrera Zarranz
68' 🔄 In: Arkaitz Mariezkurrena
68' 🔄 In: Jon Eceizabarrena
74' 🔄 In: Nicolás Melamed Ribaudo
74' 🔄 In: Álex Muñoz
81' 🔄 In: Andrews Adjabeng
86' 🔄 In: Léo Baptistão
86' 🔄 In: Quim junyent
88' 🔄 In: Sydney Osazuwa
90' ⚽ Arkaitz Mariezkurrena
90' ⚽ Inaki Ruperez

Lineups

Real Sociedad II Home
  • Aitor Fraga
  • Rupérez
  • I. Calderon
  • K. Kita
  • Jon Balda
  • Gorka Gorosabel
  • Tomás Carbonell
  • Ibai Aguirre
  • Dani Díaz
  • Javier Soroeta
  • Lander Astiazarán
Almeria Away
  • Andrés Fernández
  • Marcos Luna
  • Jorge Pulido
  • F. Bonini
  • Leonardo Lelo
  • S. Džodić
  • Javi Muñoz
  • D. Chirino
  • Sergio Arribas
  • B. Cipenga
  • Miguel de la Fuente

Real Sociedad II Season

Rank#19
Points8
Matches Left28

Almeria Season

Rank#1
Points24
Matches Left28

Real Sociedad II Last 5

Las Palmas 1 - 0
Almeria 2 - 4
Celta de Vigo II 4 - 1
Granada CF 2 - 3
AD Ceuta FC 3 - 1

Almeria Last 5

Real Sociedad II 2 - 4
Leganes 3 - 0
Burgos 2 - 1
Mallorca 0 - 1
Celta de Vigo II 2 - 0

Head-to-Head

Real Sociedad II: 0 Draws: 1 Almeria: 3
2026 Almeria 5 - 1 Real Sociedad II
2025 Real Sociedad II 2 - 2 Almeria
2022 Real Sociedad II 0 - 2 Almeria
2021 Almeria 3 - 1 Real Sociedad II

Form Analysis

Real Sociedad II
L L L L L
Almeria
W W W W W

Real Sociedad II Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.25
Goals scored5
Goals conceded9
Matches4
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)2.25

Almeria Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.75
Goals scored7
Goals conceded3
Matches4
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)0.75

Match Statistics

21Shots7
9Shots on Target4
10Corners2
53%Possession47%
2Yellow Cards1

Expected Goals (xG)

Real Sociedad II
0.54
Almeria
1.46

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Real Sociedad II vs Almeria is a Football football match on October 17, 2026 at Instalaciones de Zubieta. Recent form is 0 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses (form: LLLLL) for Real Sociedad II and 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses (form: WWWWW) for Almeria. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 Finished
📍 Instalaciones de Zubieta

Standings & Context

In the Football standings, Real Sociedad II is currently #19 with 8 points from 10 matches, while Almeria is #1 with 24 points from 10. Recent head-to-head history: Real Sociedad II won 0, 1 were drawn and Almeria won 3 across the last 4 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Real Sociedad II at 1.25 goals scored and 2.25 conceded per home match, versus Almeria at 1.75 goals scored and 0.75 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 0.54 for Real Sociedad II and 1.46 for Almeria. For this finished match, the recorded prediction accuracy is 75% (result: 2 - 4).

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.