What is the prediction for the football match between Sevilla and Alaves?
Our prediction for the Sevilla–Alaves match is: Sevilla to win or draw.
Other OPWIN picks
Sevilla to win (44% confidence); over 1.5 goals (79% confidence); both teams to score: yes (62% confidence)
Sevilla
Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Sevilla scored an average of 1.60 goals and conceded 2.60 per match.
Alaves
Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Alaves scored an average of 0.80 goals and conceded 2.20 per match.
How the recent evidence fits the pick
Recent results add context to Double chance: Home or Draw (1X): Sevilla scored 1.60 and conceded 2.60 per match across 5 covered games; Alaves scored 0.80 and conceded 2.20 across 5.
Players to watch
Across 5 recent recorded appearances, R. Ure contributed 1 goal(s) and 1 assist(s). Available ratings average 6.83/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 5 recent recorded appearances, M. Díaz contributed 1 goal(s) and 1 assist(s). Available ratings average 6.51/10 across 5 rated appearances.
Tactical matchup and recent shapes
The latest recorded formations are Sevilla in 4-4-2 (Nov 1, 2026) and Alaves in 4-5-1 (Oct 31, 2026). Across 8 recent matches with possession and shot data, Sevilla averaged 42.9% possession and 11.9 shots per match (4.6 on target), a a lower-possession profile that still produces shots profile. Across 8 matches, Alaves averaged 42.3% possession and 12.3 shots (4.6 on target), a a lower-possession profile that still produces shots profile. The recorded numbers do not show a pronounced gap in possession or shot volume.
Home and away performance
In 4 recent home matches, Sevilla recorded 2 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses, averaging 1.50 points, 1.25 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per match. Away from home, Alaves recorded 0 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses in 4 matches, averaging 0.25 points, 0.75 goals scored and 2.50 conceded per match. This sample favours the home side’s recent home record relative to the away side’s road record.
This La Liga fixture takes place at Estadio Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán (Seville).
Recent results show no clear home advantage for Sevilla: 1.5 points per home match compared with 1.0 away, with performance varying between matches.
This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.