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Vitesse

W L D L W
VS
AI Predicts: 2-1
Away

Emmen

L W D W W
1X2 Emmen 44%
O/U Over 2.5 70%
DC 1X 66%
BTTS Yes 66%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Vitesse 34% Draw 21% Emmen 44%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between Vitesse and Emmen?

Our prediction for the Vitesse–Emmen match is: over 2.5 goals.

Other OPWIN picks

Emmen to win (44% confidence); Vitesse to win or draw (66% confidence); both teams to score: yes (66% confidence)

Vitesse

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Vitesse scored an average of 1.20 goals and conceded 1.40 per match.

Emmen

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Emmen scored an average of 1.60 goals and conceded 1.00 per match.

How the recent evidence fits the pick

Across the available samples, Vitesse and Emmen average 2.80 goals scored per match combined. That recent scoring pace aligns with Over 2.5.

Players to watch

Across 5 recent recorded appearances, N. Bannis contributed 4 goal(s) and 2 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.40/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 5 recent recorded appearances, J. Cooper contributed 4 goal(s) and 1 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.44/10 across 5 rated appearances.

Recent squad-performance signal

Across recent rated squad performances used by Team Intelligence, Emmen records a mean of 6.89/10 versus 6.45/10 for Vitesse.

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The latest recorded formations are Vitesse in 4-2-3-1 (Oct 16, 2026) and Emmen in 4-2-3-1 (Oct 17, 2026). Across 5 recent matches with possession and shot data, Vitesse averaged 42.4% possession and 13.8 shots per match (3.4 on target), a a lower-possession profile that still produces shots profile. Across 5 matches, Emmen averaged 55.0% possession and 13.8 shots (5.6 on target), a possession control with high shot volume profile. The clearest contrast in this sample is possession share.

This Eerste Divisie fixture takes place at GelreDome (Arnhem).

The recent records do not include at least three completed, scored matches both at home and away for Vitesse, so a reliable home/away effect cannot be assessed.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.69 — 1.59 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

140%Vitesse
X24%Draw
236%Emmen
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes66%
No34%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 85%U 16%
O/U 2.5O 63%U 37%
O/U 3.5O 41%U 59%
O/U 4.5O 23%U 77%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Vitesse
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 91%

The model assigns 91% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Vitesse.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 82%

A different goal line with 82% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 82%U 18%
1.5O 50%U 50%
2.5O 24%U 76%
3.5O 9%U 91%
Emmen
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 92%

The model assigns 92% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Emmen.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 80%

A different goal line with 80% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 80%U 20%
1.5O 47%U 53%
2.5O 21%U 79%
3.5O 8%U 92%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Vitesse20%
Emmen18%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Vitesse16%
Emmen14%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Vitesse53%
Emmen47%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Vitesse
-1.5W 21%P 0%L 79%
-1W 21%P 19%L 60%
-0.5W 40%P 0%L 60%
0W 40%P 24%L 36%
+0.5W 64%P 0%L 36%
+1W 64%P 18%L 18%
+1.5W 82%P 0%L 18%
Emmen
-1.5W 18%P 0%L 82%
-1W 18%P 18%L 64%
-0.5W 36%P 0%L 64%
0W 36%P 24%L 40%
+0.5W 60%P 0%L 40%
+1W 60%P 19%L 21%
+1.5W 79%P 0%L 21%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-110.93%
#22-18.53%
#31-28.01%
#42-26.77%
#51-05.77%
Combined Top 540.01%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Vitesse + BTTS24%
Emmen + BTTS22%
Draw + BTTS20%

Vitesse Season

Rank#15
Points0
Matches Left38

Emmen Season

Rank#4
Points22
Matches Left38

Vitesse Last 5

FC Eindhoven 0 - 1
FC Volendam 2 - 0
NAC Breda 2 - 2
Heracles 2 - 0
Jong PSV U21 3 - 1

Emmen Last 5

Almere City FC 2 - 1
Dordrecht 0 - 3
Waalwijk 1 - 1
FC OSS 1 - 0
FC Eindhoven 3 - 1

Head-to-Head

Vitesse: 2 Draws: 3 Emmen: 0
2026 Vitesse 3 - 3 Emmen
2025 Emmen 2 - 4 Vitesse
2025 Vitesse 2 - 0 Emmen
2024 Emmen 3 - 3 Vitesse
2023 Emmen 2 - 2 Vitesse

Form Analysis

Vitesse
W
Emmen
W W D W L

Vitesse Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
—
Goals scored0
Goals conceded0
Matches0
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)—

Emmen Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
2.20
Goals scored11
Goals conceded12
Matches5
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)2.40

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

Vitesse
1.94
Emmen
1.73

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Vitesse vs Emmen is a Football football match on October 23, 2026 at GelreDome. Recent form is 1 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses (form: W) for Vitesse and 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses (form: WWDWL) for Emmen. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 23 Oct 2026
📍 GelreDome

Standings & Context

In the Football standings, Vitesse is currently #15 with 0 points from 0 matches, while Emmen is #4 with 22 points from 0. Recent head-to-head history: Vitesse won 2, 3 were drawn and Emmen won 0 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Vitesse at — goals scored and — conceded per home match, versus Emmen at 2.20 goals scored and 2.40 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 1.94 for Vitesse and 1.73 for Emmen.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.