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Valladolid

D W D W L
VS
AI Predicts: 1-0
Away

Eldense

L L W W W
1X2 Valladolid 55%
O/U Under 2.5 61%
DC 1X 85%
BTTS Yes 59%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Valladolid 55% Draw 25% Eldense 20%
Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Free Pick Accuracy25%
Premium Expected goals 1.59 — 1.30 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

143%Valladolid
X26%Draw
231%Eldense
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes59%
No41%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 79%U 21%
O/U 2.5O 55%U 45%
O/U 3.5O 33%U 67%
O/U 4.5O 17%U 83%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Valladolid
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 92%

The model assigns 92% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Valladolid.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 80%

A different goal line with 80% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 80%U 20%
1.5O 47%U 53%
2.5O 21%U 79%
3.5O 8%U 92%
Eldense
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 96%

The model assigns 96% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Eldense.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 86%

A different goal line with 86% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 73%U 27%
1.5O 37%U 63%
2.5O 14%U 86%
3.5O 4%U 96%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Valladolid27%
Eldense20%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Valladolid21%
Eldense14%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Valladolid58%
Eldense42%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Valladolid
-1.5W 22%P 0%L 78%
-1W 22%P 21%L 57%
-0.5W 43%P 0%L 57%
0W 43%P 26%L 31%
+0.5W 69%P 0%L 31%
+1W 69%P 17%L 14%
+1.5W 86%P 0%L 14%
Eldense
-1.5W 14%P 0%L 86%
-1W 14%P 17%L 69%
-0.5W 31%P 0%L 69%
0W 31%P 26%L 43%
+0.5W 57%P 0%L 43%
+1W 57%P 21%L 22%
+1.5W 78%P 0%L 22%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-112.39%
#22-19.09%
#31-08.12%
#41-27.48%
#52-06.97%
Combined Top 544.05%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Valladolid + BTTS22%
Eldense + BTTS16%
Draw + BTTS20%

Match Timeline

23' ⚽ Adrian Arnu
30' 🔄 In: Victor Barbera
34' 🟥 Fidel
41' ⚽ Jorge Rastrojo
45' ⚽ Aingeru Olabarrieta
45' 🟥 Thiago Ezequiel Ojeda
45' 🟥 Justin Smith
57' 🟥 Víctor Fernández
62' 🟥 Jorge Rastrojo
64' 🔄 In: Mariano Emilio Carmona Cerezo
64' 🔄 In: Marcos Bustillo Aquesolo
66' 🔄 In: Iván Alejo
66' 🔄 In: Tay Abed
72' 🟥 Víctor Fernández
73' 🔄 In: Jorge Martin Camunas
76' 🔄 In: Kaj de Rooij
76' 🔄 In: Robin van Duiven
78' 🟥 Juan Larios López
81' 🔄 In: Iker Recio Ortega
81' 🔄 In: Manuel Nieto
82' 🟥 Iván Alejo
83' ⚽ Victor Barbera
90' ⚽ Mariano Emilio Carmona Cerezo

Lineups

Valladolid Home
  • Álvaro Aceves
  • Trilli
  • Pablo Tomeo
  • David Torres
  • Iván Garriel
  • S. Jurić
  • T. Ojeda
  • Víctor Fernández
  • J. Ponceau
  • Juanmi Latasa
  • Adrian Arnuncio
Eldense Away
  • Ramón Vila
  • Jesús Clemente
  • Alex Serradell
  • F. Smand
  • Juan Larios
  • Carlos Guirao
  • J. Smith
  • Fidel
  • Javi Martínez
  • Aingeru Olabarrieta
  • Jorge Rastrojo

Valladolid Season

Rank#13
Points12
Matches Left28

Eldense Season

Rank#11
Points14
Matches Left28

Valladolid Last 5

Eldense 2 - 3
Albacete 5 - 0
Las Palmas 2 - 2
Cordoba 3 - 1
AD Ceuta FC 1 - 1

Eldense Last 5

Valladolid 2 - 3
Cordoba 2 - 1
Oviedo 4 - 1
Burgos 1 - 0
Eibar 1 - 2

Head-to-Head

Valladolid: 2 Draws: 0 Eldense: 0
2024 Valladolid 1 - 0 Eldense
2023 Eldense 0 - 1 Valladolid

Form Analysis

Valladolid
L W D W D
Eldense
W W W L L

Valladolid Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
2.20
Goals scored11
Goals conceded7
Matches5
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.40

Eldense Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
0.80
Goals scored4
Goals conceded7
Matches5
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.40

Match Statistics

16Shots13
5Shots on Target5
13Corners2
57%Possession43%
3Yellow Cards4

Expected Goals (xG)

Valladolid
1.57
Eldense
0.69

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Valladolid vs Eldense is a Football football match on October 18, 2026 at Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla. Recent form is 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses (form: LWDWD) for Valladolid and 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses (form: WWWLL) for Eldense. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 Finished
📍 Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla

Standings & Context

In the Football standings, Valladolid is currently #13 with 12 points from 10 matches, while Eldense is #11 with 14 points from 10. Recent head-to-head history: Valladolid won 2, 0 were drawn and Eldense won 0 across the last 2 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Valladolid at 2.20 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per home match, versus Eldense at 0.80 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 1.57 for Valladolid and 0.69 for Eldense. For this finished match, the recorded prediction accuracy is 25% (result: 2 - 3).

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.