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Sampdoria

L D L W W
VS
AI Predicts: 1-0
Away

Benevento

D W D L D
1X2 Benevento 36%
O/U Under 2.5 62%
DC 1X 68%
BTTS Yes 59%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Sampdoria 34% Draw 29% Benevento 36%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between Sampdoria and Benevento?

Our prediction for the Sampdoria–Benevento match is: Sampdoria to win or draw.

Other OPWIN picks

Benevento to win (36% confidence); under 2.5 goals (62% confidence); both teams to score: yes (59% confidence)

Sampdoria

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Sampdoria scored an average of 1.00 goals and conceded 1.00 per match.

Benevento

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Benevento scored an average of 1.40 goals and conceded 1.20 per match.

How the recent evidence fits the pick

Recent results add context to Double chance: Home or Draw (1X): Sampdoria scored 1.00 and conceded 1.00 per match across 5 covered games; Benevento scored 1.40 and conceded 1.20 across 5.

Players to watch

Across 5 recent recorded appearances, T. Begić contributed 0 goal(s) and 3 assist(s). Available ratings average 6.90/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 5 recent recorded appearances, A. Siatounis contributed 3 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.28/10 across 5 rated appearances.

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The current record lists G. Auteri as coach of Benevento. The latest recorded formations are Sampdoria in 4-3-3 (Nov 8, 2026) and Benevento in 4-1-4-1 (Nov 7, 2026). Across 6 recent matches with possession and shot data, Sampdoria averaged 38.5% possession and 11.3 shots per match (3.5 on target), a a lower-possession profile that still produces shots profile. Across 6 matches, Benevento averaged 53.3% possession and 18.3 shots (5.5 on target), a high shot volume profile. The clearest contrast in this sample is possession share.

Home and away performance

In 3 recent home matches, Sampdoria recorded 2 wins, 0 draws and 1 losses, averaging 2.00 points, 1.67 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per match. Away from home, Benevento recorded 2 wins, 0 draws and 1 losses in 3 matches, averaging 2.00 points, 1.33 goals scored and 0.67 conceded per match. These split records do not show a clear points-per-match advantage for either side.

This Serie B fixture takes place at Stadio Luigi Ferraris (Genoa).

Recent results show that Sampdoria have a stronger record at home than away: 2 wins in 3 home matches, averaging 2.0 points per home match compared with 1.0 away. This points to a positive home-performance trend.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.44 — 1.43 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

137%Sampdoria
X27%Draw
236%Benevento
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes59%
No41%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 79%U 21%
O/U 2.5O 54%U 46%
O/U 3.5O 32%U 68%
O/U 4.5O 16%U 84%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Sampdoria
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 94%

The model assigns 94% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Sampdoria.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 82%

A different goal line with 82% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 76%U 24%
1.5O 42%U 58%
2.5O 18%U 82%
3.5O 6%U 94%
Benevento
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 94%

The model assigns 94% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Benevento.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 83%

A different goal line with 83% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 76%U 24%
1.5O 42%U 58%
2.5O 17%U 83%
3.5O 6%U 94%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Sampdoria24%
Benevento24%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Sampdoria17%
Benevento17%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Sampdoria50%
Benevento50%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Sampdoria
-1.5W 18%P 0%L 82%
-1W 18%P 19%L 63%
-0.5W 37%P 0%L 63%
0W 37%P 27%L 36%
+0.5W 64%P 0%L 36%
+1W 64%P 19%L 17%
+1.5W 83%P 0%L 17%
Benevento
-1.5W 17%P 0%L 83%
-1W 17%P 19%L 64%
-0.5W 36%P 0%L 64%
0W 36%P 27%L 37%
+0.5W 63%P 0%L 37%
+1W 63%P 19%L 18%
+1.5W 82%P 0%L 18%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-112.76%
#22-18.38%
#31-28.32%
#41-07.39%
#50-17.32%
Combined Top 544.17%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Sampdoria + BTTS19%
Benevento + BTTS19%
Draw + BTTS20%

Sampdoria Season

Rank#15
Points11
Matches Left27

Benevento Season

Rank#6
Points16
Matches Left27

Sampdoria Last 5

Carrarese 0 - 1
Virtus Entella 2 - 0
Ascoli 2 - 0
Sudtirol 1 - 1
Arezzo 1 - 2

Benevento Last 5

Avellino 1 - 1
Cremonese 2 - 0
Catanzaro 1 - 1
Arezzo 0 - 3
Vicenza Virtus 2 - 2

Head-to-Head

Sampdoria: 1 Draws: 1 Benevento: 2
2021 Benevento 1 - 1 Sampdoria
2020 Sampdoria 2 - 3 Benevento
2018 Benevento 3 - 2 Sampdoria
2017 Sampdoria 2 - 1 Benevento

Form Analysis

Sampdoria
L D L W W
Benevento
D W D L D

Sampdoria Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.67
Goals scored5
Goals conceded3
Matches3
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.00

Benevento Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.33
Goals scored4
Goals conceded2
Matches3
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)0.67

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

Sampdoria
1.16
Benevento
1.05

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Sampdoria vs Benevento is a Football football match on November 21, 2026 at Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris. Recent form is 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses (form: LDLWW) for Sampdoria and 1 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses (form: DWDLD) for Benevento. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 21 Nov 2026
📍 Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris

Standings & Context

In the Football standings, Sampdoria is currently #15 with 11 points from 11 matches, while Benevento is #6 with 16 points from 11. Recent head-to-head history: Sampdoria won 1, 1 were drawn and Benevento won 2 across the last 4 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Sampdoria at 1.67 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per home match, versus Benevento at 1.33 goals scored and 0.67 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 1.16 for Sampdoria and 1.05 for Benevento.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.