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Albacete
L L W W W
VS
AI Predicts: 2-1
Away

Celta de Vigo II
W D L D L
1X2 Albacete 60%
O/U Over 2.5 60%
DC 1X 77%
BTTS Yes 63%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Albacete 60% Draw 18% Celta de Vigo II 22%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between Albacete and Celta de Vigo II?

Our prediction for the Albacete–Celta de Vigo II match is: Albacete to win or draw.

Other OPWIN picks

Albacete to win (60% confidence); over 2.5 goals (60% confidence); both teams to score: yes (63% confidence)

Albacete

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Albacete scored an average of 1.60 goals and conceded 1.80 per match.

Celta de Vigo II

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Celta de Vigo II scored an average of 1.80 goals and conceded 2.20 per match.

How the recent evidence fits the pick

Recent results add context to Double chance: Home or Draw (1X): Albacete scored 1.60 and conceded 1.80 per match across 5 covered games; Celta de Vigo II scored 1.80 and conceded 2.20 across 5.

Players to watch

Across 5 recent recorded appearances, Víctor Valverde contributed 0 goal(s) and 2 assist(s). Available ratings average 6.76/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 5 recent recorded appearances, A. Marin contributed 5 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.61/10 across 5 rated appearances.

Recent squad-performance signal

Across recent rated squad performances used by Team Intelligence, Albacete records a mean of 6.64/10 versus 6.28/10 for Celta de Vigo II.

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The current records list Alberto González for Albacete and Fredi for Celta de Vigo II. The latest recorded formations are Albacete in 3-5-2 (Nov 7, 2026) and Celta de Vigo II in 3-4-2-1 (Nov 7, 2026). Across 10 recent matches with possession and shot data, Albacete averaged 42.9% possession and 12.1 shots per match (3.5 on target), a a lower-possession profile that still produces shots profile. Across 10 matches, Celta de Vigo II averaged 49.5% possession and 12.2 shots (4.6 on target), a a more balanced possession and shot profile profile. The recorded numbers do not show a pronounced gap in possession or shot volume.

Home and away performance

In 5 recent home matches, Albacete recorded 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses, averaging 1.20 points, 1.20 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per match. Away from home, Celta de Vigo II recorded 1 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses in 5 matches, averaging 0.60 points, 1.20 goals scored and 2.40 conceded per match. This sample favours the home side’s recent home record relative to the away side’s road record.

This Segunda División fixture takes place at Estadio Carlos Belmonte (Albacete).

Recent results show no clear home advantage for Albacete: 1.2 points per home match compared with 0.7 away, with performance varying between matches.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.68 — 1.47 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

142%Albacete
X25%Draw
233%Celta de Vigo II
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes63%
No37%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 83%U 17%
O/U 2.5O 61%U 39%
O/U 3.5O 39%U 61%
O/U 4.5O 21%U 79%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Albacete
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 91%

The model assigns 91% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Albacete.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 81%

A different goal line with 81% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 81%U 19%
1.5O 50%U 50%
2.5O 24%U 76%
3.5O 9%U 91%
Celta de Vigo II
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 94%

The model assigns 94% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Celta de Vigo II.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 82%

A different goal line with 82% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 77%U 23%
1.5O 43%U 57%
2.5O 18%U 82%
3.5O 6%U 94%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Albacete23%
Celta de Vigo II19%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Albacete18%
Celta de Vigo II14%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Albacete56%
Celta de Vigo II44%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Albacete
-1.5W 22%P 0%L 78%
-1W 22%P 20%L 58%
-0.5W 42%P 0%L 58%
0W 42%P 25%L 33%
+0.5W 67%P 0%L 33%
+1W 67%P 17%L 16%
+1.5W 84%P 0%L 16%
Celta de Vigo II
-1.5W 16%P 0%L 84%
-1W 16%P 17%L 67%
-0.5W 33%P 0%L 67%
0W 33%P 25%L 42%
+0.5W 58%P 0%L 42%
+1W 58%P 20%L 22%
+1.5W 78%P 0%L 22%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-111.40%
#22-18.87%
#31-27.75%
#41-06.55%
#52-26.52%
Combined Top 541.09%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Albacete + BTTS24%
Celta de Vigo II + BTTS19%
Draw + BTTS20%

Albacete Season

Rank#21
Points10
Matches Left25

Celta de Vigo II Season

Rank#16
Points13
Matches Left25

Albacete Last 5

Leganes 1 - 3
Sabadell 2 - 1
Eldense 2 - 0
Sporting Gijon 2 - 1
Valladolid 5 - 0

Celta de Vigo II Last 5

Burgos 2 - 1
Cordoba 2 - 2
Girona 5 - 1
Tenerife 1 - 1
Real Sociedad II 4 - 1

Head-to-Head

No recent meetings found.

Form Analysis

Albacete
W W W L L
Celta de Vigo II
L D L D W

Albacete Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.17
Goals scored7
Goals conceded9
Matches6
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.50

Celta de Vigo II Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.00
Goals scored6
Goals conceded12
Matches6
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)2.00

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

Albacete
1.91
Celta de Vigo II
1.22

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Albacete vs Celta de Vigo II is a Football football match on November 16, 2026 at Estadio Carlos Belmonte. Recent form is 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses (form: WWWLL) for Albacete and 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses (form: LDLDW) for Celta de Vigo II. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 16 Nov 2026
📍 Estadio Carlos Belmonte

Standings & Context

In the Football standings, Albacete is currently #21 with 10 points from 13 matches, while Celta de Vigo II is #16 with 13 points from 13. Recent head-to-head history: No recent head-to-head history is available for this fixture..

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Albacete at 1.17 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per home match, versus Celta de Vigo II at 1.00 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 1.91 for Albacete and 1.22 for Celta de Vigo II.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.