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Torino

W L D W W
VS
AI Predicts: 2-1
Away

Monza

D L W L W
1X2 Torino 40%
O/U Over 2.5 60%
DC 1X 69%
BTTS Yes 63%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Torino 40% Draw 25% Monza 35%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between Torino and Monza?

Our prediction for the Torino–Monza match is: Torino to win or draw.

Other OPWIN picks

Torino to win (40% confidence); over 2.5 goals (60% confidence); both teams to score: yes (63% confidence)

Torino

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Torino scored an average of 1.60 goals and conceded 1.00 per match.

Monza

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Monza scored an average of 2.00 goals and conceded 1.60 per match.

How the recent evidence fits the pick

Recent results add context to Double chance: Home or Draw (1X): Torino scored 1.60 and conceded 1.00 per match across 5 covered games; Monza scored 2.00 and conceded 1.60 across 5.

Players to watch

Across 3 recent recorded appearances, C. Adams contributed 2 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.39/10 across 3 rated appearances. Across 4 recent recorded appearances, Gustavo Varela contributed 4 goal(s) and 1 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.78/10 across 4 rated appearances.

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The current records list M. Baroni for Torino and A. Nesta for Monza. The latest recorded formations are Torino in 3-4-1-2 (Oct 19, 2026) and Monza in 3-4-2-1 (Oct 19, 2026). Across 5 recent matches with possession and shot data, Torino averaged 52.0% possession and 9.6 shots per match (3.4 on target), a a more balanced possession and shot profile profile. Across 5 matches, Monza averaged 45.8% possession and 15.0 shots (6.6 on target), a a lower-possession profile that still produces shots profile. The clearest contrast in this sample is shot production.

This Serie A fixture takes place at Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino (Turin).

The recent records do not include at least three completed, scored matches both at home and away for Torino, so a reliable home/away effect cannot be assessed.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.61 — 1.52 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

139%Torino
X25%Draw
236%Monza
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes63%
No37%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 83%U 17%
O/U 2.5O 61%U 40%
O/U 3.5O 38%U 62%
O/U 4.5O 21%U 79%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Torino
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 92%

The model assigns 92% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Torino.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 80%

A different goal line with 80% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 80%U 20%
1.5O 48%U 52%
2.5O 22%U 78%
3.5O 8%U 92%
Monza
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 93%

The model assigns 93% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Monza.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 80%

A different goal line with 80% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 78%U 22%
1.5O 45%U 55%
2.5O 20%U 80%
3.5O 7%U 93%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Torino22%
Monza20%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Torino17%
Monza15%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Torino53%
Monza47%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Torino
-1.5W 20%P 0%L 80%
-1W 20%P 19%L 61%
-0.5W 39%P 0%L 61%
0W 39%P 25%L 36%
+0.5W 64%P 0%L 36%
+1W 64%P 18%L 17%
+1.5W 83%P 0%L 17%
Monza
-1.5W 17%P 0%L 83%
-1W 17%P 18%L 64%
-0.5W 36%P 0%L 64%
0W 36%P 25%L 39%
+0.5W 61%P 0%L 39%
+1W 61%P 19%L 20%
+1.5W 80%P 0%L 20%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-111.59%
#22-18.58%
#31-28.12%
#42-26.54%
#51-06.31%
Combined Top 541.14%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Torino + BTTS23%
Monza + BTTS21%
Draw + BTTS20%

Torino Season

Rank#10
Points10
Matches Left31

Monza Season

Rank#14
Points7
Matches Left31

Torino Last 5

Parma 0 - 3
Udinese 2 - 1
Bologna 1 - 1
AS Roma 0 - 2
Fiorentina 1 - 2

Monza Last 5

Cagliari 4 - 0
Lazio 3 - 1
Sassuolo 2 - 1
Lecce 3 - 2
Parma 1 - 1

Head-to-Head

Torino: 2 Draws: 2 Monza: 1
2026 Torino 0 - 1 Monza
2025 Monza 0 - 2 Torino
2024 Torino 1 - 1 Monza
2024 Torino 1 - 0 Monza
2023 Monza 1 - 1 Torino

Form Analysis

Torino
W W D L W
Monza
W L W L D

Torino Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.00
Goals scored3
Goals conceded5
Matches3
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.67

Monza Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.25
Goals scored5
Goals conceded11
Matches4
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)2.75

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

Torino
1.70
Monza
1.40

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Torino vs Monza is a Serie A football match on October 23, 2026 at Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino. Recent form is 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses (form: WWDLW) for Torino and 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses (form: WLWLD) for Monza. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 23 Oct 2026
📍 Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino

Standings & Context

In the Serie A standings, Torino is currently #10 with 10 points from 7 matches, while Monza is #14 with 7 points from 7. Recent head-to-head history: Torino won 2, 2 were drawn and Monza won 1 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Torino at 1.00 goals scored and 1.67 conceded per home match, versus Monza at 1.25 goals scored and 2.75 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 1.70 for Torino and 1.40 for Monza.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.