OpWin.

VS
AI Predicts: 0-1
Away

River Plate

W D W W L
1X2 River Plate 40%
O/U Under 3.5 77%
DC X2 78%
BTTS Yes 60%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Sarmiento Junin 32% Draw 29% River Plate 40%
Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Free Pick Accuracy75%
Premium Expected goals 1.36 — 1.55 Reliability 60%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

132%Sarmiento Junin
X26%Draw
241%River Plate
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes60%
No40%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 80%U 20%
O/U 2.5O 56%U 44%
O/U 3.5O 33%U 67%
O/U 4.5O 17%U 83%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Sarmiento Junin
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 95%

The model assigns 95% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Sarmiento Junin.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 84%

A different goal line with 84% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 74%U 26%
1.5O 39%U 61%
2.5O 16%U 84%
3.5O 5%U 95%
River Plate
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 93%

The model assigns 93% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for River Plate.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 80%

A different goal line with 80% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 79%U 21%
1.5O 46%U 54%
2.5O 20%U 80%
3.5O 7%U 93%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Sarmiento Junin21%
River Plate26%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Sarmiento Junin15%
River Plate19%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Sarmiento Junin44%
River Plate56%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Sarmiento Junin
-1.5W 15%P 0%L 85%
-1W 15%P 18%L 68%
-0.5W 32%P 0%L 68%
0W 32%P 26%L 41%
+0.5W 59%P 0%L 41%
+1W 59%P 20%L 21%
+1.5W 79%P 0%L 21%
River Plate
-1.5W 21%P 0%L 79%
-1W 21%P 20%L 59%
-0.5W 41%P 0%L 59%
0W 41%P 26%L 32%
+0.5W 68%P 0%L 32%
+1W 68%P 18%L 15%
+1.5W 85%P 0%L 15%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-112.51%
#21-28.89%
#32-17.77%
#40-17.64%
#51-06.58%
Combined Top 543.39%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Sarmiento Junin + BTTS18%
River Plate + BTTS22%
Draw + BTTS20%

Match Timeline

15' ⚽ Julián Contrera
59' ⚽
61' 🟥 Pablo Daniel Magnin
69' 🟥 Julián Contrera
69' 🔄 In: Elián Giménez
69' 🔄 In: Jonathan Herrera
70' 🟥 Tobías Andrada
71' ⚽ Gonzalo Montiel
72' 🔄 In: Gaston Gonzalez
72' 🔄 In: Lautaro Pereyra
73' 🔄 In: Francisco Ortega
82' 🟥 Fausto Vera
84' 🔄 In: Lucas Beltran
89' 🟥 Manuel García
90' 🔄 In: Agustín Nadruz
90' 🔄 In: Pablo Daniel Magnin

Lineups

Sarmiento Junin Home
  • T. Ayala
  • S. Salle
  • R. Orihuela
  • J. Insaurralde
  • L. Suárez
  • J. Contrera
  • M. García
  • C. Zabala
  • Jhon Rentería
  • J. Marabel
  • J. Mavilla
River Plate Away
  • S. Beltrán
  • G. Montiel
  • L. Martínez
  • N. Otamendi
  • M. Acuña
  • F. Vera
  • T. Andrada
  • T. Almada
  • T. Galván
  • Á. Correa
  • S. Driussi

Sarmiento Junin Season

Rank#8
Points21
Matches Left23

River Plate Season

Rank#4
Points26
Matches Left22

Sarmiento Junin Last 5

Rosario Central 1 - 2
Gimnasia L.P. 2 - 0
Barracas Central 1 - 1
River Plate 1 - 1
Aldosivi 1 - 3

River Plate Last 5

Boca Juniors 1 - 0
Racing Club 1 - 0
Belgrano Cordoba 0 - 3
Sarmiento Junin 1 - 1
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 1 - 0

Head-to-Head

Sarmiento Junin: 1 Draws: 1 River Plate: 3
2026 River Plate 2 - 0 Sarmiento Junin
2025 River Plate 0 - 1 Sarmiento Junin
2025 Sarmiento Junin 1 - 1 River Plate
2024 River Plate 1 - 0 Sarmiento Junin
2023 Sarmiento Junin 0 - 2 River Plate

Form Analysis

Sarmiento Junin
L L D D W
River Plate
W L W W D

Sarmiento Junin Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.50
Goals scored12
Goals conceded9
Matches8
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.13

River Plate Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.38
Goals scored11
Goals conceded7
Matches8
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)0.88

Match Statistics

11Shots22
4Shots on Target8
5Corners9
27%Possession73%
3Yellow Cards2

Expected Goals (xG)

Sarmiento Junin
0.95
River Plate
1.52

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Sarmiento Junin vs River Plate is a Football football match on October 14, 2026 at Estadio Eva Perón de Junín. Recent form is 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses (form: LLDDW) for Sarmiento Junin and 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses (form: WLWWD) for River Plate. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 Finished
📍 Estadio Eva Perón de Junín

Standings & Context

In the Football standings, Sarmiento Junin is currently #8 with 21 points from 15 matches, while River Plate is #4 with 26 points from 16. Recent head-to-head history: Sarmiento Junin won 1, 1 were drawn and River Plate won 3 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Sarmiento Junin at 1.50 goals scored and 1.13 conceded per home match, versus River Plate at 1.38 goals scored and 0.88 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 0.95 for Sarmiento Junin and 1.52 for River Plate. For this finished match, the recorded prediction accuracy is 75% (result: 1 - 1).

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.