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1899 Hoffenheim
W W L D W
VS
AI Predicts: 2-0
Away

Sturm Graz
L W L
1X2 1899 Hoffenheim 67%
O/U Over 2.5 66%
DC 1X 92%
BTTS Yes 63%
OpWin AI Probabilities
1899 Hoffenheim 67% Draw 16% Sturm Graz 17%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between 1899 Hoffenheim and Sturm Graz?

Our prediction for the 1899 Hoffenheim–Sturm Graz match is: 1899 Hoffenheim to win or draw.

Other OPWIN picks

1899 Hoffenheim to win (67% confidence); over 2.5 goals (66% confidence); both teams to score: yes (63% confidence)

1899 Hoffenheim

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, 1899 Hoffenheim scored an average of 1.80 goals and conceded 0.80 per match.

Sturm Graz

Across the 3 most recent finished matches with available data, Sturm Graz scored an average of 1.00 goals and conceded 2.00 per match.

How the recent evidence fits the pick

Recent results add context to Double chance: Home or Draw (1X): 1899 Hoffenheim scored 1.80 and conceded 0.80 per match across 5 covered games; Sturm Graz scored 1.00 and conceded 2.00 across 3.

Players to watch

Across 5 recent recorded appearances, A. Kramarić contributed 2 goal(s) and 3 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.44/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 3 recent recorded appearances, O. Diakité contributed 3 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.43/10 across 3 rated appearances.

Recent squad-performance signal

Across recent rated squad performances used by Team Intelligence, 1899 Hoffenheim records a mean of 6.66/10 versus 6.41/10 for Sturm Graz.

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The current records list C. Ilzer for 1899 Hoffenheim and F. Ingolitsch for Sturm Graz. The latest recorded formations are 1899 Hoffenheim in 4-2-2-2 (Nov 8, 2026) and Sturm Graz in 3-4-3 (Nov 5, 2026). Across 11 recent matches with possession and shot data, 1899 Hoffenheim averaged 52.5% possession and 17.4 shots per match (5.4 on target), a high shot volume profile. Across 3 matches, Sturm Graz averaged 43.0% possession and 16.3 shots (4.3 on target), a a lower-possession profile that still produces shots profile. The recorded numbers do not show a pronounced gap in possession or shot volume.

This UEFA Europa League fixture takes place at SNP Arena (Sinsheim).

Recent results show that 1899 Hoffenheim have a stronger record at home than away: 4 wins in 7 home matches, averaging 1.7 points per home match compared with 0.8 away. This points to a positive home-performance trend.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.88 — 1.34 Reliability 60%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

149%1899 Hoffenheim
X24%Draw
227%Sturm Graz
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes63%
No37%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 84%U 16%
O/U 2.5O 62%U 38%
O/U 3.5O 40%U 60%
O/U 4.5O 22%U 78%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

1899 Hoffenheim
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 88%

The model assigns 88% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for 1899 Hoffenheim.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 85%

A different goal line with 85% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 85%U 15%
1.5O 56%U 44%
2.5O 29%U 71%
3.5O 12%U 88%
Sturm Graz
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 95%

The model assigns 95% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Sturm Graz.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 85%

A different goal line with 85% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 74%U 26%
1.5O 39%U 61%
2.5O 15%U 85%
3.5O 5%U 95%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

1899 Hoffenheim26%
Sturm Graz15%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

1899 Hoffenheim21%
Sturm Graz11%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

1899 Hoffenheim65%
Sturm Graz35%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

1899 Hoffenheim
-1.5W 28%P 0%L 72%
-1W 28%P 21%L 51%
-0.5W 49%P 0%L 51%
0W 49%P 24%L 27%
+0.5W 73%P 0%L 27%
+1W 73%P 15%L 12%
+1.5W 88%P 0%L 12%
Sturm Graz
-1.5W 12%P 0%L 88%
-1W 12%P 15%L 73%
-0.5W 27%P 0%L 73%
0W 27%P 24%L 49%
+0.5W 51%P 0%L 49%
+1W 51%P 21%L 28%
+1.5W 72%P 0%L 28%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-110.93%
#22-19.43%
#32-07.04%
#41-06.89%
#51-26.75%
Combined Top 541.04%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

1899 Hoffenheim + BTTS28%
Sturm Graz + BTTS16%
Draw + BTTS19%

1899 Hoffenheim Season

Rank#23
Points4
Matches Left34

Sturm Graz Season

Rank#24
Points4
Matches Left34

1899 Hoffenheim Last 5

FC Schalke 04 2 - 1
Crystal Palace 1 - 1
Werder Bremen 2 - 0
Bayer Leverkusen 3 - 0
Lyon 3 - 0

Sturm Graz Last 5

Celje 2 - 3
Marseille 1 - 0
Bournemouth 3 - 0

Head-to-Head

No recent meetings found.

Form Analysis

1899 Hoffenheim
D W L L
Sturm Graz
L W L D

1899 Hoffenheim Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
2.50
Goals scored5
Goals conceded3
Matches2
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.50

Sturm Graz Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
0.00
Goals scored0
Goals conceded3
Matches1
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)3.00

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

1899 Hoffenheim
2.74
Sturm Graz
0.78

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

1899 Hoffenheim vs Sturm Graz is a Europa League football match on November 26, 2026 at PreZero Arena. Recent form is 1 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses (form: DWLL) for 1899 Hoffenheim and 1 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses (form: LWLD) for Sturm Graz. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 26 Nov 2026
📍 PreZero Arena

Standings & Context

In the Europa League standings, 1899 Hoffenheim is currently #23 with 4 points from 4 matches, while Sturm Graz is #24 with 4 points from 4. Recent head-to-head history: No recent head-to-head history is available for this fixture..

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows 1899 Hoffenheim at 2.50 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per home match, versus Sturm Graz at 0.00 goals scored and 3.00 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 2.74 for 1899 Hoffenheim and 0.78 for Sturm Graz.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.