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Dortmund

L W L W W
VS
AI Predicts: 2-1
Away

Mainz

W L W W W
OpWin AI Probabilities
Dortmund 57% Draw 24% Mainz 19%
FT (Finished): 4 - 0
Accuracy: 100%
Winner
Dortmund
Confidence: 57%
Double Chance
1X
Confidence: 81%
Safe Goals
Over 1.5
Confidence: 80%
BTTS
No
Confidence: 48%
Correct Score
2-1
Confidence: 10%

Match Timeline

9' 🟥 Silvan Widmer
10' Sehrou Guirassy (1-0)
15' Maximilian Beier (2-0)
23' 🟥 Niklas Süle
27' 🔄 In: Kacper Potulski
42' Sehrou Guirassy (3-0)
46' 🔄 In: Luca Reggiani
56' 🟥 Stefan Posch
60' 🔄 In: Sheraldo Becker
60' 🔄 In: Paul Nebel
60' 🔄 In: Philipp Mwene
61' 🔄 In: Carney Chukwuemeka
61' 🔄 In: Fábio Silva
73' 🔄 In: Nelson Weiper
74' 🔄 In: Marcel Sabitzer
74' 🔄 In: Karim Adeyemi
84' Ramy Bensebaini (4-0)
86' 🟥 Carney Chukwuemeka
90' 🟥 Fábio Silva

Lineups (3-4-2-1 vs 3-5-2)

Dortmund
  • 1 Gregor Kobel Goalkeeper
  • 24 Daniel Svensson Defence
  • 26 Julian Ryerson Right-Back
  • 25 Niklas Süle Centre-Back
  • 14 Maximilian Beier Centre-Forward
  • 10 Julian Brandt Attacking Midfield
  • 9 Sehrou Guirassy Centre-Forward
  • 8 Felix Kalu Nmecha Central Midfield
  • 7 Jobe Bellingham Attacking Midfield
  • 5 Ramy Bensebaini Left-Back
  • 3 Waldemar Anton Centre-Back
Mainz
  • 33 Daniel Batz Goalkeeper
  • 6 Kaishu Sano Midfield
  • 7 Jae-sung Lee Midfield
  • 26 Silas Katompa Mvumpa Offence
  • 31 Dominik Kohr Defensive Midfield
  • 30 Silvan Widmer Right-Back
  • 21 Danny da Costa Right-Back
  • 20 Phillip Tietz Centre-Forward
  • 16 Stefan Bell Centre-Back
  • 10 Nadiem Amiri Central Midfield
  • 4 Stefan Posch Right-Back

Dortmund Season

Rank#2
Points51
Matches Left12

Mainz Season

Rank#14
Points21
Matches Left12

Dortmund Last 5

Tottenham Hotspur FC 2 - 0
1. FC Union Berlin 0 - 3
FC Internazionale Milano 0 - 2
1. FC Heidenheim 1846 3 - 2
VfL Wolfsburg 1 - 2

Mainz Last 5

1. FC Heidenheim 1846 2 - 1
1. FC Köln 2 - 1
VfL Wolfsburg 3 - 1
RB Leipzig 1 - 2
FC Augsburg 2 - 0

Head-to-Head

Dortmund: 3 Draws: 0 Mainz: 2
2026 Dortmund 4 - 0 Mainz
2025 Mainz 0 - 2 Dortmund
2025 Dortmund 3 - 1 Mainz
2024 Mainz 3 - 1 Dortmund
2024 Mainz 3 - 0 Dortmund

Form Analysis

Dortmund
15W - 6D - 1L
Mainz
5W - 6D - 11L

Dortmund Performance

⚔️ Efficiency
2.18
Attacks175
Dangerous70
Avg Shots20.1
🛡️ Defense 0.91

Mainz Performance

⚔️ Efficiency
1.18
Attacks95
Dangerous38
Avg Shots10.9
🛡️ Defense 1.73

Match Statistics

60% Possession 40%
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3

* Projected stats.

Expected Goals (xG)

Dortmund
1.91
Mainz
1.02

Live Commentary & Analysis

🏁 FT 04:24 PM

Dortmund dominated Mainz with a stunning 4-0 victory! Their attacking prowess was on full display, showcasing impressive teamwork and skill. A fantastic performance that boosts their confidence in the league as they eye the top spots.

⏸️ HT 03:22 PM

Dortmund dominates at halftime with a commanding 3-0 lead over Mainz. Their attacking prowess and solid defense showcase their intention to secure a vital victory. Fans eagerly anticipate the second half for more exhilarating action!

KICKOFF 02:32 PM

The match between Dortmund and Mainz has kicked off! Both teams are looking strong as they aim for dominance. Expect fast-paced action and thrilling plays as they fight for early momentum in this crucial Bundesliga clash!

📰 Team News 08:30 AM

Update: Emre Can and Filippo Mané are sidelined through injury for Borussia Dortmund, while Nico Schlotterbeck is suspended.

📝 Pre-match analysis 07:04 PM

In the upcoming Bundesliga clash between Dortmund and Mainz, the Math Model prediction favors Dortmund as the winner with a confidence level of 55%. This projection likely stems from various factors, including Dortmund's strong home record and offensive prowess, coupled with Mainz's struggles on the road. As both teams prepare for the encounter at their home ground, the model suggests that betting on Dortmund offers excellent value bet potential, especially when considering the odds. The safety pick of 1X suggests a cushion for bettors, acknowledging that while Dortmund is favored for the win, a draw could also be a reasonable outcome, making it less risky. Moreover, the recommendation for over 2.5 goals indicates a high-scoring match is anticipated, aligning with the statistical analysis based on Poisson distribution showing an expected variance for both teams to score. The Matchup also suggests both teams to score (BTTS) is a solid betting tip, as recent performances indicate both squads can find the net. The Dortmund vs Mainz prediction underscores the potential for a thrilling game filled with action, perfect for those looking to engage in combo bets allowing for multiple outcomes. Expect an exciting match where offense takes the spotlight based on current form and statistical insights.

📅 Finished
📍 their home ground

Standings & Context

Currently, Dortmund sits at position #2 (51 pts). They face Mainz who occupy the #14 spot (21 pts).

Performance Analysis

Looking at numbers, Dortmund has averaged 2.18 goals at home. Mainz travels with an away scoring record of 1.18 goals.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.