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Sassuolo
L L L L L
VS
AI Predicts: 1-2
Away

Genoa
L W W W L
1X2 Genoa 48%
O/U Over 2.5 62%
DC X2 69%
BTTS Yes 64%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Sassuolo 28% Draw 24% Genoa 48%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between Sassuolo and Genoa?

Our prediction for the Sassuolo–Genoa match is: Genoa to win or draw.

Other OPWIN picks

Genoa to win (48% confidence); over 2.5 goals (62% confidence); both teams to score: yes (64% confidence)

Sassuolo

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Sassuolo scored an average of 1.20 goals and conceded 3.80 per match.

Genoa

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Genoa scored an average of 1.20 goals and conceded 1.00 per match.

How the recent evidence fits the pick

Recent results add context to Double chance: Draw or Away (X2): Sassuolo scored 1.20 and conceded 3.80 per match across 5 covered games; Genoa scored 1.20 and conceded 1.00 across 5.

Players to watch

Across 5 recent recorded appearances, A. Laurienté contributed 2 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 6.85/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 2 recent recorded appearances, T. Baldanzi contributed 1 goal(s) and 2 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.68/10 across 2 rated appearances.

Recent squad-performance signal

Across recent rated squad performances used by Team Intelligence, Genoa records a mean of 6.63/10 versus 6.21/10 for Sassuolo.

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The current record lists P. Vieira as coach of Genoa. The latest recorded formations are Sassuolo in 3-5-2 (Nov 7, 2026) and Genoa in 3-4-2-1 (Nov 8, 2026). Across 9 recent matches with possession and shot data, Sassuolo averaged 47.3% possession and 11.0 shots per match (3.9 on target), a a more balanced possession and shot profile profile. Across 9 matches, Genoa averaged 42.1% possession and 12.2 shots (3.4 on target), a a lower-possession profile that still produces shots profile. The recorded numbers do not show a pronounced gap in possession or shot volume.

Home and away performance

In 5 recent home matches, Sassuolo recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses, averaging 1.40 points, 2.00 goals scored and 2.80 conceded per match. Away from home, Genoa recorded 1 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses in 4 matches, averaging 0.75 points, 0.75 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per match. This sample favours the home side’s recent home record relative to the away side’s road record.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.55 — 1.60 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

136%Sassuolo
X25%Draw
239%Genoa
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes64%
No36%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 83%U 17%
O/U 2.5O 61%U 39%
O/U 3.5O 38%U 62%
O/U 4.5O 21%U 79%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Sassuolo
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 93%

The model assigns 93% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Sassuolo.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 80%

A different goal line with 80% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 79%U 21%
1.5O 46%U 54%
2.5O 20%U 80%
3.5O 7%U 93%
Genoa
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 92%

The model assigns 92% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Genoa.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 80%

A different goal line with 80% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 80%U 20%
1.5O 47%U 53%
2.5O 22%U 78%
3.5O 8%U 92%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Sassuolo20%
Genoa21%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Sassuolo15%
Genoa16%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Sassuolo48%
Genoa52%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Sassuolo
-1.5W 18%P 0%L 82%
-1W 18%P 18%L 64%
-0.5W 36%P 0%L 64%
0W 36%P 25%L 39%
+0.5W 61%P 0%L 39%
+1W 61%P 19%L 20%
+1.5W 80%P 0%L 20%
Genoa
-1.5W 20%P 0%L 80%
-1W 20%P 19%L 61%
-0.5W 39%P 0%L 61%
0W 39%P 25%L 36%
+0.5W 64%P 0%L 36%
+1W 64%P 18%L 18%
+1.5W 82%P 0%L 18%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-111.51%
#21-28.49%
#32-18.21%
#42-26.56%
#50-16.23%
Combined Top 541.00%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Sassuolo + BTTS21%
Genoa + BTTS22%
Draw + BTTS20%

Sassuolo Season

Rank#17
Points8
Matches Left27

Genoa Season

Rank#13
Points13
Matches Left27

Sassuolo Last 5

AS Roma 3 - 0
Fiorentina 2 - 4
Lazio 2 - 6
Como 2 - 0
Frosinone 4 - 2

Genoa Last 5

AC Milan 1 - 2
Lecce 1 - 2
Juventus 2 - 0
Venezia 1 - 0
AS Roma 2 - 0

Head-to-Head

Sassuolo: 0 Draws: 1 Genoa: 4
2026 Genoa 2 - 1 Sassuolo
2025 Sassuolo 1 - 2 Genoa
2024 Genoa 2 - 1 Sassuolo
2023 Sassuolo 1 - 2 Genoa
2022 Sassuolo 1 - 1 Genoa

Form Analysis

Sassuolo
L L L L L
Genoa
L W W W L

Sassuolo Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
2.00
Goals scored10
Goals conceded14
Matches5
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)2.80

Genoa Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
0.75
Goals scored3
Goals conceded6
Matches4
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.50

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

Sassuolo
1.45
Genoa
1.78

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Sassuolo vs Genoa is a Serie A football match on November 22, 2026 at Mapei Stadium - Città del Tricolore. Recent form is 0 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses (form: LLLLL) for Sassuolo and 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses (form: LWWWL) for Genoa. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 22 Nov 2026
📍 Mapei Stadium - Città del Tricolore

Standings & Context

In the Serie A standings, Sassuolo is currently #17 with 8 points from 11 matches, while Genoa is #13 with 13 points from 11. Recent head-to-head history: Sassuolo won 0, 1 were drawn and Genoa won 4 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Sassuolo at 2.00 goals scored and 2.80 conceded per home match, versus Genoa at 0.75 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 1.45 for Sassuolo and 1.78 for Genoa.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.