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Roda

D W L D W
VS
AI Predicts: 2-1
Away

Jong AZ

W L D
1X2 Roda 49%
O/U Over 2.5 84%
DC 1X 70%
BTTS Yes 69%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Roda 49% Draw 24% Jong AZ 27%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between Roda and Jong AZ?

Our prediction for the Roda–Jong AZ match is: over 2.5 goals.

Other OPWIN picks

Roda to win (49% confidence); Roda to win or draw (70% confidence); both teams to score: yes (69% confidence)

Roda

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Roda scored an average of 1.00 goals and conceded 0.80 per match.

Jong AZ

Across the 3 most recent finished matches with available data, Jong AZ scored an average of 2.67 goals and conceded 2.00 per match.

How the recent evidence fits the pick

Across the available samples, Roda and Jong AZ average 3.67 goals scored per match combined. That recent scoring pace aligns with Over 2.5.

Players to watch

Across 5 recent recorded appearances, C. Seedorf contributed 1 goal(s) and 1 assist(s). Available ratings average 6.97/10 across 5 rated appearances. In a recent recorded appearance, T. de Wit registered 0 goal(s) and 3 assist(s).

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The latest recorded formations are Roda in 3-4-2-1 (Oct 19, 2026) and Jong AZ in 4-2-3-1 (Oct 16, 2026). Across 5 recent matches with possession and shot data, Roda averaged 49.8% possession and 12.2 shots per match (3.2 on target), a a more balanced possession and shot profile profile. Across 3 matches, Jong AZ averaged 53.0% possession and 19.0 shots (7.3 on target), a high shot volume profile. The clearest contrast in this sample is shot production.

This Eerste Divisie fixture takes place at Parkstad Limburg Stadion (Kerkrade).

The recent records do not include at least three completed, scored matches both at home and away for Roda, so a reliable home/away effect cannot be assessed.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.86 — 1.68 Reliability 60%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

142%Roda
X23%Draw
235%Jong AZ
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes69%
No31%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 87%U 13%
O/U 2.5O 68%U 32%
O/U 3.5O 47%U 53%
O/U 4.5O 28%U 72%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Roda
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 88%

The model assigns 88% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Roda.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 84%

A different goal line with 84% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 84%U 16%
1.5O 55%U 45%
2.5O 28%U 72%
3.5O 12%U 88%
Jong AZ
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 91%

The model assigns 91% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Jong AZ.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 81%

A different goal line with 81% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 81%U 19%
1.5O 50%U 50%
2.5O 24%U 76%
3.5O 9%U 91%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Roda19%
Jong AZ16%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Roda15%
Jong AZ12%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Roda55%
Jong AZ45%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Roda
-1.5W 23%P 0%L 77%
-1W 23%P 19%L 58%
-0.5W 42%P 0%L 58%
0W 42%P 23%L 35%
+0.5W 65%P 0%L 35%
+1W 65%P 17%L 18%
+1.5W 82%P 0%L 18%
Jong AZ
-1.5W 18%P 0%L 82%
-1W 18%P 17%L 65%
-0.5W 35%P 0%L 65%
0W 35%P 23%L 42%
+0.5W 58%P 0%L 42%
+1W 58%P 19%L 23%
+1.5W 77%P 0%L 23%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-19.84%
#22-18.42%
#31-27.61%
#42-27.06%
#53-15.21%
Combined Top 538.14%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Roda + BTTS27%
Jong AZ + BTTS23%
Draw + BTTS20%

Roda Season

Rank#14
Points0
Matches Left38

Jong AZ Season

Rank#19
Points0
Matches Left38

Roda Last 5

Jong Utrecht 1 - 2
Jong PSV U21 1 - 1
VVV Venlo 2 - 0
Waalwijk 2 - 0
Jong Ajax 0 - 0

Jong AZ Last 5

VVV Venlo 4 - 4
Den Bosch 0 - 1
FC Volendam 4 - 1

Head-to-Head

Roda: 0 Draws: 1 Jong AZ: 4
2026 Jong AZ 2 - 0 Roda
2025 Roda 2 - 3 Jong AZ
2025 Roda 3 - 3 Jong AZ
2024 Jong AZ 6 - 1 Roda
2024 Jong AZ 1 - 0 Roda

Form Analysis

Roda
W
Jong AZ
D

Roda Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
—
Goals scored0
Goals conceded0
Matches0
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)—

Jong AZ Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
—
Goals scored0
Goals conceded0
Matches0
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)—

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

Roda
2.79
Jong AZ
2.14

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Roda vs Jong AZ is a Football football match on October 30, 2026 at Parkstad Limburg Stadion. Recent form is 1 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses (form: W) for Roda and 0 wins, 1 draws and 0 losses (form: D) for Jong AZ. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 30 Oct 2026
📍 Parkstad Limburg Stadion

Standings & Context

In the Football standings, Roda is currently #14 with 0 points from 0 matches, while Jong AZ is #19 with 0 points from 0. Recent head-to-head history: Roda won 0, 1 were drawn and Jong AZ won 4 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Roda at — goals scored and — conceded per home match, versus Jong AZ at — goals scored and — conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 2.79 for Roda and 2.14 for Jong AZ.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.