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Abha
D L L L D
VS
AI Predicts: 1-0
Away

Al Riyadh
W D L W L
1X2 Abha 40%
O/U Under 2.5 65%
DC 1X 74%
BTTS Yes 58%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Abha 40% Draw 23% Al Riyadh 37%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between Abha and Al Riyadh?

Our prediction for the Abha–Al Riyadh match is: Abha to win or draw.

Other OPWIN picks

Abha to win (40% confidence); under 2.5 goals (65% confidence); both teams to score: yes (58% confidence)

Abha

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Abha scored an average of 0.40 goals and conceded 1.20 per match.

Al Riyadh

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Al Riyadh scored an average of 1.00 goals and conceded 1.80 per match.

How the recent evidence fits the pick

Recent results add context to Double chance: Home or Draw (1X): Abha scored 0.40 and conceded 1.20 per match across 5 covered games; Al Riyadh scored 1.00 and conceded 1.80 across 5.

Players to watch

In a recent recorded appearance, Faisal Al Subiani registered 1 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Across 4 recent recorded appearances, B. Mensah contributed 1 goal(s) and 1 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.54/10 across 4 rated appearances.

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The current records list Abdulrazak Alshabi for Abha and Javi Calleja for Al Riyadh. The latest recorded formations are Abha in 4-4-1-1 (Oct 30, 2026) and Al Riyadh in 4-4-2 (Oct 29, 2026). Across 7 recent matches with possession and shot data, Abha averaged 41.9% possession and 8.3 shots per match (2.4 on target), a a more balanced possession and shot profile profile. Across 7 matches, Al Riyadh averaged 45.6% possession and 13.6 shots (3.3 on target), a a lower-possession profile that still produces shots profile. The clearest contrast in this sample is shot production.

Home and away performance

In 4 recent home matches, Abha recorded 0 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses, averaging 0.50 points, 0.50 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per match. Away from home, Al Riyadh recorded 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses in 5 matches, averaging 0.60 points, 0.80 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per match. These split records do not show a clear points-per-match advantage for either side.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.48 — 1.36 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

139%Abha
X27%Draw
234%Al Riyadh
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes58%
No42%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 78%U 22%
O/U 2.5O 54%U 46%
O/U 3.5O 32%U 68%
O/U 4.5O 16%U 84%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Abha
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 94%

The model assigns 94% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Abha.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 82%

A different goal line with 82% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 77%U 23%
1.5O 43%U 57%
2.5O 18%U 82%
3.5O 6%U 94%
Al Riyadh
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 95%

The model assigns 95% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Al Riyadh.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 84%

A different goal line with 84% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 74%U 26%
1.5O 39%U 61%
2.5O 16%U 84%
3.5O 5%U 95%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Abha26%
Al Riyadh23%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Abha19%
Al Riyadh16%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Abha54%
Al Riyadh46%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Abha
-1.5W 19%P 0%L 81%
-1W 19%P 20%L 61%
-0.5W 39%P 0%L 61%
0W 39%P 27%L 34%
+0.5W 66%P 0%L 34%
+1W 66%P 18%L 16%
+1.5W 84%P 0%L 16%
Al Riyadh
-1.5W 16%P 0%L 84%
-1W 16%P 18%L 66%
-0.5W 34%P 0%L 66%
0W 34%P 27%L 39%
+0.5W 61%P 0%L 39%
+1W 61%P 20%L 19%
+1.5W 81%P 0%L 19%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-112.68%
#22-18.67%
#31-27.99%
#41-07.97%
#50-17.29%
Combined Top 544.60%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Abha + BTTS20%
Al Riyadh + BTTS18%
Draw + BTTS20%

Abha Season

Rank#18
Points3
Matches Left27

Al Riyadh Season

Rank#12
Points12
Matches Left27

Abha Last 5

Al-Ittihad FC 1 - 1
Al-Faisaly FC 0 - 1
NEOM 2 - 0
Al-Qadisiyah FC 2 - 1
Al Diriyah 0 - 0

Al Riyadh Last 5

Al-Qadisiyah FC 0 - 6
Al Taawon 2 - 1
Al Diriyah 1 - 0
Al-Fayha 1 - 1
Al Kholood 2 - 0

Head-to-Head

Abha: 1 Draws: 2 Al Riyadh: 1
2024 Al Riyadh 1 - 1 Abha
2023 Abha 0 - 1 Al Riyadh
2018 Abha 1 - 0 Al Riyadh
2017 Al Riyadh 1 - 1 Abha

Form Analysis

Abha
D L L L D
Al Riyadh
L W L D W

Abha Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
0.60
Goals scored3
Goals conceded6
Matches5
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.20

Al Riyadh Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.00
Goals scored6
Goals conceded14
Matches6
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)2.33

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

Abha
1.22
Al Riyadh
0.89

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Abha vs Al Riyadh is a Football football match on November 26, 2026 at Prince Sultan bin Abdulaziz Sports City Stadium. Recent form is 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses (form: DLLLD) for Abha and 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses (form: LWLDW) for Al Riyadh. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 26 Nov 2026
📍 Prince Sultan bin Abdulaziz Sports City Stadium

Standings & Context

In the Football standings, Abha is currently #18 with 3 points from 11 matches, while Al Riyadh is #12 with 12 points from 11. Recent head-to-head history: Abha won 1, 2 were drawn and Al Riyadh won 1 across the last 4 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Abha at 0.60 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per home match, versus Al Riyadh at 1.00 goals scored and 2.33 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 1.22 for Abha and 0.89 for Al Riyadh.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.