OpWin.

VS
AI Predicts: 1-2
1X2 Estudiantes L.P. 41%
O/U Over 2.5 58%
DC X2 67%
BTTS Yes 63%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Union Santa Fe 35% Draw 23% Estudiantes L.P. 41%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between Union Santa Fe and Estudiantes L.P.?

Our prediction for the Union Santa Fe–Estudiantes L.P. match is: Estudiantes L.P. to win or draw.

Other OPWIN picks

Estudiantes L.P. to win (41% confidence); over 2.5 goals (58% confidence); both teams to score: yes (63% confidence)

Union Santa Fe

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Union Santa Fe scored an average of 0.60 goals and conceded 2.00 per match.

Estudiantes L.P.

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Estudiantes L.P. scored an average of 1.80 goals and conceded 1.40 per match.

How the recent evidence fits the pick

Recent results add context to Double chance: Draw or Away (X2): Union Santa Fe scored 0.60 and conceded 2.00 per match across 5 covered games; Estudiantes L.P. scored 1.80 and conceded 1.40 across 5.

Players to watch

Across 5 recent recorded appearances, L. Ayala contributed 0 goal(s) and 1 assist(s). Available ratings average 6.53/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 5 recent recorded appearances, E. Cetré contributed 3 goal(s) and 1 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.09/10 across 5 rated appearances.

Recent squad-performance signal

Across recent rated squad performances used by Team Intelligence, Estudiantes L.P. records a mean of 6.56/10 versus 6.29/10 for Union Santa Fe.

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The current records list L. Madelón for Union Santa Fe and E. Domínguez for Estudiantes L.P.. The latest recorded formations are Union Santa Fe in 4-4-2 (Oct 20, 2026) and Estudiantes L.P. in 4-2-3-1 (Oct 18, 2026). Across 6 recent matches with possession and shot data, Union Santa Fe averaged 48.8% possession and 14.7 shots per match (4.2 on target), a high shot volume profile. Across 5 matches, Estudiantes L.P. averaged 58.0% possession and 16.6 shots (5.6 on target), a possession control with high shot volume profile. The recorded numbers do not show a pronounced gap in possession or shot volume.

This Liga Profesional Argentina fixture takes place at Estadio 15 de Abril (Santa Fe).

Recent results show that Union Santa Fe have a stronger record at home than away: 1 wins in 3 home matches, averaging 1.0 points per home match compared with 0.3 away. This points to a positive home-performance trend.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.56 — 1.57 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

137%Union Santa Fe
X25%Draw
238%Estudiantes L.P.
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes63%
No37%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 83%U 17%
O/U 2.5O 60%U 40%
O/U 3.5O 38%U 62%
O/U 4.5O 21%U 79%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Union Santa Fe
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 93%

The model assigns 93% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Union Santa Fe.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 79%

A different goal line with 79% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 79%U 21%
1.5O 46%U 54%
2.5O 21%U 79%
3.5O 7%U 93%
Estudiantes L.P.
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 93%

The model assigns 93% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Estudiantes L.P..

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 79%

A different goal line with 79% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 79%U 21%
1.5O 47%U 53%
2.5O 21%U 79%
3.5O 8%U 93%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Union Santa Fe21%
Estudiantes L.P.21%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Union Santa Fe16%
Estudiantes L.P.16%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Union Santa Fe50%
Estudiantes L.P.50%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Union Santa Fe
-1.5W 18%P 0%L 82%
-1W 18%P 19%L 63%
-0.5W 37%P 0%L 63%
0W 37%P 25%L 38%
+0.5W 62%P 0%L 38%
+1W 62%P 19%L 19%
+1.5W 81%P 0%L 19%
Estudiantes L.P.
-1.5W 19%P 0%L 81%
-1W 19%P 19%L 62%
-0.5W 38%P 0%L 62%
0W 38%P 25%L 37%
+0.5W 63%P 0%L 37%
+1W 63%P 19%L 18%
+1.5W 82%P 0%L 18%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-111.68%
#21-28.40%
#32-18.31%
#42-26.54%
#50-16.13%
Combined Top 541.06%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Union Santa Fe + BTTS21%
Estudiantes L.P. + BTTS22%
Draw + BTTS20%

Union Santa Fe Season

Rank#11
Points14
Matches Left25

Estudiantes L.P. Season

Rank#10
Points14
Matches Left25

Union Santa Fe Last 5

Deportivo Riestra 1 - 1
Defensa Y Justicia 0 - 2
Boca Juniors 3 - 0
Independiente 1 - 2
Talleres Cordoba 2 - 1

Estudiantes L.P. Last 5

San Lorenzo 1 - 2
Central Cordoba de Santiago 2 - 2
Gimnasia M. 3 - 0
Lanus 2 - 1
Platense 2 - 1

Head-to-Head

Union Santa Fe: 1 Draws: 1 Estudiantes L.P.: 3
2026 Estudiantes L.P. 2 - 1 Union Santa Fe
2025 Union Santa Fe 1 - 0 Estudiantes L.P.
2025 Estudiantes L.P. 3 - 1 Union Santa Fe
2024 Estudiantes L.P. 0 - 0 Union Santa Fe
2024 Union Santa Fe 0 - 1 Estudiantes L.P.

Form Analysis

Union Santa Fe
D L L L L
Estudiantes L.P.
L D W L W

Union Santa Fe Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.83
Goals scored11
Goals conceded10
Matches6
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.67

Estudiantes L.P. Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
0.50
Goals scored3
Goals conceded10
Matches6
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.67

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

Union Santa Fe
1.43
Estudiantes L.P.
1.60

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Union Santa Fe vs Estudiantes L.P. is a Football football match on October 26, 2026 at Estadio 15 de Abril. Recent form is 0 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses (form: DLLLL) for Union Santa Fe and 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses (form: LDWLW) for Estudiantes L.P.. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 26 Oct 2026
📍 Estadio 15 de Abril

Standings & Context

In the Football standings, Union Santa Fe is currently #11 with 14 points from 13 matches, while Estudiantes L.P. is #10 with 14 points from 13. Recent head-to-head history: Union Santa Fe won 1, 1 were drawn and Estudiantes L.P. won 3 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Union Santa Fe at 1.83 goals scored and 1.67 conceded per home match, versus Estudiantes L.P. at 0.50 goals scored and 1.67 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 1.43 for Union Santa Fe and 1.60 for Estudiantes L.P..

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.