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SC Freiburg
W W D W L
VS
AI Predicts: 2-1
Away

Bayern München
W D D W D
1X2 SC Freiburg 38%
O/U Over 2.5 73%
DC 1X 84%
BTTS Yes 66%
OpWin AI Probabilities
SC Freiburg 38% Draw 25% Bayern München 37%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between SC Freiburg and Bayern München?

Our prediction for the SC Freiburg–Bayern München match is: SC Freiburg to win or draw.

Other OPWIN picks

SC Freiburg to win (38% confidence); over 2.5 goals (73% confidence); both teams to score: yes (66% confidence)

SC Freiburg

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, SC Freiburg scored an average of 2.20 goals and conceded 1.00 per match.

Bayern München

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Bayern München scored an average of 4.00 goals and conceded 1.60 per match.

How the recent evidence fits the pick

Recent results add context to Double chance: Home or Draw (1X): SC Freiburg scored 2.20 and conceded 1.00 per match across 5 covered games; Bayern München scored 4.00 and conceded 1.60 across 5.

Players to watch

Across 5 recent recorded appearances, D. Scherhant contributed 2 goal(s) and 2 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.45/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 5 recent recorded appearances, H. Kane contributed 6 goal(s) and 5 assist(s). Available ratings average 8.42/10 across 5 rated appearances.

Recent squad-performance signal

Across recent rated squad performances used by Team Intelligence, Bayern München records a mean of 6.77/10 versus 6.59/10 for SC Freiburg.

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The latest recorded formations are SC Freiburg in 4-2-3-1 (Oct 18, 2026) and Bayern München in 4-2-3-1 (Oct 21, 2026). Across 5 recent matches with possession and shot data, SC Freiburg averaged 52.6% possession and 15.6 shots per match (5.4 on target), a high shot volume profile. Across 8 matches, Bayern München averaged 66.1% possession and 23.4 shots (9.8 on target), a possession control with high shot volume profile. The clearest contrast in this sample is possession share.

Home and away performance

In 3 recent home matches, SC Freiburg recorded 3 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses, averaging 3.00 points, 3.67 goals scored and 0.67 conceded per match. Away from home, Bayern München recorded 1 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses in 4 matches, averaging 1.50 points, 1.75 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per match. This sample favours the home side’s recent home record relative to the away side’s road record.

This Bundesliga fixture takes place at Europa-Park Stadion (Freiburg).

Recent results show that SC Freiburg have a stronger record at home than away: 3 wins in 3 home matches, averaging 3.0 points per home match compared with 1.3 away. This points to a positive home-performance trend.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.83 — 1.51 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

145%SC Freiburg
X24%Draw
231%Bayern München
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes66%
No34%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 85%U 15%
O/U 2.5O 65%U 35%
O/U 3.5O 43%U 57%
O/U 4.5O 24%U 76%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

SC Freiburg
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 89%

The model assigns 89% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for SC Freiburg.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 84%

A different goal line with 84% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 84%U 16%
1.5O 55%U 45%
2.5O 28%U 72%
3.5O 11%U 89%
Bayern München
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 93%

The model assigns 93% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Bayern München.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 81%

A different goal line with 81% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 78%U 22%
1.5O 44%U 56%
2.5O 19%U 81%
3.5O 7%U 93%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

SC Freiburg22%
Bayern München16%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

SC Freiburg18%
Bayern München12%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

SC Freiburg59%
Bayern München41%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

SC Freiburg
-1.5W 25%P 0%L 75%
-1W 25%P 20%L 55%
-0.5W 45%P 0%L 55%
0W 45%P 24%L 31%
+0.5W 69%P 0%L 31%
+1W 69%P 16%L 15%
+1.5W 85%P 0%L 15%
Bayern München
-1.5W 15%P 0%L 85%
-1W 15%P 16%L 69%
-0.5W 31%P 0%L 69%
0W 31%P 24%L 45%
+0.5W 55%P 0%L 45%
+1W 55%P 20%L 25%
+1.5W 75%P 0%L 25%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-110.56%
#22-18.95%
#31-27.37%
#42-26.75%
#52-05.93%
Combined Top 539.56%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

SC Freiburg + BTTS27%
Bayern München + BTTS19%
Draw + BTTS20%

SC Freiburg Season

Rank#3
Points13
Matches Left28

Bayern München Season

Rank#1
Points14
Matches Left28

SC Freiburg Last 5

Bayer Leverkusen 2 - 1
FC Schalke 04 2 - 1
Eintracht Frankfurt 2 - 2
Borussia Mönchengladbach 5 - 0
SC Paderborn 07 0 - 1

Bayern München Last 5

Arsenal 2 - 2
RB Leipzig 6 - 1
Viking 3 - 3
FC Augsburg 2 - 2
Union Berlin 7 - 0

Head-to-Head

SC Freiburg: 0 Draws: 1 Bayern München: 4
2026 SC Freiburg 2 - 3 Bayern München
2025 Bayern München 6 - 2 SC Freiburg
2025 SC Freiburg 1 - 2 Bayern München
2024 Bayern München 2 - 0 SC Freiburg
2024 SC Freiburg 2 - 2 Bayern Munich

Form Analysis

SC Freiburg
W W D W L
Bayern München
W D D W D

SC Freiburg Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
3.67
Goals scored11
Goals conceded2
Matches3
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)0.67

Bayern München Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.75
Goals scored7
Goals conceded6
Matches4
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.50

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

SC Freiburg
2.67
Bayern München
1.26

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

SC Freiburg vs Bayern München is a Bundesliga football match on October 25, 2026 at Europa-Park Stadion. Recent form is 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses (form: WWDWL) for SC Freiburg and 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses (form: WDDWD) for Bayern München. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 25 Oct 2026
📍 Europa-Park Stadion

Standings & Context

In the Bundesliga standings, SC Freiburg is currently #3 with 13 points from 6 matches, while Bayern München is #1 with 14 points from 6. Recent head-to-head history: SC Freiburg won 0, 1 were drawn and Bayern München won 4 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows SC Freiburg at 3.67 goals scored and 0.67 conceded per home match, versus Bayern München at 1.75 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 2.67 for SC Freiburg and 1.26 for Bayern München.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.