What is the prediction for the football match between Alaves and Deportivo La Coruna?
Our prediction for the Alaves–Deportivo La Coruna match is: over 1.5 goals.
Other OPWIN picks
Deportivo La Coruna to win (43% confidence); Alaves to win or draw (69% confidence); both teams to score: yes (61% confidence)
Alaves
Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Alaves scored an average of 0.80 goals and conceded 2.20 per match.
Deportivo La Coruna
Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Deportivo La Coruna scored an average of 1.00 goals and conceded 1.20 per match.
How the recent evidence fits the pick
Across the available samples, Alaves and Deportivo La Coruna average 1.80 goals scored per match combined. That recent scoring pace aligns with Over 1.5.
Players to watch
Across 5 recent recorded appearances, M. Díaz contributed 1 goal(s) and 1 assist(s). Available ratings average 6.55/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 5 recent recorded appearances, Mario Soriano contributed 2 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.33/10 across 5 rated appearances.
Recent squad-performance signal
Across recent rated squad performances used by Team Intelligence, Deportivo La Coruna records a mean of 6.68/10 versus 6.41/10 for Alaves.
Tactical matchup and recent shapes
The latest recorded formations are Alaves in 3-5-2 (Nov 6, 2026) and Deportivo La Coruna in 4-4-2 (Nov 7, 2026). Across 9 recent matches with possession and shot data, Alaves averaged 42.0% possession and 11.9 shots per match (4.3 on target), a a lower-possession profile that still produces shots profile. Across 9 matches, Deportivo La Coruna averaged 49.4% possession and 13.1 shots (4.6 on target), a a more balanced possession and shot profile profile. The recorded numbers do not show a pronounced gap in possession or shot volume.
Home and away performance
In 5 recent home matches, Alaves recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses, averaging 1.40 points, 1.60 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per match. Away from home, Deportivo La Coruna recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in 5 matches, averaging 1.00 points, 1.20 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per match. These split records do not show a clear points-per-match advantage for either side.
This La Liga fixture takes place at Estadio Mendizorrotza (Vitoria-Gasteiz).
Recent results show that Alaves have a stronger record at home than away: 2 wins in 5 home matches, averaging 1.4 points per home match compared with 0.4 away. This points to a positive home-performance trend.
This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.