OpWin.

Menu
Home Results Rankings
Tools
Odds Converter Kelly Calculator
Settings
Language
EN FR ES PT IT AR
Dark Mode
About Privacy
Home

Toronto FC
L L W D W
VS
AI Predicts: 2-1
Away

DC United
D L W L L
1X2 Toronto FC 56%
O/U Over 2.5 79%
DC 1X 82%
BTTS Yes 68%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Toronto FC 56% Draw 24% DC United 20%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between Toronto FC and DC United?

Our prediction for the Toronto FC–DC United match is: Toronto FC to win or draw.

Other OPWIN picks

Toronto FC to win (56% confidence); over 2.5 goals (79% confidence); both teams to score: yes (68% confidence)

Toronto FC

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Toronto FC scored an average of 1.60 goals and conceded 1.80 per match.

DC United

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, DC United scored an average of 1.40 goals and conceded 2.80 per match.

How the recent evidence fits the pick

Recent results add context to Double chance: Home or Draw (1X): Toronto FC scored 1.60 and conceded 1.80 per match across 5 covered games; DC United scored 1.40 and conceded 2.80 across 5.

Players to watch

Across 5 recent recorded appearances, T. Corbeanu contributed 1 goal(s) and 2 assist(s). Available ratings average 6.93/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 5 recent recorded appearances, K. Nono contributed 3 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 6.94/10 across 5 rated appearances.

Recent squad-performance signal

Across recent rated squad performances used by Team Intelligence, Toronto FC records a mean of 6.77/10 versus 6.35/10 for DC United.

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The current records list R. Fraser for Toronto FC and R. Weiler for DC United. The latest recorded formations are Toronto FC in 4-4-2 (Oct 17, 2026) and DC United in 4-4-2 (Oct 21, 2026). Across 8 recent matches with possession and shot data, Toronto FC averaged 40.5% possession and 13.5 shots per match (4.9 on target), a a lower-possession profile that still produces shots profile. Across 8 matches, DC United averaged 37.3% possession and 14.0 shots (4.5 on target), a a lower-possession profile that still produces shots profile. The recorded numbers do not show a pronounced gap in possession or shot volume.

Home and away performance

In 5 recent home matches, Toronto FC recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses, averaging 1.80 points, 2.40 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per match. Away from home, DC United recorded 0 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses in 4 matches, averaging 0.25 points, 1.25 goals scored and 3.25 conceded per match. This sample favours the home side’s recent home record relative to the away side’s road record.

This Major League Soccer fixture takes place at BMO Field (Toronto).

Recent results show that Toronto FC have a stronger record at home than away: 2 wins in 5 home matches, averaging 1.8 points per home match compared with 0.8 away. This points to a positive home-performance trend.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.91 — 1.56 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

146%Toronto FC
X23%Draw
231%DC United
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes68%
No32%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 87%U 13%
O/U 2.5O 67%U 33%
O/U 3.5O 46%U 54%
O/U 4.5O 27%U 73%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Toronto FC
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 87%

The model assigns 87% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Toronto FC.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 85%

A different goal line with 85% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 85%U 15%
1.5O 57%U 43%
2.5O 30%U 70%
3.5O 13%U 87%
DC United
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 93%

The model assigns 93% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for DC United.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 79%

A different goal line with 79% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 79%U 21%
1.5O 46%U 54%
2.5O 21%U 79%
3.5O 7%U 93%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Toronto FC21%
DC United15%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Toronto FC17%
DC United11%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Toronto FC59%
DC United41%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Toronto FC
-1.5W 26%P 0%L 74%
-1W 26%P 20%L 54%
-0.5W 46%P 0%L 54%
0W 46%P 23%L 31%
+0.5W 69%P 0%L 31%
+1W 69%P 16%L 15%
+1.5W 85%P 0%L 15%
DC United
-1.5W 15%P 0%L 85%
-1W 15%P 16%L 69%
-0.5W 31%P 0%L 69%
0W 31%P 23%L 46%
+0.5W 54%P 0%L 46%
+1W 54%P 20%L 26%
+1.5W 74%P 0%L 26%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-19.98%
#22-18.83%
#31-27.21%
#42-26.89%
#52-05.66%
Combined Top 538.57%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Toronto FC + BTTS28%
DC United + BTTS20%
Draw + BTTS20%

Toronto FC Season

Rank#10
Points36
Matches Left8

DC United Season

Rank#13
Points33
Matches Left8

Toronto FC Last 5

New York Red Bulls 0 - 2
Orlando City SC 3 - 3
CF Montreal 2 - 1
Nashville SC 2 - 0
St. Louis City 3 - 1

DC United Last 5

FC Cincinnati 2 - 1
Orlando City SC 4 - 1
New York Red Bulls 2 - 1
Inter Miami 4 - 0
Vancouver Whitecaps 3 - 3

Head-to-Head

Toronto FC: 1 Draws: 2 DC United: 2
2026 DC United 2 - 1 Toronto FC
2025 Toronto FC 2 - 0 DC United
2025 DC United 2 - 2 Toronto FC
2024 Toronto FC 1 - 3 DC United
2024 DC United 2 - 2 Toronto FC

Form Analysis

Toronto FC
W D W L L
DC United
L L W L D

Toronto FC Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
2.13
Goals scored34
Goals conceded32
Matches16
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)2.00

DC United Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.20
Goals scored18
Goals conceded27
Matches15
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.80

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

Toronto FC
2.94
DC United
1.54

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Toronto FC vs DC United is a Football football match on October 28, 2026 at BMO Field. Recent form is 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses (form: WDWLL) for Toronto FC and 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses (form: LLWLD) for DC United. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 28 Oct 2026
📍 BMO Field

Standings & Context

In the Football standings, Toronto FC is currently #10 with 36 points from 30 matches, while DC United is #13 with 33 points from 30. Recent head-to-head history: Toronto FC won 1, 2 were drawn and DC United won 2 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Toronto FC at 2.13 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per home match, versus DC United at 1.20 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 2.94 for Toronto FC and 1.54 for DC United.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.