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Toulouse

L L D L L
VS
AI Predicts: 2-1
Away

Lorient

L W D D D
OpWin AI Probabilities
Toulouse 40% Draw 25% Lorient 35%
✨ OpWin Pro Predictions
Winner
Toulouse
Confidence: 40%
Double Chance
1X
Confidence: 65%
Goals
Over 2.5
Confidence: 60%
BTTS
Yes
Confidence: 66%
Correct Score
2-1
Confidence: 9%

Toulouse Season

Rank#11
Points34
Matches Left8

Lorient Season

Rank#9
Points37
Matches Left8

Toulouse Last 5

Angers SCO 1 - 0
Le Havre AC 2 - 1
Paris FC 1 - 1
Stade Rennais FC 1901 1 - 0
Olympique de Marseille 0 - 1

Lorient Last 5

Stade Brestois 29 2 - 0
Angers SCO 2 - 0
OGC Nice 3 - 3
AJ Auxerre 2 - 2
Lille OSC 1 - 1

Head-to-Head

Toulouse: 1 Draws: 1 Lorient: 0
2025 Lorient 1 - 1 Toulouse
2024 Lorient 1 - 2 Toulouse

Form Analysis

Toulouse
9W - 7D - 10L
Lorient
9W - 10D - 7L

Toulouse Performance

⚔️ Efficiency
1.46
Attacks118
Dangerous47
Avg Shots13.4
🛡️ Defense 1.23

Lorient Performance

⚔️ Efficiency
1.46
Attacks118
Dangerous47
Avg Shots13.4
🛡️ Defense 1.54

Match Statistics

50% Possession 50%
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4

* Projected stats.

Expected Goals (xG)

Toulouse
1.63
Lorient
1.50

Live Commentary & Analysis

📝 Pre-match analysis 08:09 PM

In the upcoming Ligue 1 clash between Toulouse and Lorient at the Stadium de Toulouse, the math model leans towards a Toulouse victory, albeit with a moderate confidence of 40%. This prediction can be attributed to several factors including Toulouse’s recent home form and Lorient’s inconsistency on the road. The model’s safety pick of 1X suggests a strong belief that Toulouse can at least secure a draw, making it a valuable bet for those looking to minimize risk. Furthermore, with the likelihood of over 2.5 goals and both teams to score (BTTS) being high, bettors may find enticing odds on Combo bets that include these outcomes. The Poisson distribution model used here indicates a variance in performance; Toulouse's attacking prowess at home contrasts Lorient's defensive weaknesses, which might lead to a high-scoring encounter. For those looking for 1x2 predictions, placing a bet on Toulouse to win aligns well with the statistical backing provided. Overall, the Toulouse vs Lorient prediction leans heavily towards the home side, emphasizing the value bet available in this thrilling matchup.

📅 21 Mar 2026
📍 Stadium de Toulouse

Standings & Context

Currently, Toulouse sits at position #11 (34 pts). They face Lorient who occupy the #9 spot (37 pts).

Performance Analysis

Looking at numbers, Toulouse has averaged 1.46 goals at home. Lorient travels with an away scoring record of 1.46 goals.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.