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Al-Nassr
D W W W W
VS
AI Predicts: 2-1
Away

Al Shabab
D W D W W
1X2 Al-Nassr 53%
O/U Over 2.5 75%
DC 1X 76%
BTTS Yes 66%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Al-Nassr 53% Draw 22% Al Shabab 25%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between Al-Nassr and Al Shabab?

Our prediction for the Al-Nassr–Al Shabab match is: Al-Nassr to win or draw.

Other OPWIN picks

Al-Nassr to win (53% confidence); over 2.5 goals (75% confidence); both teams to score: yes (66% confidence)

Al-Nassr

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Al-Nassr scored an average of 2.60 goals and conceded 1.00 per match.

Al Shabab

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Al Shabab scored an average of 2.80 goals and conceded 0.80 per match.

How the recent evidence fits the pick

Recent results add context to Double chance: Home or Draw (1X): Al-Nassr scored 2.60 and conceded 1.00 per match across 5 covered games; Al Shabab scored 2.80 and conceded 0.80 across 5.

Players to watch

Across 5 recent recorded appearances, João Félix contributed 1 goal(s) and 6 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.59/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 3 recent recorded appearances, Y. Carrasco contributed 4 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.58/10 across 3 rated appearances.

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The current records list Jorge Jesus for Al-Nassr and F. Terim for Al Shabab. The latest recorded formations are Al-Nassr in 4-4-2 (Oct 29, 2026) and Al Shabab in 4-4-2 (Oct 30, 2026). Across 7 recent matches with possession and shot data, Al-Nassr averaged 55.6% possession and 15.7 shots per match (6.0 on target), a possession control with high shot volume profile. Across 7 matches, Al Shabab averaged 48.3% possession and 14.4 shots (5.3 on target), a high shot volume profile. The recorded numbers do not show a pronounced gap in possession or shot volume.

Home and away performance

In 5 recent home matches, Al-Nassr recorded 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses, averaging 3.00 points, 2.60 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per match. Away from home, Al Shabab recorded 1 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses in 3 matches, averaging 1.33 points, 1.67 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per match. This sample favours the home side’s recent home record relative to the away side’s road record.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.80 — 1.54 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

144%Al-Nassr
X24%Draw
233%Al Shabab
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes66%
No34%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 85%U 15%
O/U 2.5O 65%U 35%
O/U 3.5O 43%U 57%
O/U 4.5O 24%U 76%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Al-Nassr
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 89%

The model assigns 89% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Al-Nassr.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 83%

A different goal line with 83% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 83%U 17%
1.5O 54%U 47%
2.5O 27%U 73%
3.5O 11%U 89%
Al Shabab
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 93%

The model assigns 93% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Al Shabab.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 80%

A different goal line with 80% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 79%U 21%
1.5O 45%U 55%
2.5O 20%U 80%
3.5O 7%U 93%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Al-Nassr21%
Al Shabab17%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Al-Nassr17%
Al Shabab12%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Al-Nassr57%
Al Shabab43%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Al-Nassr
-1.5W 24%P 0%L 76%
-1W 24%P 20%L 57%
-0.5W 44%P 0%L 57%
0W 44%P 24%L 33%
+0.5W 67%P 0%L 33%
+1W 67%P 17%L 16%
+1.5W 84%P 0%L 16%
Al Shabab
-1.5W 16%P 0%L 84%
-1W 16%P 17%L 67%
-0.5W 33%P 0%L 67%
0W 33%P 24%L 44%
+0.5W 57%P 0%L 44%
+1W 57%P 20%L 24%
+1.5W 76%P 0%L 24%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-110.56%
#22-18.83%
#31-27.55%
#42-26.78%
#51-05.89%
Combined Top 539.61%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Al-Nassr + BTTS26%
Al Shabab + BTTS20%
Draw + BTTS20%

Al-Nassr Season

Rank#3
Points28
Matches Left27

Al Shabab Season

Rank#10
Points14
Matches Left27

Al-Nassr Last 5

Al Kholood 5 - 3
Al-Faisaly FC 1 - 3
NEOM 1 - 0
Al Diriyah 3 - 0
Al Khaleej Saihat 1 - 1

Al Shabab Last 5

Al-Ahli Jeddah 6 - 1
Al-Fateh 1 - 3
Al-Faisaly FC 2 - 2
Al Taawon 3 - 0
Al-Fayha 0 - 0

Head-to-Head

Al-Nassr: 4 Draws: 1 Al Shabab: 0
2026 Al Shabab 2 - 4 Al-Nassr
2026 Al-Nassr 3 - 2 Al Shabab
2025 Al-Nassr 2 - 2 Al Shabab
2024 Al Shabab 1 - 2 Al-Nassr
2024 Al Shabab 2 - 3 Al-Nassr

Form Analysis

Al-Nassr
W W W W D
Al Shabab
W W D W D

Al-Nassr Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
2.67
Goals scored16
Goals conceded5
Matches6
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)0.83

Al Shabab Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.25
Goals scored5
Goals conceded4
Matches4
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.00

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

Al-Nassr
2.42
Al Shabab
1.57

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Al-Nassr vs Al Shabab is a Football football match on November 26, 2026 at Al Awal Park at King Saud University. Recent form is 4 wins, 1 draws and 0 losses (form: WWWWD) for Al-Nassr and 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses (form: WWDWD) for Al Shabab. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 26 Nov 2026
📍 Al Awal Park at King Saud University

Standings & Context

In the Football standings, Al-Nassr is currently #3 with 28 points from 11 matches, while Al Shabab is #10 with 14 points from 11. Recent head-to-head history: Al-Nassr won 4, 1 were drawn and Al Shabab won 0 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Al-Nassr at 2.67 goals scored and 0.83 conceded per home match, versus Al Shabab at 1.25 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 2.42 for Al-Nassr and 1.57 for Al Shabab.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.