What is the prediction for the football match between Arsenal and Borussia Dortmund?
Our prediction for the Arsenal–Borussia Dortmund match is: Arsenal to win or draw.
Other OPWIN picks
Arsenal to win (53% confidence); over 1.5 goals (76% confidence); both teams to score: no (50% confidence)
Arsenal
Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Arsenal scored an average of 1.60 goals and conceded 0.60 per match.
Borussia Dortmund
Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Borussia Dortmund scored an average of 1.80 goals and conceded 1.00 per match.
How the recent evidence fits the pick
Recent results add context to Double chance: Home or Draw (1X): Arsenal scored 1.60 and conceded 0.60 per match across 5 covered games; Borussia Dortmund scored 1.80 and conceded 1.00 across 5.
Players to watch
Across 5 recent recorded appearances, V. Gyökeres contributed 1 goal(s) and 3 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.04/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 5 recent recorded appearances, Fábio Silva contributed 2 goal(s) and 2 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.37/10 across 5 rated appearances.
Tactical matchup and recent shapes
The current record lists N. Kovač as coach of Borussia Dortmund. The latest recorded formations are Arsenal in 4-2-3-1 (Nov 7, 2026) and Borussia Dortmund in 4-3-3 (Nov 7, 2026). Across 12 recent matches with possession and shot data, Arsenal averaged 58.7% possession and 14.8 shots per match (5.5 on target), a possession control with high shot volume profile. Across 12 matches, Borussia Dortmund averaged 53.3% possession and 15.3 shots (5.6 on target), a high shot volume profile. The recorded numbers do not show a pronounced gap in possession or shot volume.
Home and away performance
In 5 recent home matches, Arsenal recorded 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses, averaging 3.00 points, 2.00 goals scored and 0.40 conceded per match. Away from home, Borussia Dortmund recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses in 6 matches, averaging 1.83 points, 1.33 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per match. This sample favours the home side’s recent home record relative to the away side’s road record.
This UEFA Champions League fixture takes place at Emirates Stadium (London).
Recent results show that Arsenal have a stronger record at home than away: 5 wins in 5 home matches, averaging 3.0 points per home match compared with 2.4 away. This points to a positive home-performance trend.
This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.