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St. Pauli

W W D L L
VS
AI Predicts: 1-2
Away

1. FC Köln

D L L D D
OpWin AI Probabilities
St. Pauli 32% Draw 26% 1. FC Köln 42%
✨ OpWin Pro Predictions
Winner
1. FC Köln
Confidence: 42%
Double Chance
X2
Confidence: 68%
Safe Goals
Over 1.5
Confidence: 80%
BTTS
Yes
Confidence: 59%
Correct Score
1-2
Confidence: 9%

St. Pauli Season

Rank#16
Points25
Matches Left6

1. FC Köln Season

Rank#15
Points27
Matches Left6

St. Pauli Last 5

SV Werder Bremen 2 - 1
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 0 - 1
Eintracht Frankfurt 0 - 0
Borussia Mönchengladbach 2 - 0
SC Freiburg 1 - 2

1. FC Köln Last 5

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 2 - 2
FC Augsburg 2 - 0
Borussia Dortmund 1 - 2
Hamburger SV 1 - 1
Borussia Mönchengladbach 3 - 3

Head-to-Head

St. Pauli: 0 Draws: 1 1. FC Köln: 0
2025 1. FC Köln 1 - 1 St. Pauli

Form Analysis

St. Pauli
6W - 7D - 15L
1. FC Köln
6W - 9D - 13L

St. Pauli Performance

⚔️ Efficiency
0.93
Attacks75
Dangerous30
Avg Shots8.6
🛡️ Defense 1.64

1. FC Köln Performance

⚔️ Efficiency
1.43
Attacks115
Dangerous46
Avg Shots13.2
🛡️ Defense 1.79

Match Statistics

45% Possession 55%
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4

* Projected stats.

Expected Goals (xG)

St. Pauli
1.38
1. FC Köln
1.60

Live Commentary & Analysis

📝 Pre-match analysis 08:02 PM

As St. Pauli prepares to host 1. FC Köln at their home ground, the excitement among fans is palpable, especially considering the predictions surrounding this clash in the Bundesliga. The math model favors the away team, giving 1. FC Köln a 42% chance of emerging victorious, which indicates a solid statistical backing for their capabilities. This prediction likely stems from a careful analysis of both teams' recent performances, player conditions, and historical matchup data using models like poisson distribution that assess the probability of multiple outcomes. The safety pick of X2 signifies that even if Köln faces a tough match, they are expected to at least secure a draw, making it a wise choice for value bets. With this in mind, betting tips suggest focusing on a winner for Köln, and considering combo bets such as goals being over 1.5 and both teams to score (BTTS) being a high probability scenario. The odds offered for these outcomes provide a lucrative opportunity, especially with the existing variance in both teams' goal-scoring abilities. Fans and punters alike should keep an eye on the dynamics of St. Pauli vs 1. FC Köln prediction as this match unfolds, ensuring they’re well-informed on potential betting strategies for a thrilling encounter.

📅 17 Apr 2026
📍 their home ground

Standings & Context

Currently, St. Pauli sits at position #16 (25 pts). They face 1. FC Köln who occupy the #15 spot (27 pts).

Performance Analysis

Looking at numbers, St. Pauli has averaged 0.93 goals at home. 1. FC Köln travels with an away scoring record of 1.43 goals.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.