OpWin.

Home

Wolves

W L L W D
VS
AI Predicts: 1-0
Away

Cardiff

L W L W D
1X2 Wolves 41%
O/U Under 3.5 75%
DC 1X 68%
BTTS Yes 62%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Wolves 41% Draw 26% Cardiff 33%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between Wolves and Cardiff?

Our prediction for the Wolves–Cardiff match is: under 3.5 goals.

Other OPWIN picks

Wolves to win (41% confidence); Wolves to win or draw (68% confidence); both teams to score: yes (62% confidence)

Wolves

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Wolves scored an average of 1.00 goals and conceded 1.20 per match.

Cardiff

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Cardiff scored an average of 2.20 goals and conceded 1.40 per match.

How the recent evidence fits the pick

Across the available samples, Wolves and Cardiff average 3.20 goals scored per match combined. That recent scoring pace is consistent with Under 3.5.

Players to watch

Across 5 recent recorded appearances, Fer López contributed 2 goal(s) and 1 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.39/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 5 recent recorded appearances, J. Moylan contributed 5 goal(s) and 3 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.29/10 across 5 rated appearances.

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The current record lists Vítor Pereira as coach of Wolves. The latest recorded formations are Wolves in 4-2-3-1 (Oct 20, 2026) and Cardiff in 4-1-4-1 (Oct 17, 2026). Across 6 recent matches with possession and shot data, Wolves averaged 54.8% possession and 16.3 shots per match (4.0 on target), a possession control with high shot volume profile. Across 6 matches, Cardiff averaged 58.5% possession and 18.3 shots (6.5 on target), a possession control with high shot volume profile. The recorded numbers do not show a pronounced gap in possession or shot volume.

Home and away performance

In 3 recent home matches, Wolves recorded 1 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses, averaging 1.33 points, 1.00 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per match. Away from home, Cardiff recorded 0 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses in 3 matches, averaging 0.33 points, 1.00 goals scored and 1.67 conceded per match. This sample favours the home side’s recent home record relative to the away side’s road record.

This Championship fixture takes place at Molineux Stadium (Wolverhampton).

Recent results show no clear home advantage for Wolves: 1.3 points per home match compared with 1.8 away, with performance varying between matches.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.56 — 1.48 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

139%Wolves
X26%Draw
235%Cardiff
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes62%
No38%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 81%U 19%
O/U 2.5O 58%U 42%
O/U 3.5O 36%U 64%
O/U 4.5O 19%U 81%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Wolves
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 93%

The model assigns 93% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Wolves.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 79%

A different goal line with 79% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 79%U 21%
1.5O 46%U 54%
2.5O 21%U 79%
3.5O 7%U 93%
Cardiff
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 94%

The model assigns 94% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Cardiff.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 82%

A different goal line with 82% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 77%U 23%
1.5O 43%U 57%
2.5O 18%U 82%
3.5O 6%U 94%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Wolves23%
Cardiff21%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Wolves17%
Cardiff16%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Wolves53%
Cardiff47%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Wolves
-1.5W 20%P 0%L 80%
-1W 20%P 19%L 61%
-0.5W 39%P 0%L 61%
0W 39%P 26%L 35%
+0.5W 65%P 0%L 35%
+1W 65%P 18%L 17%
+1.5W 83%P 0%L 17%
Cardiff
-1.5W 17%P 0%L 83%
-1W 17%P 18%L 65%
-0.5W 35%P 0%L 65%
0W 35%P 26%L 39%
+0.5W 61%P 0%L 39%
+1W 61%P 19%L 20%
+1.5W 80%P 0%L 20%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-111.90%
#22-18.61%
#31-28.13%
#41-06.84%
#50-16.42%
Combined Top 541.90%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Wolves + BTTS22%
Cardiff + BTTS20%
Draw + BTTS20%

Wolves Season

Rank#7
Points18
Matches Left27

Cardiff Season

Rank#19
Points11
Matches Left27

Wolves Last 5

Portsmouth 1 - 1
Burnley 1 - 2
Bolton 1 - 3
Middlesbrough 1 - 0
West Brom 1 - 0

Cardiff Last 5

Middlesbrough 2 - 2
Watford 5 - 1
Blackburn 2 - 1
Charlton 3 - 1
Bolton 1 - 0

Head-to-Head

Wolves: 3 Draws: 0 Cardiff: 2
2019 Wolves 2 - 0 Cardiff
2018 Cardiff 2 - 1 Wolves
2018 Cardiff 0 - 1 Wolves
2017 Wolves 1 - 2 Cardiff
2017 Wolves 3 - 1 Cardiff

Form Analysis

Wolves
D W L L W
Cardiff
D W L W L

Wolves Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.80
Goals scored9
Goals conceded7
Matches5
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.40

Cardiff Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.00
Goals scored6
Goals conceded11
Matches6
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.83

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

Wolves
1.35
Cardiff
1.19

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Wolves vs Cardiff is a Football football match on October 31, 2026 at Molineux Stadium. Recent form is 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses (form: DWLLW) for Wolves and 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses (form: DWLWL) for Cardiff. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 31 Oct 2026
📍 Molineux Stadium

Standings & Context

In the Football standings, Wolves is currently #7 with 18 points from 11 matches, while Cardiff is #19 with 11 points from 11. Recent head-to-head history: Wolves won 3, 0 were drawn and Cardiff won 2 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Wolves at 1.80 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per home match, versus Cardiff at 1.00 goals scored and 1.83 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 1.35 for Wolves and 1.19 for Cardiff.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.