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Swansea

L L W L L
VS
AI Predicts: 3-1
Away

Norwich

L W W W W
1X2 Swansea 58%
O/U Over 2.5 83%
DC 1X 83%
BTTS Yes 69%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Swansea 58% Draw 22% Norwich 21%
Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Free Pick Accuracy100%
Premium Expected goals 1.95 — 1.60 Reliability 60%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

146%Swansea
X23%Draw
231%Norwich
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes69%
No31%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 88%U 13%
O/U 2.5O 69%U 31%
O/U 3.5O 47%U 53%
O/U 4.5O 28%U 72%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Swansea
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 87%

The model assigns 87% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Swansea.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 86%

A different goal line with 86% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 86%U 14%
1.5O 58%U 42%
2.5O 31%U 69%
3.5O 13%U 87%
Norwich
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 92%

The model assigns 92% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Norwich.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 80%

A different goal line with 80% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 80%U 20%
1.5O 47%U 53%
2.5O 22%U 78%
3.5O 8%U 92%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Swansea20%
Norwich14%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Swansea17%
Norwich11%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Swansea59%
Norwich41%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Swansea
-1.5W 26%P 0%L 74%
-1W 26%P 20%L 54%
-0.5W 46%P 0%L 54%
0W 46%P 23%L 31%
+0.5W 69%P 0%L 31%
+1W 69%P 16%L 15%
+1.5W 85%P 0%L 15%
Norwich
-1.5W 15%P 0%L 85%
-1W 15%P 16%L 69%
-0.5W 31%P 0%L 69%
0W 31%P 23%L 46%
+0.5W 54%P 0%L 46%
+1W 54%P 20%L 26%
+1.5W 74%P 0%L 26%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-19.69%
#22-18.73%
#31-27.13%
#42-26.97%
#53-15.69%
Combined Top 538.21%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Swansea + BTTS29%
Norwich + BTTS21%
Draw + BTTS20%

Match Timeline

22' 🟥 Jay Fulton
28' ⚽ Jacob Wright
49' ⚽ Moussa Kounfolo Yeo
58' 🟥 Pelle Mattsson
59' ⚽ Adam Idah
63' 🔄 In: Zan Vipotnik
63' 🔄 In: Samuel Field
70' 🔄 In: Marko Stamenić
70' 🔄 In: Elijah Just
70' 🔄 In: Anthony Musaba
70' 🔄 In: J. Makama
84' 🔄 In: Jenson Seelt
84' 🔄 In: Eom Ji-Sung
85' 🔄 In: Anis Ben Slimane

Lineups

Swansea Home
  • L. Vigouroux
  • F. Lissah
  • B. Cabango
  • S. Welsh
  • J. Tymon
  • Gonçalo Franco
  • J. Fulton
  • M. Widell
  • M. Yeo
  • A. Idah
  • Joseph Okopu
Norwich Away
  • V. Kovačević
  • J. Stacey
  • Ruairi McConville
  • J. Córdoba
  • D. Yongwa
  • Jacob Wright
  • P. Mattsson
  • A. Brooks
  • P. Maghoma
  • O. Schwartau
  • M. Kvistgaarden

Swansea Season

Rank#6
Points26
Matches Left23

Norwich Season

Rank#12
Points21
Matches Left23

Swansea Last 5

Birmingham 2 - 1
Portsmouth 3 - 1
Blackburn 4 - 0
QPR 5 - 0
West Ham 0 - 1

Norwich Last 5

Bristol City 0 - 5
Derby 0 - 4
Watford 3 - 2
Charlton 1 - 3
Portsmouth 0 - 1

Head-to-Head

Swansea: 2 Draws: 2 Norwich: 1
2026 Norwich 1 - 1 Swansea
2025 Swansea 2 - 1 Norwich
2025 Norwich 5 - 1 Swansea
2024 Swansea 1 - 0 Norwich
2024 Norwich 2 - 2 Swansea

Form Analysis

Swansea
L L W L L
Norwich
W W W W L

Swansea Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.57
Goals scored11
Goals conceded3
Matches7
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)0.43

Norwich Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
2.38
Goals scored19
Goals conceded12
Matches8
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.50

Match Statistics

12Shots11
8Shots on Target5
3Corners2
57%Possession43%
1Yellow Cards1

Expected Goals (xG)

Swansea
3.40
Norwich
1.79

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Swansea vs Norwich is a Football football match on October 10, 2026 at Swansea.com Stadium. Recent form is 1 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses (form: LLWLL) for Swansea and 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 losses (form: WWWWL) for Norwich. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 Finished
📍 Swansea.com Stadium

Standings & Context

In the Football standings, Swansea is currently #6 with 26 points from 15 matches, while Norwich is #12 with 21 points from 15. Recent head-to-head history: Swansea won 2, 2 were drawn and Norwich won 1 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Swansea at 1.57 goals scored and 0.43 conceded per home match, versus Norwich at 2.38 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 3.40 for Swansea and 1.79 for Norwich. For this finished match, the recorded prediction accuracy is 100% (result: 2 - 1).

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.