What is the prediction for the football match between Stoke City and Millwall?
Our prediction for the Stoke City–Millwall match is: Stoke City to win or draw.
Other OPWIN picks
Stoke City to win (52% confidence); over 1.5 goals (77% confidence); both teams to score: yes (61% confidence)
Stoke City
Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Stoke City scored an average of 1.40 goals and conceded 0.40 per match.
Millwall
Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Millwall scored an average of 1.40 goals and conceded 2.20 per match.
How the recent evidence fits the pick
Recent results add context to Double chance: Home or Draw (1X): Stoke City scored 1.40 and conceded 0.40 per match across 5 covered games; Millwall scored 1.40 and conceded 2.20 across 5.
Players to watch
Across 5 recent recorded appearances, J. McGlynn contributed 3 goal(s) and 1 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.42/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 5 recent recorded appearances, K. Lisbie contributed 3 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 6.61/10 across 5 rated appearances.
Recent squad-performance signal
Across recent rated squad performances used by Team Intelligence, Stoke City records a mean of 6.60/10 versus 6.45/10 for Millwall.
Tactical matchup and recent shapes
The current records list M. Robins for Stoke City and A. Neil for Millwall. The latest recorded formations are Stoke City in 3-4-3 (Nov 7, 2026) and Millwall in 4-2-3-1 (Nov 7, 2026). Across 10 recent matches with possession and shot data, Stoke City averaged 47.4% possession and 11.5 shots per match (3.7 on target), a a more balanced possession and shot profile profile. Across 10 matches, Millwall averaged 48.4% possession and 13.6 shots (4.0 on target), a a more balanced possession and shot profile profile. The recorded numbers do not show a pronounced gap in possession or shot volume.
Home and away performance
In 4 recent home matches, Stoke City recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses, averaging 1.75 points, 1.50 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per match. Away from home, Millwall recorded 1 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses in 6 matches, averaging 0.67 points, 0.83 goals scored and 2.17 conceded per match. This sample favours the home side’s recent home record relative to the away side’s road record.
This Championship fixture takes place at Bet365 Stadium (Stoke on Trent).
Stoke City's recent home record is weaker than its away record: 1 defeats in 4 home matches, averaging 1.8 points per home match compared with 2.7 away.
This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.