OpWin.

Menu
Home Results Rankings Our data
Tools
Odds Converter Kelly Calculator
Settings
Language
EN FR ES PT IT AR
Dark Mode
About Us Contact Privacy
Home

Al-Nassr
D W W W W
VS
AI Predicts: 1-2
Away

Al-Qadisiyah FC
W W W L W
1X2 Draw 26%
O/U Over 2.5 79%
DC X2 76%
BTTS Yes 67%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Al-Nassr 37% Draw 26% Al-Qadisiyah FC 37%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between Al-Nassr and Al-Qadisiyah FC?

Our prediction for the Al-Nassr–Al-Qadisiyah FC match is: over 2.5 goals.

Other OPWIN picks

a draw (26% confidence); Al-Qadisiyah FC to win or draw (76% confidence); both teams to score: yes (67% confidence)

Al-Nassr

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Al-Nassr scored an average of 2.60 goals and conceded 1.00 per match.

Al-Qadisiyah FC

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Al-Qadisiyah FC scored an average of 3.20 goals and conceded 0.80 per match.

How the recent evidence fits the pick

Across the available samples, Al-Nassr and Al-Qadisiyah FC average 5.80 goals scored per match combined. That recent scoring pace aligns with Over 2.5.

Players to watch

Across 5 recent recorded appearances, João Félix contributed 1 goal(s) and 6 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.59/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 5 recent recorded appearances, T. Reijnders contributed 5 goal(s) and 3 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.96/10 across 5 rated appearances.

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The current record lists Jorge Jesus as coach of Al-Nassr. The latest recorded formations are Al-Nassr in 4-4-2 (Oct 29, 2026) and Al-Qadisiyah FC in 3-5-2 (Oct 29, 2026). Across 7 recent matches with possession and shot data, Al-Nassr averaged 55.6% possession and 15.7 shots per match (6.0 on target), a possession control with high shot volume profile. Across 7 matches, Al-Qadisiyah FC averaged 58.9% possession and 16.4 shots (7.4 on target), a possession control with high shot volume profile. The recorded numbers do not show a pronounced gap in possession or shot volume.

Home and away performance

In 5 recent home matches, Al-Nassr recorded 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses, averaging 3.00 points, 2.60 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per match. Away from home, Al-Qadisiyah FC recorded 4 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses in 4 matches, averaging 3.00 points, 3.50 goals scored and 0.00 conceded per match. These split records do not show a clear points-per-match advantage for either side.

This Pro League fixture takes place at King Saud University Stadium (Riyadh).

Recent results show that Al-Nassr have a stronger record at home than away: 5 wins in 5 home matches, averaging 3.0 points per home match compared with 1.8 away. This points to a positive home-performance trend.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.64 — 1.73 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

136%Al-Nassr
X24%Draw
240%Al-Qadisiyah FC
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes67%
No33%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 85%U 15%
O/U 2.5O 65%U 35%
O/U 3.5O 43%U 57%
O/U 4.5O 25%U 75%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Al-Nassr
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 92%

The model assigns 92% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Al-Nassr.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 81%

A different goal line with 81% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 81%U 19%
1.5O 49%U 51%
2.5O 23%U 77%
3.5O 8%U 92%
Al-Qadisiyah FC
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 90%

The model assigns 90% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Al-Qadisiyah FC.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 82%

A different goal line with 82% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 82%U 18%
1.5O 52%U 49%
2.5O 25%U 75%
3.5O 10%U 90%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Al-Nassr18%
Al-Qadisiyah FC19%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Al-Nassr14%
Al-Qadisiyah FC15%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Al-Nassr47%
Al-Qadisiyah FC53%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Al-Nassr
-1.5W 18%P 0%L 82%
-1W 18%P 18%L 64%
-0.5W 36%P 0%L 64%
0W 36%P 24%L 40%
+0.5W 60%P 0%L 40%
+1W 60%P 19%L 21%
+1.5W 79%P 0%L 21%
Al-Qadisiyah FC
-1.5W 21%P 0%L 79%
-1W 21%P 19%L 60%
-0.5W 40%P 0%L 60%
0W 40%P 24%L 36%
+0.5W 64%P 0%L 36%
+1W 64%P 18%L 18%
+1.5W 82%P 0%L 18%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-110.48%
#21-28.43%
#32-17.98%
#42-26.90%
#50-15.43%
Combined Top 539.22%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Al-Nassr + BTTS22%
Al-Qadisiyah FC + BTTS25%
Draw + BTTS20%

Al-Nassr Season

Rank#3
Points28
Matches Left27

Al-Qadisiyah FC Season

Rank#2
Points28
Matches Left26

Al-Nassr Last 5

Al Kholood 5 - 3
Al-Faisaly FC 1 - 3
NEOM 1 - 0
Al Diriyah 3 - 0
Al Khaleej Saihat 1 - 1

Al-Qadisiyah FC Last 5

Al Riyadh 0 - 6
Al-Hilal Saudi FC 2 - 3
Al Taawon 0 - 1
Abha 2 - 1
Al Kholood 0 - 5

Head-to-Head

Al-Nassr: 0 Draws: 0 Al-Qadisiyah FC: 5
2026 Al-Qadisiyah FC 3 - 1 Al-Nassr
2026 Al-Nassr 1 - 2 Al-Qadisiyah FC
2025 Al-Qadisiyah FC 2 - 1 Al-Nassr
2024 Al-Nassr 1 - 2 Al-Qadisiyah FC
2021 Al-Qadisiyah FC 1 - 0 Al-Nassr

Form Analysis

Al-Nassr
W W W W D
Al-Qadisiyah FC
W L W W W

Al-Nassr Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
2.67
Goals scored16
Goals conceded5
Matches6
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)0.83

Al-Qadisiyah FC Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
3.17
Goals scored19
Goals conceded1
Matches6
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)0.17

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

Al-Nassr
1.71
Al-Qadisiyah FC
2.65

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Al-Nassr vs Al-Qadisiyah FC is a Football football match on November 20, 2026 at Al Awal Park at King Saud University. Recent form is 4 wins, 1 draws and 0 losses (form: WWWWD) for Al-Nassr and 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 losses (form: WLWWW) for Al-Qadisiyah FC. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 20 Nov 2026
📍 Al Awal Park at King Saud University

Standings & Context

In the Football standings, Al-Nassr is currently #3 with 28 points from 11 matches, while Al-Qadisiyah FC is #2 with 28 points from 12. Recent head-to-head history: Al-Nassr won 0, 0 were drawn and Al-Qadisiyah FC won 5 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Al-Nassr at 2.67 goals scored and 0.83 conceded per home match, versus Al-Qadisiyah FC at 3.17 goals scored and 0.17 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 1.71 for Al-Nassr and 2.65 for Al-Qadisiyah FC.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.