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Villarreal

L W W L L
VS
AI Predicts: 1-2
Away

Real Madrid

W W W W W
OpWin AI Probabilities
Villarreal 32% Draw 26% Real Madrid 42%
FT (Finished): 0 - 2
Accuracy: 60%
Winner
Real Madrid
Confidence: 42%
Double Chance
X2
Confidence: 68%
Safe Goals
Over 1.5
Confidence: 80%
BTTS
Yes
Confidence: 58%
Correct Score
1-2
Confidence: 9%

Match Timeline

2' 🟥 Juan Foyth
24' 🔄 In: Rafa Marin
47' Kylian Mbappé (0-1)
51' 🟥 Tajon Buchanan
57' 🟥 Pau Navarro
62' 🟥 Franco Mastantuono
70' 🔄 In: Nicolas Pépé
70' 🔄 In: Tani Oluwaseyi
74' 🔄 In: Gonzalo García
77' 🔄 In: Thomas Partey
77' 🔄 In: Ayoze Pérez
80' 🔄 In: Brahim Diaz
90' Kylian Mbappé (0-2)

Lineups (4-4-2 vs 4-3-3)

Villarreal
  • 1 Luiz Junior Goalkeeper
  • 7 Gerard Moreno Centre-Forward
  • 9 Georges Mikautadze Centre-Forward
  • 17 Tajon Buchanan Right Midfield
  • 10 Dani Parejo Central Midfield
  • 18 Pape Gueye Defensive Midfield
  • 20 Alberto Moleiro Attacking Midfield
  • 26 Pau Navarro Centre-Back
  • 8 Juan Foyth Right-Back
  • 12 Renato Veiga Centre-Back
  • 24 Alfonso Pedraza Left-Back
Real Madrid
  • 1 Thibaut Courtois Goalkeeper
  • 18 Álvaro Carreras Defence
  • 30 Franco Mastantuono Midfield
  • 10 Kylian Mbappé Centre-Forward
  • 7 Vinicius Junior Left Winger
  • 15 Arda Guler Right Winger
  • 6 Eduardo Camavinga Central Midfield
  • 5 Jude Bellingham Attacking Midfield
  • 8 Federico Valverde Central Midfield
  • 17 Raúl Centre-Back
  • 24 Dean Huijsen Centre-Back

Villarreal Season

Rank#4
Points41
Matches Left18

Real Madrid Season

Rank#2
Points51
Matches Left17

Villarreal Last 5

FC Barcelona 0 - 2
Elche CF 1 - 3
Deportivo Alavés 3 - 1
Real Betis Balompié 2 - 0
AFC Ajax 1 - 2

Real Madrid Last 5

Deportivo Alavés 1 - 2
Sevilla FC 2 - 0
Real Betis Balompié 5 - 1
Levante UD 2 - 0
AS Monaco FC 6 - 1

Head-to-Head

Villarreal: 0 Draws: 1 Real Madrid: 4
2026 Villarreal 0 - 2 Real Madrid
2025 Real Madrid 3 - 1 Villarreal
2025 Villarreal 1 - 2 Real Madrid
2024 Real Madrid 2 - 0 Villarreal
2024 Villarreal 4 - 4 Real Madrid

Form Analysis

Villarreal
13W - 2D - 5L
Real Madrid
16W - 3D - 2L

Villarreal Performance

⚔️ Efficiency
1.90
Attacks153
Dangerous61
Avg Shots17.5
🛡️ Defense 1.10

Real Madrid Performance

⚔️ Efficiency
2.09
Attacks168
Dangerous67
Avg Shots19.2
🛡️ Defense 0.82

Match Statistics

48% Possession 52%
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6

* Projected stats.

Expected Goals (xG)

Villarreal
1.36
Real Madrid
1.60

Live Commentary & Analysis

🏁 FT 04:56 PM

Real Madrid clinched a solid 2-0 victory over Villarreal, showcasing their dominance with a robust performance. Two crucial goals secured their win, reaffirming their title aspirations as they continue to impress in the league.

⏸️ HT 03:50 PM

At halftime, Villarreal and Real Madrid are locked in a tense 0-0 draw. Both teams have shown flashes of brilliance, but defense has prevailed. Expect an intense second half as they search for that crucial breakthrough!

KICKOFF 03:02 PM

Kickoff is here! Villarreal faces the mighty Real Madrid in a thrilling clash. Both teams are poised for victory, and the atmosphere is electric. Can Villarreal upset the giants, or will Madrid dominate? Let the battle begin!

📰 Team News 09:00 AM

Update: Real Madrid will be without Aurélien Tchouaméni, Éder Militão, Trent Alexander-Arnold, Antonio Rüdiger, and Ferland Mendy due to injuries.

📝 Match Preview 08:38 AM

As Villarreal prepares to host Real Madrid at the Estadio de la Cerámica, football enthusiasts are eagerly anticipating a clash that could provide great insights into both teams' current forms. The math model predicts a surprising yet intriguing outcome with Villarreal tipped as the likely winner, showcasing a 40% confidence level. This conclusion could stem from Villarreal's recent resurgence in form, fueled by tactical adaptability and consistent performances at home, making them a viable value bet. Real Madrid, while historically dominant, has shown vulnerabilities in away fixtures, leading to speculation about their ability to maintain composure under pressure. Betting tips suggest a safety pick of 1X, indicating a possibility of either a Villarreal win or a draw. Furthermore, with both teams exhibiting potent attacking prowess, the prediction for over 2.5 goals and a 'Both Teams To Score' (BTTS) scenario seems likely. An anticipated score of 2-1 in favor of Villarreal aligns with the football analysis suggesting a tightly contested match, capturing the odds offered by various sportsbooks. Fans will be keen to see if Villarreal can live up to the math model's expectations, while Real Madrid will aim to silence the home crowd and assert their dominance in this engaging Primera Division fixture.

📅 Finished
📍 Estadio de la Cerámica

Standings & Context

Currently, Villarreal sits at position #4 (41 pts). They face Real Madrid who occupy the #2 spot (51 pts).

Performance Analysis

Looking at numbers, Villarreal has averaged 1.90 goals at home. Real Madrid travels with an away scoring record of 2.09 goals.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.