What is the prediction for the football match between Arsenal and Hull City?
Our prediction for the Arsenal–Hull City match is: Arsenal to win or draw.
Other OPWIN picks
Arsenal to win (64% confidence); over 1.5 goals (76% confidence); both teams to score: yes (60% confidence)
Arsenal
Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Arsenal scored an average of 1.60 goals and conceded 0.60 per match.
Hull City
Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Hull City scored an average of 1.20 goals and conceded 1.60 per match.
How the recent evidence fits the pick
Recent results add context to Double chance: Home or Draw (1X): Arsenal scored 1.60 and conceded 0.60 per match across 5 covered games; Hull City scored 1.20 and conceded 1.60 across 5.
Players to watch
Across 5 recent recorded appearances, V. Gyökeres contributed 1 goal(s) and 3 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.04/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 5 recent recorded appearances, O. McBurnie contributed 2 goal(s) and 1 assist(s). Available ratings average 6.88/10 across 5 rated appearances.
Recent squad-performance signal
Across recent rated squad performances used by Team Intelligence, Arsenal records a mean of 6.86/10 versus 6.45/10 for Hull City.
Tactical matchup and recent shapes
The latest recorded formations are Arsenal in 4-2-3-1 (Nov 4, 2026) and Hull City in 5-4-1 (Oct 31, 2026). Across 11 recent matches with possession and shot data, Arsenal averaged 57.9% possession and 14.3 shots per match (5.1 on target), a possession control with high shot volume profile. Across 7 matches, Hull City averaged 34.6% possession and 11.6 shots (3.3 on target), a a lower-possession profile that still produces shots profile. The clearest contrast in this sample is possession share.
Home and away performance
In 4 recent home matches, Arsenal recorded 4 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses, averaging 3.00 points, 2.25 goals scored and 0.50 conceded per match. Away from home, Hull City recorded 1 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses in 4 matches, averaging 1.00 points, 1.00 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per match. This sample favours the home side’s recent home record relative to the away side’s road record.
This Premier League fixture takes place at Emirates Stadium (London).
Recent results show that Arsenal have a stronger record at home than away: 4 wins in 4 home matches, averaging 3.0 points per home match compared with 2.4 away. This points to a positive home-performance trend.
This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.