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Rennes

W L W W L
VS
AI Predicts: 2-1
Away

Strasbourg

W D L L L
1X2 Rennes 46%
O/U Over 2.5 75%
DC 1X 74%
BTTS Yes 67%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Rennes 46% Draw 28% Strasbourg 26%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between Rennes and Strasbourg?

Our prediction for the Rennes–Strasbourg match is: over 2.5 goals.

Other OPWIN picks

Rennes to win (46% confidence); Rennes to win or draw (74% confidence); both teams to score: yes (67% confidence)

Rennes

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Rennes scored an average of 2.00 goals and conceded 2.00 per match.

Strasbourg

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Strasbourg scored an average of 2.00 goals and conceded 2.00 per match.

How the recent evidence fits the pick

Across the available samples, Rennes and Strasbourg average 4.00 goals scored per match combined. That recent scoring pace aligns with Over 2.5.

Players to watch

Across 5 recent recorded appearances, E. Lepaul contributed 4 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.12/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 5 recent recorded appearances, G. Reyna contributed 2 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 6.90/10 across 5 rated appearances.

Recent squad-performance signal

Across recent rated squad performances used by Team Intelligence, Rennes records a mean of 6.70/10 versus 6.50/10 for Strasbourg.

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The latest recorded formations are Rennes in 4-3-3 (Oct 18, 2026) and Strasbourg in 4-2-3-1 (Oct 17, 2026). Across 6 recent matches with possession and shot data, Rennes averaged 55.3% possession and 18.0 shots per match (7.2 on target), a possession control with high shot volume profile. Across 5 matches, Strasbourg averaged 45.8% possession and 12.8 shots (5.2 on target), a a lower-possession profile that still produces shots profile. The clearest contrast in this sample is shot production.

Home and away performance

In 4 recent home matches, Rennes recorded 4 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses, averaging 3.00 points, 2.50 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per match. Away from home, Strasbourg recorded 1 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses in 3 matches, averaging 1.00 points, 2.67 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per match. This sample favours the home side’s recent home record relative to the away side’s road record.

This Ligue 1 fixture takes place at Roazhon Park (Rennes).

Recent results show that Rennes have a stronger record at home than away: 4 wins in 4 home matches, averaging 3.0 points per home match compared with 1.0 away. This points to a positive home-performance trend.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.83 — 1.57 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

143%Rennes
X24%Draw
233%Strasbourg
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes67%
No33%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 86%U 14%
O/U 2.5O 66%U 34%
O/U 3.5O 44%U 56%
O/U 4.5O 26%U 74%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Rennes
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 89%

The model assigns 89% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Rennes.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 84%

A different goal line with 84% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 84%U 16%
1.5O 54%U 46%
2.5O 28%U 72%
3.5O 11%U 89%
Strasbourg
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 92%

The model assigns 92% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Strasbourg.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 79%

A different goal line with 79% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 79%U 21%
1.5O 47%U 53%
2.5O 21%U 79%
3.5O 8%U 92%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Rennes21%
Strasbourg16%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Rennes17%
Strasbourg12%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Rennes57%
Strasbourg43%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Rennes
-1.5W 24%P 0%L 76%
-1W 24%P 20%L 57%
-0.5W 43%P 0%L 57%
0W 43%P 24%L 33%
+0.5W 67%P 0%L 33%
+1W 67%P 17%L 16%
+1.5W 84%P 0%L 16%
Strasbourg
-1.5W 16%P 0%L 84%
-1W 16%P 17%L 67%
-0.5W 33%P 0%L 67%
0W 33%P 24%L 43%
+0.5W 57%P 0%L 43%
+1W 57%P 20%L 24%
+1.5W 76%P 0%L 24%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-110.28%
#22-18.74%
#31-27.53%
#42-26.88%
#51-05.58%
Combined Top 539.01%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Rennes + BTTS27%
Strasbourg + BTTS21%
Draw + BTTS20%

Rennes Season

Rank#6
Points13
Matches Left27

Strasbourg Season

Rank#14
Points7
Matches Left27

Rennes Last 5

Paris FC 4 - 3
OFI 2 - 1
Auxerre 4 - 1
Lyon 4 - 0
Marseille 1 - 0

Strasbourg Last 5

Paris Saint Germain 1 - 3
Nice 2 - 1
Paris FC 2 - 1
Monaco 1 - 1
Estac Troyes 2 - 6

Head-to-Head

Rennes: 3 Draws: 0 Strasbourg: 2
2026 Strasbourg 0 - 3 Rennes
2025 Rennes 4 - 1 Strasbourg
2025 Rennes 1 - 0 Strasbourg
2024 Strasbourg 3 - 1 Rennes
2024 Strasbourg 2 - 0 Rennes

Form Analysis

Rennes
L W L W W
Strasbourg
L L L D W

Rennes Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
2.50
Goals scored10
Goals conceded5
Matches4
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.25

Strasbourg Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
2.00
Goals scored8
Goals conceded10
Matches4
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)2.50

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

Rennes
2.38
Strasbourg
1.64

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Rennes vs Strasbourg is a Ligue 1 football match on October 25, 2026 at Roazhon Park. Recent form is 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses (form: LWLWW) for Rennes and 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses (form: LLLDW) for Strasbourg. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 25 Oct 2026
📍 Roazhon Park

Standings & Context

In the Ligue 1 standings, Rennes is currently #6 with 13 points from 7 matches, while Strasbourg is #14 with 7 points from 7. Recent head-to-head history: Rennes won 3, 0 were drawn and Strasbourg won 2 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Rennes at 2.50 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per home match, versus Strasbourg at 2.00 goals scored and 2.50 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 2.38 for Rennes and 1.64 for Strasbourg.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.