OpWin.

VS
AI Predicts: 2-0
Away

Genk

L W W L L
1X2 Union St. Gilloise 55%
O/U Over 2.5 60%
DC 1X 96%
BTTS Yes 60%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Union St. Gilloise 55% Draw 24% Genk 21%
Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Free Pick Accuracy50%
Premium Expected goals 1.86 — 1.22 Reliability 80%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

152%Union St. Gilloise
X24%Draw
224%Genk
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes60%
No40%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 82%U 18%
O/U 2.5O 59%U 41%
O/U 3.5O 37%U 63%
O/U 4.5O 20%U 80%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Union St. Gilloise
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 88%

The model assigns 88% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Union St. Gilloise.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 84%

A different goal line with 84% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 84%U 16%
1.5O 55%U 45%
2.5O 28%U 72%
3.5O 12%U 88%
Genk
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 96%

The model assigns 96% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Genk.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 88%

A different goal line with 88% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 71%U 29%
1.5O 34%U 66%
2.5O 12%U 88%
3.5O 4%U 96%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Union St. Gilloise29%
Genk16%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Union St. Gilloise24%
Genk10%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Union St. Gilloise68%
Genk32%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Union St. Gilloise
-1.5W 30%P 0%L 70%
-1W 30%P 22%L 48%
-0.5W 52%P 0%L 48%
0W 52%P 24%L 24%
+0.5W 76%P 0%L 24%
+1W 76%P 14%L 10%
+1.5W 90%P 0%L 10%
Genk
-1.5W 10%P 0%L 90%
-1W 10%P 14%L 76%
-0.5W 24%P 0%L 76%
0W 24%P 24%L 52%
+0.5W 48%P 0%L 52%
+1W 48%P 22%L 30%
+1.5W 70%P 0%L 30%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-111.31%
#22-19.67%
#32-07.94%
#41-07.92%
#51-26.35%
Combined Top 543.19%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Union St. Gilloise + BTTS27%
Genk + BTTS14%
Draw + BTTS19%

Match Timeline

46' 🔄 In: N. Chibani
58' 🔄 In: J. Erenbjerg
60' 🔄 In: R. Mofokeng
63' 🟥 M. Sylla
71' 🔄 In: Y. Medina
71' 🔄 In: M. Roganovic
76' ⚽ R. Sykes
80' 🔄 In: D. Olaru
80' 🔄 In: D. De Roeve
83' 🔄 In: J. Ito
84' 🔄 In: N. Adedeji-Sternberg
89' 🟥 Y. Medina

Lineups

Union St. Gilloise Home
  • Hervé Koffi
  • Ross Sykes
  • Massire Sylla
  • Nikki Havenaar
  • Louis Patris
  • Kamiel Van de Perre
  • Adem Zorgane
  • Guilherme Smith
  • Raul Florucz
  • Besfort Zeneli
  • Kevin Rodriguez
Genk Away
  • Lucca Brughmans
  • Matte Smets
  • Christiaan Ravych
  • Josue Ndenge Kongolo
  • Kevin Amaro
  • Benjamin Tahirović
  • Bryan Heynen
  • Joris Kayembe
  • Daan Heymans
  • Aaron Bibout
  • Rafiu Durosinmi

Union St. Gilloise Season

Rank#1
Points29
Matches Left27

Genk Season

Rank#7
Points15
Matches Left27

Union St. Gilloise Last 5

Genk 1 - 0
Celta Vigo 1 - 2
SK Beveren 1 - 2
Cercle Brugge 5 - 2
Hapoel Beer Sheva 4 - 0

Genk Last 5

Union St. Gilloise 1 - 0
KV Mechelen 1 - 0
Standard Liege 2 - 1
Kortrijk 3 - 0
Club Brugge KV 3 - 0

Head-to-Head

Union St. Gilloise: 0 Draws: 0 Genk: 5
2026 Union St. Gilloise 2 - 1 Genk
2025 Genk 1 - 2 Union St. Gilloise
2025 Union St. Gilloise 1 - 0 Genk
2025 Genk 1 - 2 Union St. Gilloise
2025 Genk 2 - 1 Union St. Gilloise

Form Analysis

Union St. Gilloise
W W W D W
Genk
L L W W L

Union St. Gilloise Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
2.50
Goals scored15
Goals conceded3
Matches6
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)0.50

Genk Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
0.83
Goals scored5
Goals conceded11
Matches6
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.83

Match Statistics

21Shots7
4Shots on Target0
8Corners3
57%Possession43%
1Yellow Cards0

Expected Goals (xG)

Union St. Gilloise
2.70
Genk
0.50

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Union St. Gilloise vs Genk is a Football football match on November 8, 2026 at Stade Joseph Mariën. Recent form is 4 wins, 1 draws and 0 losses (form: WWWDW) for Union St. Gilloise and 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses (form: LLWWL) for Genk. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 Finished
📍 Stade Joseph Mariën

Standings & Context

In the Football standings, Union St. Gilloise is currently #1 with 29 points from 11 matches, while Genk is #7 with 15 points from 11. Recent head-to-head history: Union St. Gilloise won 0, 0 were drawn and Genk won 5 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Union St. Gilloise at 2.50 goals scored and 0.50 conceded per home match, versus Genk at 0.83 goals scored and 1.83 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 2.70 for Union St. Gilloise and 0.50 for Genk. For this finished match, the recorded prediction accuracy is 50% (result: 1 - 0).

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.