OpWin.

Menu
Home Results Rankings
Tools
Odds Converter Kelly Calculator
Settings
Language
EN FR ES PT IT AR
Dark Mode
About Privacy
Home

Sevilla
W W L D L
VS
AI Predicts: 2-1
Away

Osasuna
L L D L W
1X2 Sevilla 38%
O/U Over 2.5 78%
DC 1X 72%
BTTS Yes 67%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Sevilla 38% Draw 26% Osasuna 36%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between Sevilla and Osasuna?

Our prediction for the Sevilla–Osasuna match is: over 2.5 goals.

Other OPWIN picks

Sevilla to win (38% confidence); Sevilla to win or draw (72% confidence); both teams to score: yes (67% confidence)

Sevilla

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Sevilla scored an average of 1.40 goals and conceded 2.00 per match.

Osasuna

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Osasuna scored an average of 1.00 goals and conceded 2.40 per match.

Players to watch

Across 5 recent recorded appearances, R. Ure contributed 1 goal(s) and 1 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.00/10 across 4 rated appearances. Across 5 recent recorded appearances, A. Budimir contributed 3 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 6.98/10 across 5 rated appearances.

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The current record lists P. Vasiljević as coach of Osasuna. The latest recorded formations are Sevilla in 4-2-3-1 (Oct 18, 2026) and Osasuna in 4-3-3 (Oct 18, 2026). Across 6 recent matches with possession and shot data, Sevilla averaged 41.0% possession and 11.0 shots per match (4.3 on target), a a lower-possession profile that still produces shots profile. Across 6 matches, Osasuna averaged 45.2% possession and 10.2 shots (4.2 on target), a a lower-possession profile that still produces shots profile. The recorded numbers do not show a pronounced gap in possession or shot volume.

Home and away performance

In 3 recent home matches, Sevilla recorded 1 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses, averaging 1.00 points, 1.00 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per match. Away from home, Osasuna recorded 1 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses in 4 matches, averaging 0.75 points, 1.50 goals scored and 3.75 conceded per match. These split records do not show a clear points-per-match advantage for either side.

This La Liga fixture takes place at Estadio Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán (Sevilla).

Sevilla's recent home record is weaker than its away record: 2 defeats in 3 home matches, averaging 1.0 points per home match compared with 1.3 away.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.78 — 1.59 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

142%Sevilla
X24%Draw
234%Osasuna
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes67%
No33%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 86%U 14%
O/U 2.5O 65%U 35%
O/U 3.5O 43%U 57%
O/U 4.5O 25%U 75%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Sevilla
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 89%

The model assigns 89% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Sevilla.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 83%

A different goal line with 83% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 83%U 17%
1.5O 53%U 47%
2.5O 26%U 74%
3.5O 11%U 89%
Osasuna
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 92%

The model assigns 92% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Osasuna.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 80%

A different goal line with 80% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 80%U 20%
1.5O 47%U 53%
2.5O 21%U 79%
3.5O 8%U 92%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Sevilla20%
Osasuna17%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Sevilla16%
Osasuna13%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Sevilla55%
Osasuna45%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Sevilla
-1.5W 23%P 0%L 77%
-1W 23%P 19%L 58%
-0.5W 42%P 0%L 58%
0W 42%P 24%L 34%
+0.5W 66%P 0%L 34%
+1W 66%P 17%L 17%
+1.5W 83%P 0%L 17%
Osasuna
-1.5W 17%P 0%L 83%
-1W 17%P 17%L 66%
-0.5W 34%P 0%L 66%
0W 34%P 24%L 42%
+0.5W 58%P 0%L 42%
+1W 58%P 19%L 23%
+1.5W 77%P 0%L 23%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-110.41%
#22-18.66%
#31-27.70%
#42-26.87%
#51-05.60%
Combined Top 539.24%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Sevilla + BTTS26%
Osasuna + BTTS21%
Draw + BTTS20%

Sevilla Season

Rank#6
Points14
Matches Left29

Osasuna Season

Rank#10
Points11
Matches Left29

Sevilla Last 5

Real Madrid 4 - 1
Levante 3 - 3
Barcelona 1 - 3
Deportivo La Coruna 0 - 1
Valencia 1 - 0

Osasuna Last 5

Racing Santander 2 - 0
Real Betis 5 - 2
Rayo Vallecano 1 - 1
Atletico Madrid 4 - 0
Espanyol 0 - 2

Head-to-Head

Sevilla: 1 Draws: 2 Osasuna: 2
2026 Osasuna 2 - 1 Sevilla
2025 Sevilla 1 - 0 Osasuna
2025 Osasuna 1 - 0 Sevilla
2024 Sevilla 1 - 1 Osasuna
2024 Sevilla 1 - 1 Osasuna

Form Analysis

Sevilla
L D L W W
Osasuna
W L D L L

Sevilla Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.25
Goals scored5
Goals conceded7
Matches4
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.75

Osasuna Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.50
Goals scored6
Goals conceded15
Matches4
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)3.75

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

Sevilla
2.44
Osasuna
1.79

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Sevilla vs Osasuna is a La Liga football match on October 26, 2026 at Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán. Recent form is 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses (form: LDLWW) for Sevilla and 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses (form: WLDLL) for Osasuna. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 26 Oct 2026
📍 Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán

Standings & Context

In the La Liga standings, Sevilla is currently #6 with 14 points from 9 matches, while Osasuna is #10 with 11 points from 9. Recent head-to-head history: Sevilla won 1, 2 were drawn and Osasuna won 2 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Sevilla at 1.25 goals scored and 1.75 conceded per home match, versus Osasuna at 1.50 goals scored and 3.75 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 2.44 for Sevilla and 1.79 for Osasuna.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.