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Roma

W D W D L
VS
AI Predicts: 1-0
Away

Lecce

W W L L W
OpWin AI Probabilities
Roma 50% Draw 29% Lecce 21%
✨ OpWin Pro Predictions
Winner
Roma
Confidence: 50%
Double Chance
1X
Confidence: 79%
Goals
Under 2.5
Confidence: 61%
BTTS
No
Confidence: 55%
Correct Score
1-0
Confidence: 14%

Roma Season

Rank#6
Points51
Matches Left9

Lecce Season

Rank#16
Points27
Matches Left9

Roma Last 5

Cagliari Calcio 2 - 0
SSC Napoli 2 - 2
US Cremonese 3 - 0
Juventus FC 3 - 3
Genoa CFC 2 - 1

Lecce Last 5

Udinese Calcio 2 - 1
Cagliari Calcio 0 - 2
FC Internazionale Milano 0 - 2
Como 1907 3 - 1
US Cremonese 2 - 1

Head-to-Head

Roma: 3 Draws: 1 Lecce: 0
2026 Lecce 0 - 2 Roma
2025 Lecce 0 - 1 Roma
2024 Roma 4 - 1 Lecce
2024 Lecce 0 - 0 Roma

Form Analysis

Roma
16W - 3D - 10L
Lecce
7W - 6D - 16L

Roma Performance

⚔️ Efficiency
1.33
Attacks108
Dangerous43
Avg Shots12.2
🛡️ Defense 0.80

Lecce Performance

⚔️ Efficiency
0.73
Attacks58
Dangerous23
Avg Shots6.7
🛡️ Defense 1.33

Match Statistics

56% Possession 44%
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2

* Projected stats.

Expected Goals (xG)

Roma
1.41
Lecce
0.83

Live Commentary & Analysis

📝 Pre-match analysis 08:10 PM

In an intriguing Serie A matchup, AS Roma will host Lecce at the iconic Stadio Olimpico. According to the Math Model prediction, Roma is given a slim 51% chance to win, which indicates a closely contested match. The model likely considered several factors, such as recent form, head-to-head statistics, injuries, and home advantage when computing this probability. With a safety pick of 1X, bettors may find value in Roma not only winning but also potentially securing at least a draw. When looking at the odds for combo bets, the recommended betting tips suggest betting on goals being under 2.5 and backing for neither team to score (BTTS: No). This could stem from Lecce's defensive resilience against more prominent clubs and Roma's inconsistency in front of goal. Overall, the Roma vs Lecce prediction suggests a tailored approach to betting, blending analysis with the insights from the poisson distribution to gauge outcomes. As with any match, variance plays a critical role, so careful assessment of betting options is essential for maximizing value bets.

📅 22 Mar 2026
📍 Stadio Olimpico

Standings & Context

Currently, Roma sits at position #6 (51 pts). They face Lecce who occupy the #16 spot (27 pts).

Performance Analysis

Looking at numbers, Roma has averaged 1.33 goals at home. Lecce travels with an away scoring record of 0.73 goals.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.