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Parma

W D D L L
VS
AI Predicts: 0-1
Away

Napoli

L W W W W
OpWin AI Probabilities
Parma 23% Draw 28% Napoli 49%
✨ OpWin Pro Predictions
Winner
Napoli
Confidence: 49%
Double Chance
X2
Confidence: 77%
Safe Goals
Under 3.5
Confidence: 77%
BTTS
No
Confidence: 50%
Correct Score
0-1
Confidence: 12%

Parma Season

Rank#12
Points34
Matches Left8

Napoli Season

Rank#3
Points62
Matches Left8

Parma Last 5

AC Milan 0 - 1
Cagliari Calcio 1 - 1
ACF Fiorentina 0 - 0
Torino FC 4 - 1
US Cremonese 0 - 2

Napoli Last 5

Atalanta BC 2 - 1
Hellas Verona FC 1 - 2
Torino FC 2 - 1
US Lecce 2 - 1
Cagliari Calcio 0 - 1

Head-to-Head

Parma: 0 Draws: 2 Napoli: 1
2026 Napoli 0 - 0 Parma
2025 Parma 0 - 0 Napoli
2024 Napoli 2 - 1 Parma

Form Analysis

Parma
8W - 10D - 12L
Napoli
19W - 5D - 6L

Parma Performance

βš”οΈ Efficiency
0.73
Attacks58
Dangerous23
Avg Shots6.7
πŸ›‘οΈ Defense 1.27

Napoli Performance

βš”οΈ Efficiency
1.53
Attacks123
Dangerous49
Avg Shots14.1
πŸ›‘οΈ Defense 1.00

Match Statistics

42% Possession 58%
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4

* Projected stats.

Expected Goals (xG)

Parma
0.94
Napoli
1.49

Live Commentary & Analysis

πŸ“ Pre-match analysis 08:05 PM

As Parma prepares to host Napoli at the Stadio Ennio Tardini, fans can expect an intriguing matchup in Serie A. According to the math model prediction, Napoli emerges as the likely winner with a confidence of 49%. This prediction may stem from a variety of factors including Napoli's recent form, player quality, and their historical dominance over Parma. Betting tips suggest a few avenues for punters; specifically, the recommended bets include Napoli to win, a safety pick of X2, and a prediction for under 3.5 goals in the game. The model relies on statistical analysis and poisson distribution to gauge expected outcomes, which could mean fewer goals if defenses hold firm. Additionally, the variance in Parma’s performance at home this season has been noteworthy, and this could play a crucial role. Looking at the odds, it becomes evident that Napoli's offensive firepower, paired with a solid defense, means a bet against both teams to score (BTTS: No) is a reasonable choice, aligning with recent trends in their matches. Overall, the Parma vs Napoli prediction showcases that while Napoli is favored, the potential for an upset exists, making this a key matchup to watch for bettors seeking value bets and reliable 1x2 predictions in the Serie A landscape.

πŸ“… 12 Apr 2026
πŸ“ Stadio Ennio Tardini

Standings & Context

Currently, Parma sits at position #12 (34 pts). They face Napoli who occupy the #3 spot (62 pts).

Performance Analysis

Looking at numbers, Parma has averaged 0.73 goals at home. Napoli travels with an away scoring record of 1.53 goals.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.