OpWin.

Home

Cruzeiro

L D W L W
VS
AI Predicts: 1-2
Away

Grêmio

D W L L D
OpWin AI Probabilities
Cruzeiro 29% Draw 25% Grêmio 46%
✨ OpWin Pro Predictions
Winner
Grêmio
Confidence: 46%
Double Chance
X2
Confidence: 71%
Goals
Over 2.5
Confidence: 59%
BTTS
Yes
Confidence: 60%
Correct Score
1-2
Confidence: 9%

Cruzeiro Season

Rank#19
Points7
Matches Left28

Grêmio Season

Rank#11
Points12
Matches Left28

Cruzeiro Last 5

CA Paranaense 2 - 1
Santos FC 0 - 0
EC Vitória 3 - 0
São Paulo FC 4 - 1
Barcelona SC 0 - 1

Grêmio Last 5

Chapecoense AF 1 - 1
EC Vitória 2 - 0
CR Vasco da Gama 2 - 1
SE Palmeiras 2 - 1
Clube do Remo 0 - 0

Head-to-Head

Cruzeiro: 3 Draws: 1 Grêmio: 0
2025 Grêmio 0 - 1 Cruzeiro
2025 Cruzeiro 4 - 1 Grêmio
2024 Cruzeiro 1 - 1 Grêmio
2024 Grêmio 0 - 2 Cruzeiro

Form Analysis

Cruzeiro
1W - 4D - 5L
Grêmio
3W - 3D - 4L

Cruzeiro Performance

⚔️ Efficiency
1.20
Attacks98
Dangerous39
Avg Shots11.0
🛡️ Defense 2.00

Grêmio Performance

⚔️ Efficiency
1.40
Attacks113
Dangerous45
Avg Shots12.9
🛡️ Defense 1.40

Match Statistics

48% Possession 52%
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4

* Projected stats.

Expected Goals (xG)

Cruzeiro
1.33
Grêmio
1.74

Live Commentary & Analysis

📝 Pre-match analysis 08:13 PM

In this gripping matchup between Cruzeiro and Grêmio at the iconic Mineirão stadium, the Math Model's prediction of Grêmio as the likely winner at a 46% confidence level suggests an analysis deeply rooted in statistical evaluation. The underlying data likely takes into account recent performances, team dynamics, and previous encounters, comparing variance and leveraging the poisson distribution to anticipate the expected outcomes. Given the competitive nature of the Campeonato Brasileiro Série A, both teams have their strengths, but Grêmio's current form appears to give them the edge based on 1x2 Predictions. For bettors looking for value, the recommended Combo bets include a straightforward win for Grêmio (which seems to reflect a reasonable assessment given their away form) and a safety pick of X2 to cover against the unpredictability of football. Additionally, with both teams potentially finding the net, placing bets on over 1.5 goals and BTTS (Both Teams To Score) could yield promising returns. With these insights, the Cruzeiro vs Grêmio prediction stands as an exciting opportunity for betting tips this weekend.

📅 18 Apr 2026
📍 Mineirão

Standings & Context

Currently, Cruzeiro sits at position #19 (7 pts). They face Grêmio who occupy the #11 spot (12 pts).

Performance Analysis

Looking at numbers, Cruzeiro has averaged 1.20 goals at home. Grêmio travels with an away scoring record of 1.40 goals.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.