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AZ

W L L W L
VS
AI Predicts: 1-2
Away

Heerenveen

L W W W D
OpWin AI Probabilities
AZ 37% Draw 25% Heerenveen 38%
✨ OpWin Pro Predictions
Winner
Heerenveen
Confidence: 38%
Double Chance
X2
Confidence: 63%
Goals
Over 2.5
Confidence: 63%
BTTS
Yes
Confidence: 65%
Correct Score
1-2
Confidence: 8%

AZ Season

Rank#6
Points42
Matches Left10

Heerenveen Season

Rank#8
Points41
Matches Left10

AZ Last 5

Sparta Rotterdam 3 - 1
FC Utrecht 2 - 0
PSV 2 - 1
Heracles Almelo 4 - 0
FC Groningen 3 - 0

Heerenveen Last 5

PSV 3 - 1
Sparta Rotterdam 2 - 1
SBV Excelsior 1 - 2
Telstar 1963 3 - 0
NEC 2 - 2

Head-to-Head

AZ: 1 Draws: 0 Heerenveen: 2
2025 Heerenveen 3 - 1 AZ
2025 Heerenveen 3 - 1 AZ
2024 AZ 9 - 1 Heerenveen

Form Analysis

AZ
12W - 6D - 10L
Heerenveen
11W - 8D - 9L

AZ Performance

⚔️ Efficiency
1.71
Attacks138
Dangerous55
Avg Shots15.7
🛡️ Defense 1.64

Heerenveen Performance

⚔️ Efficiency
1.79
Attacks145
Dangerous58
Avg Shots16.5
🛡️ Defense 1.64

Match Statistics

49% Possession 51%
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5

* Projected stats.

Expected Goals (xG)

AZ
1.62
Heerenveen
1.66

Live Commentary & Analysis

📝 Pre-match analysis 08:09 PM

In the upcoming Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and SC Heerenveen, the model suggests a potential upset with Heerenveen predicted to emerge victorious, albeit with a confidence level of only 38%. This may stem from recent performances that highlight a variance in form between the two teams. AZ has shown inconsistent results at home, which could open the door for Heerenveen, who may be capitalizing on a value bet situation. Historical data and advanced metrics like poisson distribution indicate that Heerenveen might exploit AZ's defensive vulnerabilities effectively. This match presents several betting tips, including a safety pick of X2, which easily aligns with anticipated outcomes. Additionally, odds related to over 2.5 goals and both teams to score (BTTS) seem attractive given both teams' offensive abilities. The AZ vs Heerenveen prediction reflects an analysis of past encounters, suggesting that the home side may struggle to contain Heerenveen's forward threats. Therefore, this matchup could favor combo bets, where a bet on Heerenveen's victory paired with a high-scoring game may be the way to go.

📅 12 Apr 2026
📍 AFAS Stadion

Standings & Context

Currently, AZ sits at position #6 (42 pts). They face Heerenveen who occupy the #8 spot (41 pts).

Performance Analysis

Looking at numbers, AZ has averaged 1.71 goals at home. Heerenveen travels with an away scoring record of 1.79 goals.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.