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Vitória SC

L D L L L
VS
AI Predicts: 1-0
Away

Tondela

D W D L D
OpWin AI Probabilities
Vitória SC 40% Draw 28% Tondela 32%
✨ OpWin Pro Predictions
Winner
Vitória SC
Confidence: 40%
Double Chance
1X
Confidence: 68%
Safe Goals
Under 3.5
Confidence: 75%
BTTS
No
Confidence: 47%
Correct Score
1-0
Confidence: 10%

Vitória SC Season

Rank#9
Points32
Matches Left7

Tondela Season

Rank#17
Points20
Matches Left8

Vitória SC Last 5

Sporting Clube de Braga 3 - 2
FC Alverca 1 - 1
CD Santa Clara 2 - 0
FC Famalicão 1 - 2
Sport Lisboa e Benfica 3 - 0

Tondela Last 5

FC Alverca 1 - 1
CF Estrela da Amadora 0 - 2
CD Santa Clara 2 - 2
Rio Ave FC 0 - 1
AVS 0 - 0

Head-to-Head

Vitória SC: 1 Draws: 0 Tondela: 0
2025 Tondela 0 - 1 Vitória SC

Form Analysis

Vitória SC
9W - 5D - 13L
Tondela
4W - 8D - 14L

Vitória SC Performance

⚔️ Efficiency
1.07
Attacks85
Dangerous34
Avg Shots9.8
🛡️ Defense 1.50

Tondela Performance

⚔️ Efficiency
0.77
Attacks63
Dangerous25
Avg Shots7.1
🛡️ Defense 1.54

Match Statistics

53% Possession 47%
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2

* Projected stats.

Expected Goals (xG)

Vitória SC
1.35
Tondela
1.17

Live Commentary & Analysis

📝 Pre-match analysis 08:04 PM

In the upcoming Primeira Liga clash between Vitória SC and Tondela at the Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques, the Math Model has predicted a victory for Vitória SC with a confidence level of 40%. This prediction suggests that despite being favorites, the match could be competitive given that Tondela has performed well in previous encounters. The model's reliance on statistical analysis, including poisson distribution, helps estimate the probabilities of different outcomes based on historical data. For bettors, this match presents a few value betting opportunities. The 1x2 Predictions favor Vitória SC, making them a solid choice for a winner bet. Additionally, the suggested 'safety pick' of 1X means that a draw or a home win is likely to occur. With both teams struggling to score consistently, betting tips recommend opting for an Under 3.5 goals market and considering that both teams may not find the net—hence the BTTS: No recommendation. This variance in goal-scoring potential further validates the odds provided by the betting community, reinforcing the expectation of a tightly contested match without many goals.

📅 3 Apr 2026
📍 Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques

Standings & Context

Currently, Vitória SC sits at position #9 (32 pts). They face Tondela who occupy the #17 spot (20 pts).

Performance Analysis

Looking at numbers, Vitória SC has averaged 1.07 goals at home. Tondela travels with an away scoring record of 0.77 goals.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.