OpWin.

Home

Casa Pia

W L D D L
VS
AI Predicts: 0-2
Away

SL Benfica

L W D W L
OpWin AI Probabilities
Casa Pia 14% Draw 22% SL Benfica 63%
✨ OpWin Pro Predictions
Winner
SL Benfica
Confidence: 63%
Double Chance
X2
Confidence: 85%
Safe Goals
Over 1.5
Confidence: 77%
BTTS
No
Confidence: 52%
Correct Score
0-2
Confidence: 12%

Casa Pia Season

Rank#15
Points24
Matches Left8

SL Benfica Season

Rank#3
Points65
Matches Left7

Casa Pia Last 5

FC Arouca 3 - 2
FC Famalicão 2 - 0
Moreirense FC 1 - 1
GD Estoril Praia 0 - 0
CF Estrela da Amadora 4 - 0

SL Benfica Last 5

Real Madrid CF 2 - 1
Gil Vicente FC 1 - 2
Sport Lisboa e Benfica 2 - 2
FC Arouca 1 - 2
Sport Lisboa e Benfica 3 - 0

Head-to-Head

Casa Pia: 1 Draws: 1 SL Benfica: 1
2025 SL Benfica 2 - 2 Casa Pia
2025 Casa Pia 3 - 1 SL Benfica
2024 SL Benfica 3 - 0 Casa Pia

Form Analysis

Casa Pia
5W - 9D - 12L
SL Benfica
19W - 8D - 0L

Casa Pia Performance

⚔️ Efficiency
1.00
Attacks80
Dangerous32
Avg Shots9.2
🛡️ Defense 1.85

SL Benfica Performance

⚔️ Efficiency
2.07
Attacks168
Dangerous67
Avg Shots19.0
🛡️ Defense 0.64

Match Statistics

39% Possession 61%
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6

* Projected stats.

Expected Goals (xG)

Casa Pia
0.82
SL Benfica
1.97

Live Commentary & Analysis

📝 Pre-match analysis 08:05 PM

As Casa Pia prepares to host SL Benfica in what promises to be an exciting Primeira Liga clash, the math model strongly favors the visiting side with a 63% confidence in a Benfica victory. This prediction could stem from several factors including Benfica's overall dominance in recent meetings, as well as the depth and quality of their squad. Casa Pia, while resilient at home, might struggle against a team of Benfica's pedigree, especially considering the variance in their performances this season. Bettors looking for value bets might gravitate towards the 1x2 Predictions that favor an away win, reinforced by Combo bets that could include an over 1.5 goals option, signaling a high-scoring affair. The recommendation of 'No' for both teams to score (BTTS) indicates a belief that Benfica's solid defense could hold Casa Pia at bay. Additionally, employing a Poisson distribution to analyze expected goals could reveal statistical support for the trends emerging from past encounters. With these insights, the Casa Pia vs SL Benfica prediction definitely lends itself to the betting tips that suggest caution with the odds but highlight the safe options available to punters.

📅 6 Apr 2026
📍 their home ground

Standings & Context

Currently, Casa Pia sits at position #15 (24 pts). They face SL Benfica who occupy the #3 spot (65 pts).

Performance Analysis

Looking at numbers, Casa Pia has averaged 1.00 goals at home. SL Benfica travels with an away scoring record of 2.07 goals.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.