OpWin.

Home

Venezia

W L L L W
VS
AI Predicts: 0-2
Away

Bologna

L W W W W
1X2 Bologna 44%
O/U Over 1.5 79%
DC X2 82%
BTTS Yes 61%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Venezia 31% Draw 25% Bologna 44%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between Venezia and Bologna?

Our prediction for the Venezia–Bologna match is: Bologna to win or draw.

Other OPWIN picks

Bologna to win (44% confidence); over 1.5 goals (79% confidence); both teams to score: yes (61% confidence)

Venezia

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Venezia scored an average of 0.60 goals and conceded 1.00 per match.

Bologna

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Bologna scored an average of 2.20 goals and conceded 1.40 per match.

How the recent evidence fits the pick

Recent results add context to Double chance: Draw or Away (X2): Venezia scored 0.60 and conceded 1.00 per match across 5 covered games; Bologna scored 2.20 and conceded 1.40 across 5.

Players to watch

Across 5 recent recorded appearances, Kike Pérez contributed 1 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 6.94/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 5 recent recorded appearances, Juan Miranda contributed 0 goal(s) and 4 assist(s). Available ratings average 6.81/10 across 5 rated appearances.

Recent squad-performance signal

Across recent rated squad performances used by Team Intelligence, Bologna records a mean of 6.63/10 versus 6.47/10 for Venezia.

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The latest recorded formations are Venezia in 3-5-2 (Nov 6, 2026) and Bologna in 3-4-3 (Nov 7, 2026). Across 9 recent matches with possession and shot data, Venezia averaged 48.3% possession and 13.8 shots per match (4.0 on target), a a more balanced possession and shot profile profile. Across 9 matches, Bologna averaged 47.6% possession and 13.3 shots (4.7 on target), a a more balanced possession and shot profile profile. The recorded numbers do not show a pronounced gap in possession or shot volume.

Home and away performance

In 5 recent home matches, Venezia recorded 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses, averaging 1.20 points, 1.00 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per match. Away from home, Bologna recorded 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses in 6 matches, averaging 2.00 points, 1.67 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per match. The away side’s recent road record compares favourably with the home side’s home record.

This Serie A fixture takes place at Stadio Pierluigi Penzo (Venice).

Recent results show that Venezia have a stronger record at home than away: 2 wins in 5 home matches, averaging 1.2 points per home match compared with 0.0 away. This points to a positive home-performance trend.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.39 — 1.62 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

132%Venezia
X26%Draw
242%Bologna
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes61%
No39%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 81%U 19%
O/U 2.5O 58%U 42%
O/U 3.5O 36%U 64%
O/U 4.5O 19%U 81%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Venezia
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 95%

The model assigns 95% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Venezia.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 84%

A different goal line with 84% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 75%U 25%
1.5O 41%U 60%
2.5O 16%U 84%
3.5O 5%U 95%
Bologna
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 92%

The model assigns 92% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Bologna.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 80%

A different goal line with 80% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 80%U 20%
1.5O 48%U 52%
2.5O 22%U 78%
3.5O 8%U 92%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Venezia20%
Bologna25%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Venezia14%
Bologna19%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Venezia43%
Bologna57%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Venezia
-1.5W 15%P 0%L 85%
-1W 15%P 17%L 68%
-0.5W 32%P 0%L 68%
0W 32%P 26%L 42%
+0.5W 58%P 0%L 42%
+1W 58%P 20%L 22%
+1.5W 78%P 0%L 22%
Bologna
-1.5W 22%P 0%L 78%
-1W 22%P 20%L 58%
-0.5W 42%P 0%L 58%
0W 42%P 26%L 32%
+0.5W 68%P 0%L 32%
+1W 68%P 17%L 15%
+1.5W 85%P 0%L 15%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-112.01%
#21-28.96%
#32-17.70%
#40-17.23%
#50-26.43%
Combined Top 542.33%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Venezia + BTTS18%
Bologna + BTTS23%
Draw + BTTS20%

Venezia Season

Rank#19
Points6
Matches Left27

Bologna Season

Rank#8
Points17
Matches Left27

Venezia Last 5

Udinese 2 - 1
Como 1 - 0
Inter 0 - 2
Genoa 1 - 0
Napoli 1 - 0

Bologna Last 5

Parma 1 - 2
Monza 2 - 1
AC Milan 2 - 4
Cagliari 0 - 2
Inter 1 - 3

Head-to-Head

Venezia: 2 Draws: 0 Bologna: 2
2025 Venezia 0 - 1 Bologna
2024 Bologna 3 - 0 Venezia
2022 Venezia 4 - 3 Bologna
2021 Bologna 0 - 1 Venezia

Form Analysis

Venezia
W L L L W
Bologna
W W W W L

Venezia Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
0.83
Goals scored5
Goals conceded11
Matches6
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.83

Bologna Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.67
Goals scored10
Goals conceded6
Matches6
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.00

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

Venezia
0.97
Bologna
1.89

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Venezia vs Bologna is a Serie A football match on November 27, 2026 at Stadio Pierluigi Penzo. Recent form is 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses (form: WLLLW) for Venezia and 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 losses (form: WWWWL) for Bologna. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 27 Nov 2026
📍 Stadio Pierluigi Penzo

Standings & Context

In the Serie A standings, Venezia is currently #19 with 6 points from 11 matches, while Bologna is #8 with 17 points from 11. Recent head-to-head history: Venezia won 2, 0 were drawn and Bologna won 2 across the last 4 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Venezia at 0.83 goals scored and 1.83 conceded per home match, versus Bologna at 1.67 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 0.97 for Venezia and 1.89 for Bologna.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.