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Alverca

D D D D L
VS
AI Predicts: 2-1
Away

Casa Pia

W L D D L
OpWin AI Probabilities
Alverca 39% Draw 26% Casa Pia 34%
✨ OpWin Pro Predictions
Winner
Alverca
Confidence: 39%
Double Chance
1X
Confidence: 65%
Safe Goals
Over 1.5
Confidence: 79%
BTTS
Yes
Confidence: 58%
Correct Score
2-1
Confidence: 9%

Alverca Season

Rank#11
Points29
Matches Left34

Casa Pia Season

Rank#15
Points24
Matches Left34

Alverca Last 5

CD Santa Clara 1 - 1
Vitória SC 1 - 1
AVS 0 - 0
Gil Vicente FC 2 - 2
Sporting Clube de Portugal 1 - 4

Casa Pia Last 5

FC Arouca 3 - 2
FC Famalicão 2 - 0
Moreirense FC 1 - 1
GD Estoril Praia 0 - 0
CF Estrela da Amadora 4 - 0

Head-to-Head

Alverca: 1 Draws: 0 Casa Pia: 0
2025 Casa Pia 0 - 2 Alverca

Form Analysis

Alverca
7W - 8D - 12L
Casa Pia
5W - 9D - 12L

Alverca Performance

⚔️ Efficiency
1.00
Attacks80
Dangerous32
Avg Shots9.2
🛡️ Defense 1.64

Casa Pia Performance

⚔️ Efficiency
1.00
Attacks80
Dangerous32
Avg Shots9.2
🛡️ Defense 1.85

Match Statistics

50% Possession 50%
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3

* Projected stats.

Expected Goals (xG)

Alverca
1.48
Casa Pia
1.37

Live Commentary & Analysis

📝 Pre-match analysis 08:08 PM

As Alverca prepares to host Casa Pia at the Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca, the anticipation is building for this Primeira Liga encounter. The math model prediction favors Alverca as the winner with a confidence level of 39%, indicating a close contest. This prediction likely arises from various statistical factors including the teams' current form, past head-to-head results, and player injuries. Although this percentage hints at a somewhat uncertain outcome, it suggests a possible value bet for punters considering Alverca's slight edge. The recommended betting tips include selecting a 1X safety pick, which reflects a strong possibility of Alverca at least securing a draw. The odds favor a competitive match with goals expected, hinting at the viability of Combo bets centered on over 1.5 goals and both teams to score (BTTS). This aligns with a poisson distribution analysis of previous matches, revealing a variance in goal outputs that suggests both teams have the capacity to find the back of the net in this tight fixture. With fans eager for an exciting showdown, this Alverca vs Casa Pia prediction holds promise for betting enthusiasts looking to maximize returns with calculated risks in their wagers.

📅 12 Apr 2026
📍 Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca

Standings & Context

Currently, Alverca sits at position #11 (29 pts). They face Casa Pia who occupy the #15 spot (24 pts).

Performance Analysis

Looking at numbers, Alverca has averaged 1.00 goals at home. Casa Pia travels with an away scoring record of 1.00 goals.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.