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Chelsea

W W W W D
VS
AI Predicts: 2-1
Away

Leeds United

W D L W D
OpWin AI Probabilities
Chelsea 49% Draw 25% Leeds United 26%
FT (Finished): 2 - 2
Accuracy: 75%
Winner
Chelsea
Confidence: 49%
Double Chance
1X
Confidence: 74%
Goals
Over 2.5
Confidence: 58%
BTTS
Yes
Confidence: 59%
Correct Score
2-1
Confidence: 10%

Match Timeline

8' 🟥 Malo Gusto
15' 🟥 Josh Acheampong
19' 🟥 Gabriel Gudmundsson
22' 🟥 Sebastiaan Bornauw
24' João Pedro (1-0)
45' 🟥 James Justin
46' 🔄 In: Jorrel Hato
55' 🔄 In: Noah Okafor
58' Cole Palmer (2-0)
64' 🔄 In: Pedro Neto
67' Lukas Nmecha (2-1)
67' 🟥 Cole Palmer
73' Noah Okafor (2-2)
79' 🔄 In: Wesley Fofana
79' 🔄 In: Liam Delap
82' 🔄 In: Daniel James
90' 🟥 Sean Longstaff
90' 🟥 Moisés Caicedo
90' 🔄 In: Sean Longstaff

Lineups (4-2-3-1 vs 5-4-1)

Chelsea
  • 1 Robert Sánchez Goalkeeper
  • 41 Estevao Offence
  • 20 João Pedro Centre-Forward
  • 10 Cole Palmer Attacking Midfield
  • 8 Enzo Fernández Central Midfield
  • 25 Moisés Caicedo Defensive Midfield
  • 17 Andrey Santos Central Midfield
  • 27 Malo Gusto Right-Back
  • 34 Josh Acheampong Right-Back
  • 23 Trevoh Chalobah Centre-Back
  • 3 Cucurella Left-Back
Leeds United
  • 26 Karl Darlow Goalkeeper
  • 14 Lukas Nmecha Centre-Forward
  • 2 Jayden Bogle Right-Back
  • 11 Brenden Aaronson Attacking Midfield
  • 24 James Justin Right-Back
  • 4 Ethan Ampadu Defensive Midfield
  • 44 Ilia Gruev Defensive Midfield
  • 3 Gabriel Gudmundsson Left-Back
  • 6 Joe Rodon Centre-Back
  • 23 Sebastiaan Bornauw Centre-Back
  • 15 Jaka Bijol Centre-Back

Chelsea Season

Rank#5
Points44
Matches Left38

Leeds United Season

Rank#15
Points30
Matches Left38

Chelsea Last 5

Crystal Palace FC 1 - 3
SSC Napoli 2 - 3
West Ham United FC 3 - 2
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC 1 - 3
Leeds United FC 2 - 2

Leeds United Last 5

Fulham FC 1 - 0
Everton FC 1 - 1
Arsenal FC 0 - 4
Nottingham Forest FC 3 - 1
Chelsea FC 2 - 2

Head-to-Head

Chelsea: 0 Draws: 1 Leeds United: 1
2026 Chelsea 2 - 2 Leeds United
2025 Leeds United 3 - 1 Chelsea

Form Analysis

Chelsea
12W - 8D - 6L
Leeds United
7W - 9D - 10L

Chelsea Performance

⚔️ Efficiency
1.85
Attacks150
Dangerous60
Avg Shots17.0
🛡️ Defense 1.15

Leeds United Performance

⚔️ Efficiency
1.38
Attacks110
Dangerous44
Avg Shots12.7
🛡️ Defense 1.77

Match Statistics

55% Possession 45%
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4

* Projected stats.

Expected Goals (xG)

Chelsea
1.79
Leeds United
1.26

Live Commentary & Analysis

🏁 FT 05:01 PM

A thrilling encounter at Stamford Bridge ends in a dramatic 2-2 draw. Chelsea fought back valiantly, displaying grit and determination, but Leeds United matched their intensity. Both sides showcased attacking flair, leaving fans eagerly anticipating their next clash.

⏸️ HT 03:20 PM

At halftime, Chelsea leads 1-0 against Leeds United! A tightly contested first half saw Chelsea dominating possession, with exceptional attacking play. Leeds will need to regroup and find a way to break through Chelsea's strong defense in the second half.

KICKOFF 02:32 PM

The tension is palpable as Chelsea and Leeds United kick off! Both teams are eager to secure an early advantage. Keep an eye out for quick counterattacks and dynamic plays in this thrilling match-up!

📰 Team News 08:30 AM

Update: Chelsea will be without injured players Dario Essugo, Romeo Lavia, and Levi Colwill for the match against Leeds.

📝 Pre-match analysis 07:02 PM

In the upcoming Premier League clash at Stamford Bridge, Chelsea hosts Leeds United, and predictions lean slightly in favor of the home side with a 49% confidence level for a Chelsea victory. The Math Model highlights Chelsea's recent form, where they have shown a stronger performance against mid-table teams, which is a crucial insight for our 1x2 predictions. With historical data suggesting Chelsea often dominates at home, it makes sense to consider them a value bet for this match. Moreover, a combo bet of Chelsea winning alongside betting on over 2.5 goals seems compelling given the potential variance in scoring, especially with both teams' attacking capabilities. Leeds United, known for their fluid style of play, are also likely to contribute to a thrilling encounter, hence the recommendation for BTTS (Both Teams to Score). Overall, this Chelsea vs Leeds United prediction emphasizes taking advantage of the odds and statistical models, which often utilize poisson distribution methods to forecast scorelines based on prior performance. In this matchup, combining a safety pick of 1X alongside recommended bets can provide a sound strategy for bettors looking to navigate the wide range of betting tips available.

📅 Finished
📍 Stamford Bridge

Standings & Context

Currently, Chelsea sits at position #5 (44 pts). They face Leeds United who occupy the #15 spot (30 pts).

Performance Analysis

Looking at numbers, Chelsea has averaged 1.85 goals at home. Leeds United travels with an away scoring record of 1.38 goals.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.