OpWin.

VS
AI Predicts: 0-1
Away

Independiente

D D L D W
1X2 Argentinos JRS 45%
O/U Under 2.5 72%
DC X2 70%
BTTS Yes 57%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Argentinos JRS 45% Draw 22% Independiente 32%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between Argentinos JRS and Independiente?

Our prediction for the Argentinos JRS–Independiente match is: under 2.5 goals.

Other OPWIN picks

Argentinos JRS to win (45% confidence); Independiente to win or draw (70% confidence); both teams to score: yes (57% confidence)

Argentinos JRS

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Argentinos JRS scored an average of 1.00 goals and conceded 0.80 per match.

Independiente

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Independiente scored an average of 0.80 goals and conceded 0.80 per match.

How the recent evidence fits the pick

Across the available samples, Argentinos JRS and Independiente average 1.80 goals scored per match combined. That recent scoring pace is consistent with Under 2.5.

Players to watch

Across 5 recent recorded appearances, M. Giménez contributed 2 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.04/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 4 recent recorded appearances, M. Meza contributed 2 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 6.23/10 across 4 rated appearances.

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The current records list E. Carboni for Argentinos JRS and G. Quinteros for Independiente. The latest recorded formations are Argentinos JRS in 4-3-3 (Nov 7, 2026) and Independiente in 4-2-3-1 (Nov 6, 2026). Across 9 recent matches with possession and shot data, Argentinos JRS averaged 55.8% possession and 11.9 shots per match (3.4 on target), a a more balanced possession and shot profile profile. Across 8 matches, Independiente averaged 47.5% possession and 13.5 shots (3.8 on target), a a more balanced possession and shot profile profile. The recorded numbers do not show a pronounced gap in possession or shot volume.

Home and away performance

In 4 recent home matches, Argentinos JRS recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses, averaging 1.75 points, 1.00 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per match. Away from home, Independiente recorded 1 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses in 4 matches, averaging 1.50 points, 1.00 goals scored and 0.75 conceded per match. These split records do not show a clear points-per-match advantage for either side.

This Liga Profesional Argentina fixture takes place at Estadio Diego Armando Maradona (Buenos Aires).

Recent results show no clear home advantage for Argentinos JRS: 1.8 points per home match compared with 1.6 away, with performance varying between matches.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.35 — 1.40 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

135%Argentinos JRS
X27%Draw
237%Independiente
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes57%
No43%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 77%U 23%
O/U 2.5O 52%U 48%
O/U 3.5O 30%U 70%
O/U 4.5O 14%U 86%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Argentinos JRS
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 95%

The model assigns 95% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Argentinos JRS.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 85%

A different goal line with 85% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 74%U 26%
1.5O 39%U 61%
2.5O 15%U 85%
3.5O 5%U 95%
Independiente
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 95%

The model assigns 95% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Independiente.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 83%

A different goal line with 83% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 75%U 25%
1.5O 41%U 59%
2.5O 17%U 83%
3.5O 5%U 95%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Argentinos JRS25%
Independiente26%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Argentinos JRS17%
Independiente19%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Argentinos JRS49%
Independiente51%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Argentinos JRS
-1.5W 16%P 0%L 84%
-1W 16%P 19%L 65%
-0.5W 35%P 0%L 65%
0W 35%P 27%L 37%
+0.5W 63%P 0%L 37%
+1W 63%P 20%L 18%
+1.5W 82%P 0%L 18%
Independiente
-1.5W 18%P 0%L 82%
-1W 18%P 20%L 63%
-0.5W 37%P 0%L 63%
0W 37%P 27%L 35%
+0.5W 65%P 0%L 35%
+1W 65%P 19%L 16%
+1.5W 84%P 0%L 16%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-113.11%
#21-28.42%
#32-18.15%
#40-18.13%
#51-07.84%
Combined Top 545.65%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Argentinos JRS + BTTS18%
Independiente + BTTS19%
Draw + BTTS20%

Argentinos JRS Season

Rank#3
Points60
Matches Left6

Independiente Season

Rank#13
Points47
Matches Left6

Argentinos JRS Last 5

Huracan 0 - 2
Atletico Tucuman 1 - 2
Independ. Rivadavia 1 - 0
Banfield 0 - 1
Platense 1 - 1

Independiente Last 5

Deportivo Riestra 2 - 1
Defensa Y Justicia 1 - 1
Boca Juniors 0 - 1
Racing Club 1 - 1
Talleres Cordoba 0 - 0

Head-to-Head

Argentinos JRS: 1 Draws: 3 Independiente: 1
2024 Independiente 0 - 0 Argentinos JRS
2024 Independiente 2 - 1 Argentinos JRS
2023 Argentinos JRS 0 - 0 Independiente
2023 Argentinos JRS 2 - 2 Independiente
2022 Argentinos JRS 2 - 1 Independiente

Form Analysis

Argentinos JRS
L W W W D
Independiente
W D L D D

Argentinos JRS Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
—
Goals scored0
Goals conceded0
Matches0
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)—

Independiente Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
—
Goals scored0
Goals conceded0
Matches0
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)—

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

Argentinos JRS
0.88
Independiente
0.98

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Argentinos JRS vs Independiente is a Football football match on November 22, 2026 at Estadio Diego Armando Maradona. Recent form is 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses (form: LWWWD) for Argentinos JRS and 1 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses (form: WDLDD) for Independiente. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 22 Nov 2026
📍 Estadio Diego Armando Maradona

Standings & Context

In the Football standings, Argentinos JRS is currently #3 with 60 points from 32 matches, while Independiente is #13 with 47 points from 32. Recent head-to-head history: Argentinos JRS won 1, 3 were drawn and Independiente won 1 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Argentinos JRS at — goals scored and — conceded per home match, versus Independiente at — goals scored and — conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 0.88 for Argentinos JRS and 0.98 for Independiente.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.