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St. Louis City
W W W D L
VS
AI Predicts: 3-1
Away

Portland Timbers
L L D L D
1X2 St. Louis City 47%
O/U Over 2.5 78%
DC 1X 85%
BTTS Yes 67%
OpWin AI Probabilities
St. Louis City 47% Draw 28% Portland Timbers 25%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between St. Louis City and Portland Timbers?

Our prediction for the St. Louis City–Portland Timbers match is: St. Louis City to win or draw.

Other OPWIN picks

St. Louis City to win (47% confidence); over 2.5 goals (78% confidence); both teams to score: yes (67% confidence)

St. Louis City

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, St. Louis City scored an average of 2.80 goals and conceded 1.20 per match.

Portland Timbers

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Portland Timbers scored an average of 0.80 goals and conceded 1.80 per match.

How the recent evidence fits the pick

Recent results add context to Double chance: Home or Draw (1X): St. Louis City scored 2.80 and conceded 1.20 per match across 5 covered games; Portland Timbers scored 0.80 and conceded 1.80 across 5.

Players to watch

Across 4 recent recorded appearances, C. Holse contributed 4 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 8.07/10 across 4 rated appearances. Across 5 recent recorded appearances, David Pereira da Costa contributed 2 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.43/10 across 5 rated appearances.

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The current record lists Martí Cifuentes as coach of Portland Timbers. The latest recorded formations are St. Louis City in 3-4-1-2 (Oct 17, 2026) and Portland Timbers in 4-3-3 (Oct 18, 2026). Across 8 recent matches with possession and shot data, St. Louis City averaged 56.5% possession and 12.5 shots per match (6.4 on target), a possession control with high shot volume profile. Across 8 matches, Portland Timbers averaged 51.1% possession and 14.3 shots (4.1 on target), a high shot volume profile. The recorded numbers do not show a pronounced gap in possession or shot volume.

Home and away performance

In 5 recent home matches, St. Louis City recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses, averaging 2.20 points, 3.20 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per match. Away from home, Portland Timbers recorded 0 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses in 4 matches, averaging 0.25 points, 1.25 goals scored and 2.50 conceded per match. This sample favours the home side’s recent home record relative to the away side’s road record.

This Major League Soccer fixture takes place at CITYPARK (Saint Louis).

Recent results show no clear home advantage for St. Louis City: 2.2 points per home match compared with 1.8 away, with performance varying between matches.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.89 — 1.50 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

146%St. Louis City
X23%Draw
230%Portland Timbers
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes67%
No33%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 86%U 14%
O/U 2.5O 66%U 34%
O/U 3.5O 44%U 56%
O/U 4.5O 25%U 75%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

St. Louis City
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 88%

The model assigns 88% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for St. Louis City.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 85%

A different goal line with 85% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 85%U 15%
1.5O 56%U 44%
2.5O 29%U 71%
3.5O 12%U 88%
Portland Timbers
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 93%

The model assigns 93% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Portland Timbers.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 81%

A different goal line with 81% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 78%U 22%
1.5O 44%U 56%
2.5O 19%U 81%
3.5O 7%U 93%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

St. Louis City22%
Portland Timbers15%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

St. Louis City18%
Portland Timbers11%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

St. Louis City61%
Portland Timbers39%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

St. Louis City
-1.5W 26%P 0%L 74%
-1W 26%P 20%L 54%
-0.5W 46%P 0%L 54%
0W 46%P 23%L 30%
+0.5W 70%P 0%L 30%
+1W 70%P 16%L 14%
+1.5W 86%P 0%L 14%
Portland Timbers
-1.5W 14%P 0%L 86%
-1W 14%P 16%L 70%
-0.5W 30%P 0%L 70%
0W 30%P 23%L 46%
+0.5W 54%P 0%L 46%
+1W 54%P 20%L 26%
+1.5W 74%P 0%L 26%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-110.23%
#22-19.02%
#31-27.14%
#42-26.76%
#52-06.02%
Combined Top 539.17%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

St. Louis City + BTTS28%
Portland Timbers + BTTS19%
Draw + BTTS20%

St. Louis City Season

Rank#2
Points51
Matches Left8

Portland Timbers Season

Rank#11
Points34
Matches Left8

St. Louis City Last 5

Minnesota United FC 3 - 2
Vancouver Whitecaps 0 - 0
Los Angeles Galaxy 6 - 2
New York Red Bulls 0 - 3
Toronto FC 3 - 1

Portland Timbers Last 5

Colorado Rapids 0 - 0
Los Angeles Galaxy 2 - 0
Sporting Kansas City 3 - 3
San Jose Earthquakes 3 - 1
Atlanta United FC 0 - 1

Head-to-Head

St. Louis City: 1 Draws: 3 Portland Timbers: 1
2026 Portland Timbers 2 - 2 St. Louis City
2026 Portland Timbers - St. Louis City
2025 St. Louis City 2 - 1 Portland Timbers
2025 Portland Timbers 2 - 1 St. Louis City
2025 St. Louis City - Portland Timbers

Form Analysis

St. Louis City
L D W W W
Portland Timbers
D L D L L

St. Louis City Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
2.27
Goals scored34
Goals conceded19
Matches15
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.27

Portland Timbers Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.33
Goals scored20
Goals conceded31
Matches15
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)2.07

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

St. Louis City
3.00
Portland Timbers
1.37

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

St. Louis City vs Portland Timbers is a Football football match on October 28, 2026 at CITYPARK. Recent form is 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses (form: LDWWW) for St. Louis City and 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses (form: DLDLL) for Portland Timbers. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 28 Oct 2026
📍 CITYPARK

Standings & Context

In the Football standings, St. Louis City is currently #2 with 51 points from 30 matches, while Portland Timbers is #11 with 34 points from 30. Recent head-to-head history: St. Louis City won 1, 3 were drawn and Portland Timbers won 1 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows St. Louis City at 2.27 goals scored and 1.27 conceded per home match, versus Portland Timbers at 1.33 goals scored and 2.07 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 3.00 for St. Louis City and 1.37 for Portland Timbers.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.