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1899 Hoffenheim
W L L L W
VS
AI Predicts: 1-2
Away

Lyon
D W L W W
1X2 Lyon 40%
O/U Over 1.5 81%
DC X2 64%
BTTS Yes 63%
OpWin AI Probabilities
1899 Hoffenheim 36% Draw 24% Lyon 40%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between 1899 Hoffenheim and Lyon?

Our prediction for the 1899 Hoffenheim–Lyon match is: over 1.5 goals.

Other OPWIN picks

Lyon to win (40% confidence); Lyon to win or draw (64% confidence); both teams to score: yes (63% confidence)

1899 Hoffenheim

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, 1899 Hoffenheim scored an average of 1.80 goals and conceded 2.20 per match.

Lyon

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Lyon scored an average of 2.00 goals and conceded 1.00 per match.

How the recent evidence fits the pick

Across the available samples, 1899 Hoffenheim and Lyon average 3.80 goals scored per match combined. That recent scoring pace aligns with Over 1.5.

Players to watch

Across 5 recent recorded appearances, B. Conté contributed 2 goal(s) and 1 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.16/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 4 recent recorded appearances, E. Nuamah contributed 3 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.40/10 across 4 rated appearances.

Recent squad-performance signal

Across recent rated squad performances used by Team Intelligence, Lyon records a mean of 6.60/10 versus 6.40/10 for 1899 Hoffenheim.

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The current records list C. Ilzer for 1899 Hoffenheim and Paulo Fonseca for Lyon. The latest recorded formations are 1899 Hoffenheim in 4-2-3-1 (Oct 18, 2026) and Lyon in 4-2-3-1 (Oct 18, 2026). Across 6 recent matches with possession and shot data, 1899 Hoffenheim averaged 56.3% possession and 17.3 shots per match (5.2 on target), a possession control with high shot volume profile. Across 6 matches, Lyon averaged 50.7% possession and 12.2 shots (5.0 on target), a a strong average volume of shots on target profile. The clearest contrast in this sample is shot production.

This UEFA Europa League fixture takes place at Prezero Arena (Sinsheim).

1899 Hoffenheim's recent home record is weaker than its away record: 3 defeats in 4 home matches, averaging 0.8 points per home match compared with 1.0 away.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.58 — 1.53 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

138%1899 Hoffenheim
X25%Draw
236%Lyon
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes63%
No37%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 82%U 18%
O/U 2.5O 60%U 40%
O/U 3.5O 38%U 62%
O/U 4.5O 20%U 80%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

1899 Hoffenheim
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 92%

The model assigns 92% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for 1899 Hoffenheim.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 80%

A different goal line with 80% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 80%U 20%
1.5O 47%U 53%
2.5O 21%U 79%
3.5O 8%U 92%
Lyon
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 93%

The model assigns 93% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Lyon.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 80%

A different goal line with 80% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 78%U 22%
1.5O 45%U 55%
2.5O 20%U 80%
3.5O 7%U 93%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

1899 Hoffenheim22%
Lyon20%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

1899 Hoffenheim16%
Lyon15%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

1899 Hoffenheim51%
Lyon49%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

1899 Hoffenheim
-1.5W 19%P 0%L 81%
-1W 19%P 19%L 62%
-0.5W 38%P 0%L 62%
0W 38%P 25%L 36%
+0.5W 64%P 0%L 36%
+1W 64%P 18%L 18%
+1.5W 82%P 0%L 18%
Lyon
-1.5W 18%P 0%L 82%
-1W 18%P 18%L 64%
-0.5W 36%P 0%L 64%
0W 36%P 25%L 38%
+0.5W 62%P 0%L 38%
+1W 62%P 19%L 19%
+1.5W 81%P 0%L 19%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-111.64%
#22-18.49%
#31-28.22%
#42-26.51%
#51-06.34%
Combined Top 541.20%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

1899 Hoffenheim + BTTS22%
Lyon + BTTS21%
Draw + BTTS20%

1899 Hoffenheim Season

Rank#30
Points0
Matches Left36

Lyon Season

Rank#8
Points6
Matches Left36

1899 Hoffenheim Last 5

Borussia Mönchengladbach 1 - 2
Beşiktaş 2 - 3
Hamburger SV 2 - 3
SC Paderborn 07 3 - 1
VfB Stuttgart 2 - 1

Lyon Last 5

Nice 2 - 1
Crystal Palace 3 - 2
Lens 2 - 1
Rennes 4 - 0
Paris FC 0 - 0

Head-to-Head

1899 Hoffenheim: 0 Draws: 3 Lyon: 0
2024 1899 Hoffenheim 2 - 2 Lyon
2018 Lyon 2 - 2 1899 Hoffenheim
2018 1899 Hoffenheim 3 - 3 Lyon

Form Analysis

1899 Hoffenheim
L L
Lyon
W W

1899 Hoffenheim Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
2.00
Goals scored2
Goals conceded3
Matches1
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)3.00

Lyon Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
2.00
Goals scored2
Goals conceded1
Matches1
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.00

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

1899 Hoffenheim
1.46
Lyon
1.52

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

1899 Hoffenheim vs Lyon is a Europa League football match on October 22, 2026 at PreZero Arena. Recent form is 0 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses (form: LL) for 1899 Hoffenheim and 2 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses (form: WW) for Lyon. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 22 Oct 2026
📍 PreZero Arena

Standings & Context

In the Europa League standings, 1899 Hoffenheim is currently #30 with 0 points from 2 matches, while Lyon is #8 with 6 points from 2. Recent head-to-head history: 1899 Hoffenheim won 0, 3 were drawn and Lyon won 0 across the last 3 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows 1899 Hoffenheim at 2.00 goals scored and 3.00 conceded per home match, versus Lyon at 2.00 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 1.46 for 1899 Hoffenheim and 1.52 for Lyon.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.