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Aston Villa

L W L D W
VS
AI Predicts: 1-0
Away

Brighton Hove

D L D W L
OpWin AI Probabilities
Aston Villa 40% Draw 29% Brighton Hove 31%
FT (Finished): 1 - 0
Accuracy: 100%
Winner
Aston Villa
Confidence: 40%
Double Chance
1X
Confidence: 69%
Safe Goals
Under 3.5
Confidence: 76%
BTTS
No
Confidence: 49%
Correct Score
1-0
Confidence: 10%

Match Timeline

2' 🟥 Carlos Baleba
22' 🔄 In: James Milner
23' 🟥 Joël Veltman
41' 🟥 Jan Paul van Hecke
41' 🟥 Emiliano Martínez
50' 🟥 Morgan Rogers
60' 🔄 In: Ross Barkley
60' 🔄 In: Leon Bailey
61' 🔄 In: Olivier Boscagli
74' 🔄 In: Alysson
75' 🔄 In: Tammy Abraham
81' 🔄 In: Charalampos Kostoulas
81' 🔄 In: Harry Howell
81' 🔄 In: Yankubah Minteh
84' 🔄 In: Victor Nilsson-Lindelöf
86' Jack Hinshelwood (1-0)

Lineups (4-2-3-1 vs 4-3-3)

Aston Villa
  • 23 Emiliano Martínez Goalkeeper
  • 11 Ollie Watkins Centre-Forward
  • 19 Jadon Sancho Left Winger
  • 10 Emiliano Buendía Attacking Midfield
  • 27 Morgan Rogers Attacking Midfield
  • 24 Amadou Onana Defensive Midfield
  • 21 Douglas Luiz Central Midfield
  • 26 Lamare Bogarde Defensive Midfield
  • 4 Ezri Konsa Centre-Back
  • 5 Tyrone Mings Centre-Back
  • 22 Ian Maatsen Left-Back
Brighton Hove
  • 1 Bart Verbruggen Goalkeeper
  • 25 Diego Gómez Central Midfield
  • 18 Danny Welbeck Centre-Forward
  • 22 Kaoru Mitoma Left Winger
  • 13 Jack Hinshelwood Central Midfield
  • 17 Carlos Baleba Defensive Midfield
  • 30 Pascal Groß Central Midfield
  • 34 Joël Veltman Right-Back
  • 6 Jan Paul van Hecke Centre-Back
  • 5 Lewis Dunk Centre-Back
  • 24 Ferdi Kadıoğlu Left-Back

Aston Villa Season

Rank#3
Points50
Matches Left38

Brighton Hove Season

Rank#14
Points31
Matches Left38

Aston Villa Last 5

Everton FC 0 - 1
Newcastle United FC 0 - 2
Brentford FC 0 - 1
AFC Bournemouth 1 - 1
Brighton & Hove Albion FC 1 - 0

Brighton Hove Last 5

Brighton & Hove Albion FC 1 - 1
Fulham FC 2 - 1
Brighton & Hove Albion FC 1 - 1
Brighton & Hove Albion FC 0 - 1
Aston Villa FC 1 - 0

Head-to-Head

Aston Villa: 3 Draws: 1 Brighton Hove: 1
2026 Aston Villa 1 - 0 Brighton Hove
2025 Brighton Hove 3 - 4 Aston Villa
2025 Brighton Hove 0 - 3 Aston Villa
2024 Aston Villa 2 - 2 Brighton Hove
2024 Brighton Hove 1 - 0 Aston Villa

Form Analysis

Aston Villa
15W - 5D - 6L
Brighton Hove
7W - 10D - 9L

Aston Villa Performance

⚔️ Efficiency
1.46
Attacks118
Dangerous47
Avg Shots13.4
🛡️ Defense 1.08

Brighton Hove Performance

⚔️ Efficiency
1.31
Attacks105
Dangerous42
Avg Shots12.1
🛡️ Defense 1.31

Match Statistics

52% Possession 48%
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4

* Projected stats.

Expected Goals (xG)

Aston Villa
1.34
Brighton Hove
1.15

Live Commentary & Analysis

🏁 FT 04:27 PM

Aston Villa secured a thrilling 1-0 victory over Brighton Hove, showcasing their defensive prowess and clinical finishing. The team delivered an inspiring performance, energizing fans and solidifying their position in the league. A match to remember!

⏸️ HT 03:21 PM

Aston Villa and Brighton Hove are locked in a fierce battle at halftime, with both teams showcasing solid defense and tactical play. Expect fireworks in the second half as they search for that crucial first goal!

KICKOFF 02:30 PM

The match between Aston Villa and Brighton Hove has kicked off in an electrifying atmosphere! Both teams are eager to secure vital points, with Villa's attack and Brighton's defense on full display. Let's see who takes the lead!

📰 Team News 08:30 AM

Update: Aston Villa's squad is facing injury concerns in midfield, while Brighton welcomes back Jan Paul van Hecke after a minor hamstring issue.

📝 Pre-match analysis 07:04 PM

In the upcoming Premier League clash at Villa Park, Aston Villa will host Brighton Hove in what promises to be an intriguing encounter. The math model gives Aston Villa a 40% chance of winning, suggesting that recent form, combined with home advantage, gives them a slight edge in this matchup. This model relies on factors such as historical performance, player fitness, and the Poisson distribution to estimate match outcomes, resulting in what many might consider a value bet for bettors looking for a safe pick. With 1X predictions favoring Aston Villa, punters might consider combo bets that encompass both the winning team and possible goal totals. The betting tips recommend wagers on Aston Villa as the winner, with a secondary safety bet on 1X, indicating a draw or home win is the most likely scenario. Additionally, the prediction of over 1.5 goals and both teams to score (BTTS) implies that both sides might find the net, contributing to an engaging match atmosphere. As both teams look to secure important points, this fixture is well worth the attention of fans and bettors alike, making the Aston Villa vs Brighton Hove prediction particularly compelling in the realm of Premier League betting.

📅 Finished
📍 Villa Park

Standings & Context

Currently, Aston Villa sits at position #3 (50 pts). They face Brighton Hove who occupy the #14 spot (31 pts).

Performance Analysis

Looking at numbers, Aston Villa has averaged 1.46 goals at home. Brighton Hove travels with an away scoring record of 1.31 goals.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.