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Utrecht
D W L W W
VS
AI Predicts: 2-1
Away

PEC Zwolle
D L L L W
1X2 Utrecht 46%
O/U Over 2.5 84%
DC 1X 67%
BTTS Yes 69%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Utrecht 46% Draw 26% PEC Zwolle 27%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between Utrecht and PEC Zwolle?

Our prediction for the Utrecht–PEC Zwolle match is: over 2.5 goals.

Other OPWIN picks

Utrecht to win (46% confidence); Utrecht to win or draw (67% confidence); both teams to score: yes (69% confidence)

Utrecht

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Utrecht scored an average of 2.00 goals and conceded 2.20 per match.

PEC Zwolle

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, PEC Zwolle scored an average of 1.20 goals and conceded 2.80 per match.

How the recent evidence fits the pick

Across the available samples, Utrecht and PEC Zwolle average 3.20 goals scored per match combined. That recent scoring pace aligns with Over 2.5.

Players to watch

Across 5 recent recorded appearances, D. de Wit contributed 2 goal(s) and 1 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.26/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 5 recent recorded appearances, T. Oosting contributed 2 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.05/10 across 5 rated appearances.

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The current records list R. Jans for Utrecht and Henry van der Vegt for PEC Zwolle. The latest recorded formations are Utrecht in 3-4-3 (Oct 18, 2026) and PEC Zwolle in 4-2-3-1 (Oct 18, 2026). Across 5 recent matches with possession and shot data, Utrecht averaged 44.6% possession and 15.4 shots per match (5.0 on target), a a lower-possession profile that still produces shots profile. Across 5 matches, PEC Zwolle averaged 43.4% possession and 12.8 shots (5.0 on target), a a lower-possession profile that still produces shots profile. The recorded numbers do not show a pronounced gap in possession or shot volume.

This Eredivisie fixture takes place at Stadion Galgenwaard (Utrecht).

Recent results show no clear home advantage for Utrecht: 1.3 points per home match compared with 2.0 away, with performance varying between matches.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.89 — 1.67 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

143%Utrecht
X23%Draw
234%PEC Zwolle
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes69%
No31%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 88%U 12%
O/U 2.5O 69%U 31%
O/U 3.5O 48%U 53%
O/U 4.5O 29%U 71%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Utrecht
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 88%

The model assigns 88% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Utrecht.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 85%

A different goal line with 85% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 85%U 15%
1.5O 56%U 44%
2.5O 29%U 71%
3.5O 12%U 88%
PEC Zwolle
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 91%

The model assigns 91% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for PEC Zwolle.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 81%

A different goal line with 81% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 81%U 19%
1.5O 50%U 50%
2.5O 24%U 76%
3.5O 9%U 91%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Utrecht19%
PEC Zwolle15%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Utrecht15%
PEC Zwolle12%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Utrecht56%
PEC Zwolle44%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Utrecht
-1.5W 24%P 0%L 76%
-1W 24%P 19%L 57%
-0.5W 43%P 0%L 57%
0W 43%P 23%L 34%
+0.5W 66%P 0%L 34%
+1W 66%P 17%L 17%
+1.5W 83%P 0%L 17%
PEC Zwolle
-1.5W 17%P 0%L 83%
-1W 17%P 17%L 66%
-0.5W 34%P 0%L 66%
0W 34%P 23%L 43%
+0.5W 57%P 0%L 43%
+1W 57%P 19%L 24%
+1.5W 76%P 0%L 24%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-19.66%
#22-18.45%
#31-27.50%
#42-27.07%
#53-15.31%
Combined Top 537.99%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Utrecht + BTTS27%
PEC Zwolle + BTTS22%
Draw + BTTS20%

Utrecht Season

Rank#11
Points11
Matches Left29

PEC Zwolle Season

Rank#15
Points7
Matches Left29

Utrecht Last 5

Twente 1 - 2
Willem II 3 - 1
Feyenoord 5 - 0
Excelsior 1 - 2
GO Ahead Eagles 3 - 3

PEC Zwolle Last 5

GO Ahead Eagles 4 - 1
Cambuur 0 - 1
Groningen 3 - 0
Feyenoord 0 - 7
Sparta Rotterdam 2 - 2

Head-to-Head

Utrecht: 3 Draws: 2 PEC Zwolle: 0
2026 Utrecht 1 - 1 PEC Zwolle
2025 PEC Zwolle 0 - 2 Utrecht
2025 PEC Zwolle 3 - 3 Utrecht
2024 Utrecht 1 - 0 PEC Zwolle
2024 Utrecht 5 - 1 PEC Zwolle

Form Analysis

Utrecht
W W L W D
PEC Zwolle
W L L L D

Utrecht Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
2.00
Goals scored8
Goals conceded14
Matches4
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)3.50

PEC Zwolle Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.25
Goals scored5
Goals conceded8
Matches4
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)2.00

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

Utrecht
2.67
PEC Zwolle
2.20

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle is a Eredivisie football match on October 24, 2026 at Stadion Galgenwaard. Recent form is 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses (form: WWLWD) for Utrecht and 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses (form: WLLLD) for PEC Zwolle. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 24 Oct 2026
📍 Stadion Galgenwaard

Standings & Context

In the Eredivisie standings, Utrecht is currently #11 with 11 points from 9 matches, while PEC Zwolle is #15 with 7 points from 9. Recent head-to-head history: Utrecht won 3, 2 were drawn and PEC Zwolle won 0 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Utrecht at 2.00 goals scored and 3.50 conceded per home match, versus PEC Zwolle at 1.25 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 2.67 for Utrecht and 2.20 for PEC Zwolle.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.