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Sudtirol

L D L D D
VS
AI Predicts: 1-0
Away

Ascoli

D W W D D
1X2 Sudtirol 41%
O/U Under 2.5 63%
DC 1X 79%
BTTS Yes 59%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Sudtirol 41% Draw 26% Ascoli 33%
Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Free Pick Accuracy50%
Premium Expected goals 1.54 — 1.36 Reliability 0%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

141%Sudtirol
X26%Draw
233%Ascoli
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes59%
No41%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 79%U 21%
O/U 2.5O 55%U 45%
O/U 3.5O 33%U 67%
O/U 4.5O 17%U 83%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Sudtirol
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 93%

The model assigns 93% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Sudtirol.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 80%

A different goal line with 80% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 79%U 21%
1.5O 45%U 55%
2.5O 20%U 80%
3.5O 7%U 93%
Ascoli
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 95%

The model assigns 95% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Ascoli.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 84%

A different goal line with 84% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 74%U 26%
1.5O 39%U 61%
2.5O 16%U 84%
3.5O 5%U 95%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Sudtirol26%
Ascoli21%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Sudtirol19%
Ascoli15%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Sudtirol55%
Ascoli45%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Sudtirol
-1.5W 20%P 0%L 80%
-1W 20%P 20%L 59%
-0.5W 41%P 0%L 59%
0W 41%P 26%L 33%
+0.5W 67%P 0%L 33%
+1W 67%P 18%L 15%
+1.5W 85%P 0%L 15%
Ascoli
-1.5W 15%P 0%L 85%
-1W 15%P 18%L 67%
-0.5W 33%P 0%L 67%
0W 33%P 26%L 41%
+0.5W 59%P 0%L 41%
+1W 59%P 20%L 20%
+1.5W 80%P 0%L 20%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-112.47%
#22-18.84%
#31-27.83%
#41-07.76%
#50-16.80%
Combined Top 543.70%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Sudtirol + BTTS21%
Ascoli + BTTS18%
Draw + BTTS20%

Match Timeline

37' 🟥 Salvatore Molina
45' 🔄 In: Kenny Meddy Mixtur
48' 🟥 Giacomo Stabile
60' 🟥 Vasco Rafael Fortes Lopes
66' 🔄 In: Rares Burnete
67' 🟥 Rares Burnete
73' 🔄 In: Giacomo De Pieri
73' 🔄 In: amine chakir
73' 🔄 In: Gennao Acampora
75' 🟥 Nicholas Rizzo
75' 🔄 In: Lorenzo Anghele
80' 🔄 In: Davide Veroli
80' 🔄 In: Dhirar Brik
87' 🔄 In: Don Bolsius

Lineups

Sudtirol Home
  • A. Plizzari
  • S. Molina
  • R. Stivanello
  • A. Giorgini
  • G. Stabile
  • S. Davì
  • Vasco Lopes
  • S. Tronchin
  • Fabio Rispoli
  • A. Vasic
  • A. Okoro
Ascoli Away
  • S. Vitale
  • A. Oliveri
  • M. Curado
  • N. Rizzo
  • A. Guiébré
  • S. Damiani
  • G. Corradini
  • A. Silipo
  • T. Milanese
  • S. D'Uffizi
  • Matteo Brunori

Sudtirol Season

Rank#12
Points15
Matches Left27

Ascoli Season

Rank#3
Points20
Matches Left27

Sudtirol Last 5

Pisa 2 - 2
Cesena 1 - 1
Padova 2 - 0
Sampdoria 1 - 1
Juve Stabia 3 - 0

Ascoli Last 5

Palermo 1 - 1
Arezzo 0 - 0
Sampdoria 2 - 0
Catanzaro 1 - 6
Empoli 1 - 1

Head-to-Head

Sudtirol: 2 Draws: 1 Ascoli: 1
2024 Ascoli 1 - 2 Sudtirol
2023 Sudtirol 3 - 1 Ascoli
2023 Ascoli 1 - 0 Sudtirol
2022 Sudtirol 2 - 2 Ascoli

Form Analysis

Sudtirol
L D L D D
Ascoli
D W W D D

Sudtirol Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
0.67
Goals scored2
Goals conceded2
Matches3
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)0.67

Ascoli Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
2.00
Goals scored6
Goals conceded1
Matches3
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)0.33

Match Statistics

16Shots9
4Shots on Target2
5Corners5
42%Possession58%
4Yellow Cards1

Expected Goals (xG)

Sudtirol
1.37
Ascoli
0.82

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Sudtirol vs Ascoli is a Football football match on October 10, 2026 at Stadio Marco Druso. Recent form is 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses (form: LDLDD) for Sudtirol and 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses (form: DWWDD) for Ascoli. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 Finished
📍 Stadio Marco Druso

Standings & Context

In the Football standings, Sudtirol is currently #12 with 15 points from 11 matches, while Ascoli is #3 with 20 points from 11. Recent head-to-head history: Sudtirol won 2, 1 were drawn and Ascoli won 1 across the last 4 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Sudtirol at 0.67 goals scored and 0.67 conceded per home match, versus Ascoli at 2.00 goals scored and 0.33 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 1.37 for Sudtirol and 0.82 for Ascoli. For this finished match, the recorded prediction accuracy is 50% (result: 0 - 0).

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.