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Celta

L D W W L
VS
AI Predicts: 1-0
Away

Alavés

L D D L L
OpWin AI Probabilities
Celta 45% Draw 28% Alavés 27%
✨ OpWin Pro Predictions
Winner
Celta
Confidence: 45%
Double Chance
1X
Confidence: 73%
Safe Goals
Under 3.5
Confidence: 75%
BTTS
No
Confidence: 46%
Correct Score
1-0
Confidence: 11%

Celta Season

Rank#6
Points41
Matches Left10

Alavés Season

Rank#17
Points28
Matches Left10

Celta Last 5

CA Osasuna 1 - 2
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona 2 - 2
RCD Mallorca 2 - 0
Girona FC 1 - 2
Real Madrid CF 1 - 2

Alavés Last 5

Getafe CF 0 - 2
Sevilla FC 1 - 1
Girona FC 2 - 2
Levante UD 2 - 0
Valencia CF 3 - 2

Head-to-Head

Celta: 2 Draws: 1 Alavés: 1
2025 Alavés 0 - 1 Celta
2025 Alavés 1 - 1 Celta
2024 Celta 2 - 1 Alavés
2024 Alavés 3 - 0 Celta

Form Analysis

Celta
10W - 11D - 7L
Alavés
7W - 7D - 14L

Celta Performance

⚔️ Efficiency
1.36
Attacks110
Dangerous44
Avg Shots12.5
🛡️ Defense 1.14

Alavés Performance

⚔️ Efficiency
0.93
Attacks75
Dangerous30
Avg Shots8.6
🛡️ Defense 1.36

Match Statistics

54% Possession 46%
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3

* Projected stats.

Expected Goals (xG)

Celta
1.47
Alavés
1.09

Live Commentary & Analysis

📝 Pre-match analysis 08:07 PM

In the upcoming clash between Celta and Alavés at the Estadio ABANCA Balaídos, the math model predicts a 46% confidence in a Celta victory, which highlights their slight advantage as the home team. The model likely takes into account various factors such as team form, head-to-head records, and player statistics that suggest Celta has the upper hand. Given recent performances, the odds favor the home side, making them a value bet for 1x2 predictions. The advisable safety pick of 1X implies that betting on Celta to win or draw may be a safer option, especially considering Alavés' struggles on the road. With Celta's defense showing resilience, the recommendation for goals under 3.5 combines well with the predicted lack of both teams scoring, nudging bets towards a 'BTTS: No' stance. Thus, fans and bettors should look closely at the poisson distribution for goal expectations, as variance in recent matches indicates lower-scoring games have been prevalent. This matchup presents a solid opportunity for those seeking combo bets that consider both a Celta win and a low-scoring outcome, making it a tactical betting tip for this Primera Division encounter and the 'Celta vs Alavés prediction' worth considering.

📅 22 Mar 2026
📍 Estadio ABANCA Balaídos

Standings & Context

Currently, Celta sits at position #6 (41 pts). They face Alavés who occupy the #17 spot (28 pts).

Performance Analysis

Looking at numbers, Celta has averaged 1.36 goals at home. Alavés travels with an away scoring record of 0.93 goals.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.