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St. Louis City
L L L L W
VS
AI Predicts: 2-1
Away

Los Angeles FC
W D D L L
1X2 St. Louis City 53%
O/U Over 2.5 62%
DC 1X 76%
BTTS Yes 64%
OpWin AI Probabilities
St. Louis City 53% Draw 20% Los Angeles FC 27%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between St. Louis City and Los Angeles FC?

Our prediction for the St. Louis City–Los Angeles FC match is: St. Louis City to win or draw.

Other OPWIN picks

St. Louis City to win (53% confidence); over 2.5 goals (62% confidence); both teams to score: yes (64% confidence)

St. Louis City

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, St. Louis City scored an average of 1.00 goals and conceded 2.00 per match.

Los Angeles FC

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Los Angeles FC scored an average of 1.60 goals and conceded 1.80 per match.

How the recent evidence fits the pick

Recent results add context to Double chance: Home or Draw (1X): St. Louis City scored 1.00 and conceded 2.00 per match across 5 covered games; Los Angeles FC scored 1.60 and conceded 1.80 across 5.

Players to watch

Across 4 recent recorded appearances, Jeong Sang-Bin contributed 1 goal(s) and 1 assist(s). Available ratings average 6.65/10 across 4 rated appearances. Across 5 recent recorded appearances, Son Heung-Min contributed 1 goal(s) and 2 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.23/10 across 5 rated appearances.

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The current record lists M. Dos Santos as coach of Los Angeles FC. The latest recorded formations are St. Louis City in 3-4-3 (Nov 8, 2026) and Los Angeles FC in 4-2-3-1 (Nov 8, 2026). Across 12 recent matches with possession and shot data, St. Louis City averaged 56.0% possession and 12.1 shots per match (5.6 on target), a possession control with high shot volume profile. Across 11 matches, Los Angeles FC averaged 47.6% possession and 16.7 shots (5.9 on target), a high shot volume profile. The clearest contrast in this sample is shot production.

Home and away performance

In 7 recent home matches, St. Louis City recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses, averaging 1.57 points, 2.57 goals scored and 1.71 conceded per match. Away from home, Los Angeles FC recorded 0 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses in 7 matches, averaging 0.57 points, 1.00 goals scored and 1.57 conceded per match. This sample favours the home side’s recent home record relative to the away side’s road record.

This Major League Soccer fixture takes place at CITYPARK.

Recent results show no clear home advantage for St. Louis City: 1.6 points per home match compared with 1.7 away, with performance varying between matches.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.68 — 1.49 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

141%St. Louis City
X25%Draw
234%Los Angeles FC
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes64%
No36%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 83%U 17%
O/U 2.5O 61%U 39%
O/U 3.5O 39%U 61%
O/U 4.5O 21%U 79%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

St. Louis City
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 91%

The model assigns 91% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for St. Louis City.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 81%

A different goal line with 81% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 81%U 19%
1.5O 50%U 50%
2.5O 24%U 76%
3.5O 9%U 91%
Los Angeles FC
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 94%

The model assigns 94% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Los Angeles FC.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 81%

A different goal line with 81% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 78%U 22%
1.5O 44%U 56%
2.5O 19%U 81%
3.5O 6%U 94%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

St. Louis City22%
Los Angeles FC19%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

St. Louis City18%
Los Angeles FC14%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

St. Louis City55%
Los Angeles FC45%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

St. Louis City
-1.5W 22%P 0%L 78%
-1W 22%P 20%L 59%
-0.5W 41%P 0%L 59%
0W 41%P 25%L 34%
+0.5W 66%P 0%L 34%
+1W 66%P 18%L 16%
+1.5W 84%P 0%L 16%
Los Angeles FC
-1.5W 16%P 0%L 84%
-1W 16%P 18%L 66%
-0.5W 34%P 0%L 66%
0W 34%P 25%L 41%
+0.5W 59%P 0%L 41%
+1W 59%P 20%L 22%
+1.5W 78%P 0%L 22%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-111.38%
#22-18.79%
#31-27.84%
#42-26.57%
#51-06.38%
Combined Top 540.96%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

St. Louis City + BTTS24%
Los Angeles FC + BTTS20%
Draw + BTTS20%

St. Louis City Season

Rank#3
Points54
Matches Left4

Los Angeles FC Season

Rank#6
Points47
Matches Left4

St. Louis City Last 5

Houston Dynamo 0 - 1
San Diego 0 - 1
Portland Timbers 2 - 3
Real Salt Lake 3 - 0
Minnesota United FC 3 - 2

Los Angeles FC Last 5

Seattle Sounders 2 - 1
Minnesota United FC 1 - 3
Los Angeles Galaxy 2 - 2
New York City FC 1 - 1
Austin 3 - 1

Head-to-Head

St. Louis City: 1 Draws: 1 Los Angeles FC: 3
2026 St. Louis City 2 - 1 Los Angeles FC
2026 Los Angeles FC 2 - 0 St. Louis City
2025 St. Louis City 0 - 3 Los Angeles FC
2025 Los Angeles FC 2 - 2 St. Louis City
2024 Los Angeles FC 1 - 0 St. Louis City

Form Analysis

St. Louis City
L L L L W
Los Angeles FC
W D D L L

St. Louis City Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
2.57
Goals scored18
Goals conceded12
Matches7
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.71

Los Angeles FC Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.00
Goals scored7
Goals conceded11
Matches7
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.57

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

St. Louis City
1.94
Los Angeles FC
1.27

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

St. Louis City vs Los Angeles FC is a Football football match on November 23, 2026 at CITYPARK. Recent form is 1 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses (form: LLLLW) for St. Louis City and 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses (form: WDDLL) for Los Angeles FC. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 23 Nov 2026
📍 CITYPARK

Standings & Context

In the Football standings, St. Louis City is currently #3 with 54 points from 34 matches, while Los Angeles FC is #6 with 47 points from 34. Recent head-to-head history: St. Louis City won 1, 1 were drawn and Los Angeles FC won 3 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows St. Louis City at 2.57 goals scored and 1.71 conceded per home match, versus Los Angeles FC at 1.00 goals scored and 1.57 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 1.94 for St. Louis City and 1.27 for Los Angeles FC.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.