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ADO Den Haag
D D W L L
VS
AI Predicts: 2-1
Away

Sparta Rotterdam
L D W L W
1X2 ADO Den Haag 40%
O/U Over 2.5 78%
DC 1X 62%
BTTS Yes 68%
OpWin AI Probabilities
ADO Den Haag 40% Draw 23% Sparta Rotterdam 37%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between ADO Den Haag and Sparta Rotterdam?

Our prediction for the ADO Den Haag–Sparta Rotterdam match is: over 2.5 goals.

Other OPWIN picks

ADO Den Haag to win (40% confidence); ADO Den Haag to win or draw (62% confidence); both teams to score: yes (68% confidence)

ADO Den Haag

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, ADO Den Haag scored an average of 1.40 goals and conceded 1.60 per match.

Sparta Rotterdam

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Sparta Rotterdam scored an average of 2.00 goals and conceded 2.60 per match.

How the recent evidence fits the pick

Across the available samples, ADO Den Haag and Sparta Rotterdam average 3.40 goals scored per match combined. That recent scoring pace aligns with Over 2.5.

Players to watch

Across 5 recent recorded appearances, E. Rottier contributed 1 goal(s) and 3 assist(s). Available ratings average 6.96/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 5 recent recorded appearances, M. Zonneveld contributed 3 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.08/10 across 5 rated appearances.

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The current records list D. Kalezić for ADO Den Haag and M. Steijn for Sparta Rotterdam. The latest recorded formations are ADO Den Haag in 4-3-3 (Nov 1, 2026) and Sparta Rotterdam in 5-4-1 (Nov 1, 2026). Across 7 recent matches with possession and shot data, ADO Den Haag averaged 52.0% possession and 13.4 shots per match (4.4 on target), a a more balanced possession and shot profile profile. Across 7 matches, Sparta Rotterdam averaged 42.1% possession and 14.4 shots (5.6 on target), a a lower-possession profile that still produces shots profile. The recorded numbers do not show a pronounced gap in possession or shot volume.

Home and away performance

In 4 recent home matches, ADO Den Haag recorded 1 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses, averaging 1.00 points, 1.75 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per match. Away from home, Sparta Rotterdam recorded 1 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses in 4 matches, averaging 1.00 points, 2.00 goals scored and 2.75 conceded per match. These split records do not show a clear points-per-match advantage for either side.

This Eredivisie fixture takes place at Bingoal Stadion (The Hague).

Recent results show no clear home advantage for ADO Den Haag: 1.0 points per home match compared with 0.5 away, with performance varying between matches.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.76 — 1.65 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

140%ADO Den Haag
X24%Draw
236%Sparta Rotterdam
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes68%
No32%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 86%U 14%
O/U 2.5O 66%U 34%
O/U 3.5O 44%U 56%
O/U 4.5O 26%U 74%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

ADO Den Haag
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 90%

The model assigns 90% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for ADO Den Haag.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 83%

A different goal line with 83% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 83%U 17%
1.5O 53%U 47%
2.5O 26%U 74%
3.5O 10%U 90%
Sparta Rotterdam
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 91%

The model assigns 91% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Sparta Rotterdam.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 81%

A different goal line with 81% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 81%U 19%
1.5O 49%U 51%
2.5O 23%U 77%
3.5O 9%U 91%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

ADO Den Haag19%
Sparta Rotterdam17%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

ADO Den Haag15%
Sparta Rotterdam13%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

ADO Den Haag53%
Sparta Rotterdam47%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

ADO Den Haag
-1.5W 22%P 0%L 78%
-1W 22%P 19%L 60%
-0.5W 40%P 0%L 60%
0W 40%P 24%L 36%
+0.5W 64%P 0%L 36%
+1W 64%P 18%L 18%
+1.5W 82%P 0%L 18%
Sparta Rotterdam
-1.5W 18%P 0%L 82%
-1W 18%P 18%L 64%
-0.5W 36%P 0%L 64%
0W 36%P 24%L 40%
+0.5W 60%P 0%L 40%
+1W 60%P 19%L 22%
+1.5W 78%P 0%L 22%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-110.34%
#22-18.42%
#31-27.89%
#42-26.96%
#51-05.23%
Combined Top 538.84%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

ADO Den Haag + BTTS25%
Sparta Rotterdam + BTTS22%
Draw + BTTS20%

ADO Den Haag Season

Rank#17
Points6
Matches Left27

Sparta Rotterdam Season

Rank#11
Points12
Matches Left27

ADO Den Haag Last 5

PEC Zwolle 1 - 0
Heerenveen 2 - 3
PSV Eindhoven 2 - 1
Telstar 2 - 2
Cambuur 1 - 1

Sparta Rotterdam Last 5

Groningen 2 - 3
Ajax 1 - 2
Willem II 3 - 2
GO Ahead Eagles 3 - 3
Heerenveen 0 - 4

Head-to-Head

ADO Den Haag: 1 Draws: 1 Sparta Rotterdam: 3
2025 ADO Den Haag 0 - 2 Sparta Rotterdam
2025 ADO Den Haag 0 - 2 Sparta Rotterdam
2024 Sparta Rotterdam 1 - 1 ADO Den Haag
2023 ADO Den Haag 2 - 0 Sparta Rotterdam
2023 ADO Den Haag 1 - 2 Sparta Rotterdam

Form Analysis

ADO Den Haag
L L W D D
Sparta Rotterdam
W L W D L

ADO Den Haag Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.60
Goals scored8
Goals conceded12
Matches5
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)2.40

Sparta Rotterdam Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
2.20
Goals scored11
Goals conceded12
Matches5
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)2.40

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

ADO Den Haag
2.15
Sparta Rotterdam
2.06

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam is a Eredivisie football match on November 7, 2026 at WerkTalent Stadion. Recent form is 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses (form: LLWDD) for ADO Den Haag and 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses (form: WLWDL) for Sparta Rotterdam. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 7 Nov 2026
📍 WerkTalent Stadion

Standings & Context

In the Eredivisie standings, ADO Den Haag is currently #17 with 6 points from 11 matches, while Sparta Rotterdam is #11 with 12 points from 11. Recent head-to-head history: ADO Den Haag won 1, 1 were drawn and Sparta Rotterdam won 3 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows ADO Den Haag at 1.60 goals scored and 2.40 conceded per home match, versus Sparta Rotterdam at 2.20 goals scored and 2.40 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 2.15 for ADO Den Haag and 2.06 for Sparta Rotterdam.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.